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铂钯数据日报-20260123
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-01-23 02:39
Report Overview - The report is a daily data report on platinum and palladium by the Research Institute of Guomao Futures, focusing on price, inventory, and market analysis [2][3] 1. Price Information Domestic Prices - Platinum futures main contract closing price: 633.85 yuan/g, up 0.85% from the previous value [4] - Platinum (99.95%) spot price: 618.5 yuan/g, down 0.56% [4] - Platinum basis (spot - futures): -15.35 yuan/g, up 136.15% [4] - Lithium futures main contract closing price: 483.75 yuan/g, down 0.42% [4] - Lithium (99.95%) spot price: 464.5 yuan/g, down 1.59% [4] - Lithium basis (spot - futures): -19.25 yuan/g, up 39.49% [4] International Prices - London spot platinum: 2468.754 dollars/ounce, up 1.39% [4] - London spot palladium: 1853.585 dollars/ounce, up 0.10% [4] - NYMEX platinum: 2468.9 dollars/ounce, up 1.27% [4] - NYMEX palladium: 1883.5 dollars/ounce, down 0.32% [4] Exchange Rate and Price Differences - Dollar/CNY central parity rate: 7.0019, up 0.01% [4] - Difference between Guangzhou platinum and London platinum: 5.85 yuan/g, down 36.16% [4] - Difference between Guangzhou platinum and NYMEX platinum: 5.81 yuan/g, down 30.76% [4] - Difference between Guangzhou lithium and London palladium: 12.23 yuan/g, down 17.26% [5] - Difference between Guangzhou lithium and NYMEX palladium: 4.62 yuan/g, down 10.77% [5] 2. Ratio and Inventory Information Price Ratios - Guangzhou Futures Exchange platinum/palladium ratio: 1.3103, up 0.0165 [5] - London spot platinum/palladium ratio: 1.3319, up 0.0170 [5] Inventory - NYMEX platinum inventory: 675,766 ounces, up 1.71% [5] - NYMEX palladium inventory: 216,266 ounces, down 0.18% [5] Position - NYMEX total platinum position: 78,337, down 0.90% [5] - NYMEX non - commercial net long position of platinum: 18,110, down 2.85% [5] - NYMEX total palladium position: 19,483, up 0.69% [5] - NYMEX non - commercial net long position of palladium: 579, up 111.57% [5] 3. Market Analysis and Strategy Market Analysis - On January 22, platinum and palladium opened lower and then rebounded, narrowing the decline. The PT2606 contract fell 0.92% to 63.85 yuan/g, and the PD2606 contract fell 1.9% to 483.75 yuan/g [6] - At the macro level, the Greenland crisis has eased, weakening market risk - aversion sentiment, which once suppressed platinum and palladium prices. However, due to high market uncertainty and weak US bond yields, there is still support for platinum and palladium prices [6] - Fundamentally, the US has decided to postpone imposing import tariffs on key minerals, alleviating the tariff risk for platinum and palladium. If the tariff risk decreases in the future, platinum and palladium inventories may shift from the US to non - US regions, which may ease the tight spot situation and suppress the upward space of platinum and palladium prices in the short term [6] Strategy - In the short term, platinum and palladium are expected to maintain a wide - range oscillation pattern. Attention should be paid to changes in New York inventories [6] - In the long term, with a supply - demand gap for platinum and a relatively loose supply for palladium, the strategy can be to unilaterally allocate platinum at low prices or choose the [long platinum, short palladium] arbitrage strategy [6]
危机转折 黄金暴涨又暴跌!
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-22 11:52
隔夜,现货黄金收盘上涨1.4%,报4830.56美元,金价盘中曾触及4888.59美元,刷新纪录高位,而在特朗普表态后,金价一度暴 跌至4755.55美元。今日亚市早盘,黄金突然遭遇一波抛售,目前在4830美元附近徘徊。 "格陵兰危机"转折! 隔夜,美国三大股指全线上涨,截至收盘,道指涨1.21%,标普500指数涨1.16%,纳指涨1.18%。 消息面上,特朗普称暂时不会对欧洲8国加征关税。 当地时间21日,美国总统特朗普在瑞士达沃斯举办的世界经济论坛年会上发表演讲。 随后,特朗普在社交媒体发文称,他已经同 北约秘书长吕特就未来达成有关格陵兰岛的协议制定了框架,因此不会实施原定于2月1日生效、对欧洲8国加征关税的措施。 美国不要格陵兰岛了? 根本不是。特朗普只是看似安抚一下欧洲,但很明确,美国不拿下格陵兰岛不罢休,因为"那是我们的地盘"。 不过,欧洲暂时大舒了一口气。 终于,特朗普承诺,不会对格陵兰岛动用武力,终于,特朗普宣布,暂时不加征关税。 但且慢,既然特朗普第二天能180度大转弯,那第三天,会不会又是180度,这样就360度了呢。 此外,在达沃斯世界经济论坛演讲中,特朗普还谈到了美联储。 北京时间1月2 ...