麦肯锡2023年的报告说了，到2030年，美国大概有1200万人得换工作，为啥？因为AI太能干了，把 60%-70%的工作都给自动化了，尤其是那些白领的活儿。 AI这股风，吹得正猛。它不光改变了我们的生活，也正悄悄地重塑着职场。创业圈，也不能幸免。 世界经济论坛也跟着敲警钟：未来五年，AI可能让全球8300万个岗位"消失"，就算算上新冒出来的6900 万个，还是少了1400万个饭碗。 从麦肯锡到高盛，都在说AI，特别是生成式AI，正在大大改变我们赚钱的方式。连那些需要动脑子的 活儿，写文章、搞法律、做客服、玩金融、搞营销，AI都已经开始抢活儿了。 这不只是普通员工的事，连一些刚起步甚至资深创业者，也感觉到了压力。特别是那些靠重复劳动、随 便搞搞开发、或者门槛很低的生意。 而人工智能，特别是机器人流程自动化（RPA）和机器学习技术，干这些活儿比人快多了，还不容易出 错。它们不知疲倦，错误率极低，而且边际成本几乎可以忽略不计。一旦AI系统学会了，用起来几乎 不花钱。你说，人类还怎么跟它们比？ 拿简单表格整理服务来说，以前你可能找人帮你把一堆乱七八糟的数据整理成整齐的表格。现在AI能 通过光学字符识别（OCR）技术 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of AI, particularly generative AI, is significantly transforming the job market and entrepreneurial landscape, posing threats to certain types of businesses while also creating new opportunities for others [1][4][43]. Group 1: Impact of AI on Employment - According to McKinsey's 2023 report, by 2030, approximately 12 million people in the U.S. may need to change jobs due to AI automating 60%-70% of tasks, especially in white-collar jobs [2]. - The World Economic Forum warns that AI could lead to the disappearance of 83 million jobs globally in the next five years, despite the emergence of 69 million new jobs, resulting in a net loss of 14 million jobs [3]. Group 2: Vulnerable Entrepreneurial Segments - Entrepreneurs relying on repetitive labor are at high risk, as AI excels in standardizing and automating tasks such as data entry and document organization [8][9]. - Content creators lacking originality and deep insights are also vulnerable, as AI-generated content can easily surpass template-based or "rewritten" content [12][13]. - Businesses that cater to "pseudo-needs" or low-value services are threatened, as AI can streamline processes and eliminate inefficiencies, making these services redundant [17][18]. Group 3: Resilient Entrepreneurial Segments - Entrepreneurs who can integrate AI tools to create new business models are well-positioned for success, leveraging AI to enhance efficiency and decision-making [24][25]. - Those skilled in brand building and community engagement can thrive, as AI struggles to replicate human emotional connections and storytelling abilities [28][30]. - Businesses that require complex interpersonal interactions, such as high-end services and emotional support roles, are less likely to be replaced by AI due to the need for human empathy and adaptability [35][40].