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评司论企|882亿再融资落地,新世界发展能否走出困境?
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-07-09 09:24
Core Viewpoint - New World Development faces liquidity challenges highlighted by the delay in interest payments on four perpetual bonds, but has secured refinancing to address its debt situation [2][9][24]. Group 1: Perpetual Bonds and Debt Situation - The delay in interest payments on four perpetual bonds has raised concerns, but it is not classified as a typical debt default [3][4]. - As of the end of 2024, New World Development has five perpetual bonds totaling HKD 35.4 billion, with the delayed payments affecting four of them [4][5]. - The company classifies its perpetual bonds as equity under accounting standards, which differentiates them from typical financial liabilities [7][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Cash Flow - New World Development has faced significant profitability challenges, with a cumulative loss of HKD 26.6 billion in net profit over 2023 and 2024 due to property valuation losses and inventory write-downs [10][12]. - The company has a cash balance of HKD 21.9 billion against short-term debt of HKD 32.6 billion, resulting in a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.67 [12]. - The total interest-bearing debt amounts to HKD 151.4 billion, with unsecured bank loans constituting approximately 53% of this debt [12]. Group 3: Asset Management and Market Conditions - New World Development's net debt ratio stands at 60%, which is lower than the average of 98% for 50 sample companies in the industry [16]. - The company has invested heavily in properties, which typically have long return cycles, leading to cash flow pressures amid a declining market [18][21]. - The company has experienced net cash outflows in most years from 2018 to 2024, primarily due to debt repayments and dividend payments [18][19]. Group 4: Strategic Responses - New World Development plans to sell non-core assets, including office properties in Hong Kong, to improve liquidity [25]. - The company is also considering mortgaging core assets to extend debt maturities and replace high-interest debt [25]. - Despite current challenges, New World Development retains substantial shareholder equity of HKD 172.7 billion, providing a buffer for capital operations [25].