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“反内卷”和“有色系”是PPI超预期的核心驱动力
citic securities· 2025-11-10 05:23
Market Performance - Chinese A-shares declined slightly, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.25% to 3,997 points, and the Shenzhen Component down 0.36%[14] - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.2% to 46,987.1 points, while the Nasdaq fell 0.2% to 23,004.5 points[7][8] - European markets continued to weaken, with the Stoxx 600 down 0.55% and the DAX down 0.68%[8] Economic Indicators - October PPI fell by 2.1% year-on-year, with a slight month-on-month increase, driven by industries benefiting from "anti-involution" and non-ferrous sectors[5] - October CPI rose to 0.2% year-on-year, with core CPI increasing to 1.2%, the highest since March 2024[5] Commodity and Currency Trends - International oil prices rose, with NYMEX crude up 0.54% to $59.75 per barrel, while gold prices increased by 0.5% to $4,009.8 per ounce due to safe-haven demand[24] - The U.S. dollar index remained stable, with the dollar to RMB exchange rate at 7.122[23] Sector Performance - In the A-share market, the photovoltaic sector saw significant gains, with Dongyue Silicon Material rising by 20%[14] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index fell 0.92%, with major tech stocks underperforming, while energy and gold sectors showed resilience[10] Bond Market Insights - U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.10% after initial declines due to weak consumer confidence data[27] - Asian bond markets experienced widening spreads, with new issuances performing well despite overall market weakness[27]