有色金属产量分析
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有色金属海外季报:诺里尔斯克镍业2025Q3镍产量环比增长18%至5.36万吨,铜产量环比减少4%至10.01万吨
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-30 09:29
Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a forecast that the industry index will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 10% or more in the upcoming six months [6]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the total nickel production reached 53,555 tons, a 4% year-on-year decrease but an 18% quarter-on-quarter increase, primarily due to increased processing raw materials and higher production from the Kola mining area [1][7]. - Copper production in Q3 2025 was 100,105 tons, reflecting a 7% year-on-year decrease and a 4% quarter-on-quarter decrease, attributed to a higher proportion of lower-grade dispersed ore in the processing [2][7]. - Palladium and platinum production in Q3 2025 were 617,000 ounces and 149,000 ounces, respectively, both showing declines of 9% and 10% year-on-year, and 6% and 4% quarter-on-quarter, due to shipping disruptions in the previous quarter [3][7]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total nickel production was 140,405 tons, down 4% year-on-year, while total copper production was 313,294 tons, also down 4% year-on-year [4][7]. Production Guidance - The company has set a nickel production guidance of 196,000 to 204,000 tons for 2025, and a copper production guidance of 343,000 to 355,000 tons, excluding the Trans-Baikal division, which has a separate copper production guidance of 66,000 to 70,000 tons [5][8].