黄秋如预计，2026年春季(即3到5月)，海南岛各地平均气温较常年偏高0.3～0.6℃，各月均不同程度偏 高，高温日数较常年略偏多；春季各地总降雨量较常年偏多1%～10%，其中3月偏少5%，4月偏少 10%，5月偏多15%。 "预计2026年春季期间海南岛可能出现阶段性的大范围气象干旱，其中东方和昌江可能出现重度气象干 旱。"黄秋如表示，综合上述气候趋势预测情况，2026年春季，海南东方、三亚、乐东、昌江、陵水森 林火险气象等级可能达四级(高火险风险)，其余地区以三级(较高火险风险)为主。 海南省应急管理厅副厅长武占超表示，根据目前的气象预测，海南省应急部门将紧盯抓好火源管控和筑 牢人民防线两个重点，有效防范和化解森林火灾风险，确保全省森林防灭火形势稳定向好。 他表示，海南省将强化应急准备，不定期组织开展森林灭火力量无脚本、实战化拉动演练。同时，全省 应急系统将严格执行24小时值班和领导带班制度，强化火情监测、识别和核查反馈，遇有火情迅速启动 应急响应，及时就近调度队伍进行处置。(完) 中新网海口2月9日电 (记者 王子谦)记者从9日举行的海南省2026年森林防灭火工作新闻发布会获悉，今 年春季海南岛可能出现 ...

1月气温为历史同期第9高位 四川省气候中心提醒，预计2月全省除盆地北部外的其余大部地区降水仍然偏少，相关农区应密切关注 后期季节性冬干发展趋势，做好农田抗旱保墒工作和小春病虫害监测防治。 2026年1月，四川省平均气温5.7℃，相比常年同期偏高0.8℃，排历史同期第9高位；全省平均降水量6.4 毫米，偏少40%，排历史同期第9少位。 据川观新闻 预计2月，全省平均降水量为10.5毫米至12.5毫米，较常年同期（13.4毫米）偏少。其中，盆地北部平均 降水量较常年同期偏多一至二成，甘孜州、攀西地区平均降水量较常年同期偏少两成至五成，省内其余 地区平均降水量较常年同期偏少一成至两成。预计2月9日至28日，全省还将有1次降温降水天气过程， 出现在16日至18日。 气象监测显示，截至1月31日，四川全省156个国家级气象观测站中，有48站气象干旱持续，其中轻旱13 站、中旱21站、重旱10站、特旱4站（九寨沟、崇州、邛崃、荥经），中度及以上气象干旱主要分布在 甘孜州北部、阿坝州北部、凉山州中南部和盆地西部部分地区。 记者2月8日从四川省气象局获悉，2月四川延续1月偏暖、偏干的气候趋势，部分地区季节性冬干可能继 续发展 ...

转自：四川在线 四川省气候中心提醒，预计2月全省除盆北外的其余大部地区降水仍然偏少，相关农区应密切关注后期季节性冬干发展趋势，做好农田抗旱保墒工作和小春 病虫害监测防治。同时，虽然上旬盆地有两次降水过程但降水空间分布不均，部分地区可能出现土壤偏湿，应及时清沟排湿降渍，防止田间积水。 另一个需要重点关注的是防火。预计2月，阿坝州、甘孜州、攀西地区森林草原火险气象等级为3级，在连晴多风时段森林草原火险气象等级可达2级。甘孜 州北部、阿坝州北部、攀西地区和盆地西部部分地区有中等以上气象干旱发生。对此，气象专家指出，2月川西高原、攀西地区森林草原火险等级较高，加 之春节人员活动增加，人为火灾隐患突出，建议加强火险监测预警，火源管理和林区巡查，及时清理林下可燃物，做好应急准备工作。 此外，四川省气候中心预计，2月上旬前期、中旬前期以及下旬，盆地大部静稳天气发生概率较高，不利于污染物的扩散，易发生雾、霾过程。冬季盆地多 大雾天气，盆周山区及高原山地易发生雨雪天气和道路结冰灾害，各地须加强监测预警，防范大雾和雨雪天气对交通运输带来的不利影响。 预计2月，全省平均降水量为10.5~12.5毫米，较常年同期（13.4毫米）偏少 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the expected impact of four cold air processes in February, which may affect transportation and other sectors during the Spring Festival period [1] - The first cold air process is expected from February 5 to 7, followed by another from February 10 to 13, with a potential cold air impact before the Spring Festival holiday [1] - The intensity of the cold air processes varies, with moderate strength in early February, stronger in mid-February, and weaker towards the end of the month [1] Group 2 - Northern regions are advised to prepare for significant temperature drops and heavy snowfall, particularly in areas like Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, and Northern Xinjiang, where temperatures may be below normal [2] - Areas in Northeast and Central China should be aware of low-temperature rain and snow risks, necessitating safety measures for transportation and energy supply [2] - Regions in Southeast China and parts of Southwest China are at risk of meteorological drought, requiring water conservation efforts and fire prevention measures [2] - The Northwest region is expected to experience increased dust and low visibility, which could adversely affect health and transportation [2] Group 3 - January saw higher-than-normal temperatures in China, with significant fluctuations and below-average precipitation [3] - A total of five cold air processes impacted the country in January, which is above the normal frequency for this time of year [3] - Drought conditions have developed in several regions, including severe drought in parts of Fujian and Guangdong [3]

Group 1 - In January 2026, the average temperature in China was -4.2°C, which is 0.7°C higher than the same period in previous years, with four cold air processes affecting the country, which is 1.2 times more than usual [2] - A significant cold air event occurred from January 16 to 21, leading to severe weather conditions including heavy snow and freezing rain, impacting electricity, transportation, and agriculture [2] - The average precipitation in January was 4.5 mm, which is 65.1% less than the historical average, resulting in drought conditions in several regions, including Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Guangdong [2] Group 2 - In February 2026, four cold air processes are expected, with varying intensities, affecting temperature and precipitation across the country [4] - Most regions in southern China are expected to have temperatures 1 to 2°C higher than the historical average, while northern areas may experience temperatures close to or slightly below average [4] - Precipitation is forecasted to be higher in northern regions and lower in southern areas, with some regions experiencing a 20% to 50% increase in precipitation compared to historical averages [4] Group 3 - There is a warning for potential strong cold spells, heavy snowfall, and strong winds in northern regions, with recommendations for agricultural and transportation sectors to prepare for adverse weather conditions [5] - Increased dust storm days and intensity are expected in the northwest and southern Xinjiang, while fog or haze days may increase in the Fenwei Plain and Yangtze River Delta [5]

降水方面，1月，全国平均降水量4.5毫米，较常年同期偏少65.1%。1月中旬以来，华东南部、华南东部 等地气象干旱发展，目前江苏东南部、上海、浙江、福建、江西东南部、广东、海南西部、云南西北部 等地有中旱，福建大部、广东中部、浙江沿海等地达重旱。 展望后期，黄卓表示，预计今年2月，除华北北部、内蒙古中东部、东北地区西部、西藏西北部、新疆 北部气温偏低0.5至1℃外，全国其余地区气温接近常年同期到偏高，南方大部气温普遍偏高，长江以南 偏高1至2℃。中东部地区降水"北多南少"，华东南部、华中南部、华南中东部、西南地区西部降水偏少 二至五成，云南西部偏少五至八成。 黄卓提醒，2月，华东南部、华中南部、华南东部、西南地区西部等地气温偏高、降水持续偏少，气象 干旱可能发展。建议做好塘坝、水库的蓄水、保水工作，科学合理调度水资源，统筹保障城乡生产、生 活用水需求，并加强消防管理，做好森林和旅游景区防火工作。(完) 1月中国平均降水量较常年同期偏少65.1% 中新社北京1月29日电 (记者 陈溯)记者29日从中国气象局获悉，今年1月，中国气温偏高，降水较常年 同期偏少，气象专家提醒注意干旱影响。 当天，中国气象局召开新闻发 ...

Core Insights - January saw higher than average temperatures in China, with significant fluctuations due to frequent cold air intrusions [2] - Precipitation levels were notably lower than the historical average, leading to drought conditions in several regions [2] Temperature and Weather Patterns - The average temperature from January 1 to 27 was -4.2°C, which is 0.7°C higher than the same period in previous years [2] - There were four cold air events, which is 1.2 times more than the historical average, with a significant cold wave occurring from January 16 to 21 [2] - The cold wave resulted in temperature drops exceeding 12°C over an area of approximately 2.78 million square kilometers, with 63 stations reporting drops of 20°C or more [2] Precipitation and Drought Conditions - The national average precipitation was 4.5 mm, which is 65.1% lower than the historical average for January [2] - Drought conditions have developed in southeastern East China and eastern South China, with areas experiencing moderate to severe drought [2] Dust Storm Events - Two dust storm events affected China in January, specifically from January 8 to 10 and January 17 to 19 [3] - The latter event reached sandstorm levels, impacting regions such as eastern and southern Xinjiang, central Gansu, and parts of Qinghai and Ningxia [3]

Core Insights - The 2025 Climate Bulletin of Qinghai Province indicates a general trend of higher temperatures across all seasons, uneven precipitation, and an increase in extreme weather events [1][2] Temperature Trends - The average temperature in Qinghai Province for 2025 is projected to be 3.5 degrees Celsius, which is 0.7 degrees Celsius higher than the historical average, marking it as the fourth warmest year since 1961 [1] - All four seasons are expected to experience higher temperatures, with autumn showing the most significant increase of 1.0 degrees Celsius; July and October are forecasted to set records for the highest average temperatures since 1961 [1] Precipitation Patterns - The annual average precipitation is estimated at 384.5 millimeters, close to the historical average, but with significant seasonal distribution disparities; spring precipitation is expected to be 30.6% lower than normal, marking the lowest level in 25 years [1] - Summer and winter precipitation is slightly above average, but the overall distribution remains uneven [1] Extreme Weather Events - The year 2025 is anticipated to see a high frequency of extreme weather events, including concentrated heavy rainfall in late July, with the number of rainstorm occurrences being the highest for the same period in history [2] - October is expected to witness the latest occurrence of heavy rainfall since 1961, with many areas recording historical precipitation levels [2] - Spring is projected to experience severe meteorological drought in the eastern regions, with the highest frequency of sandstorm events in the last 20 years [2] - Notable events include an unprecedented cold wave at the end of winter and the beginning of spring, along with a significant number of high-temperature heat events during summer [2]

Group 1 - The southern regions of China are experiencing relative humidity levels below 30%, indicating dry weather conditions [1][4] - Major cities such as Fuzhou (22%), Guilin (23%), Nanjing (24%), Xiamen (24%), Hangzhou (27%), and Changsha (28%) report significantly low humidity levels, with Guangzhou and Shenzhen at 34% and 32% respectively [1] - The dry weather pattern is expected to persist for the next week, with a warning for increased fire hazards and potential forest fire risks [1][4] Group 2 - From January 7 to 10, most of the country will continue to experience dry and clear weather, with little to no precipitation expected [2] - The Central Meteorological Observatory forecasts that only specific regions, including eastern Inner Mongolia, northeastern areas, and parts of southwestern China, will see precipitation above normal levels, while the majority of the country will have significantly less rainfall [2]

Core Insights - In 2025, China's average temperature is projected to reach 11.0°C, marking the warmest year since 1961, with Beijing experiencing the highest rainfall on record [1] - The average temperature in 2025 is expected to be 1.1°C higher than the normal average of 9.9°C, with 16 provinces recording their highest temperatures since 1961 [1] - The summer months (June to August) will see an average temperature of 22.3°C, also 1.1°C above the norm, tying with 2024 for the highest summer temperature since 1961 [1] - The number of high-temperature days in 2025 is forecasted to be 16.5 days, which is 7.4 days more than the average, representing the highest number since 1961 [1] - In terms of precipitation, 2025 will witness the most rainfall in Beijing since 1961, with 41 national meteorological stations recording historical rainfall levels [1] Weather Impact and Preparedness - Northern regions should be aware of the adverse effects of low temperatures and snow, while southern areas need to prepare for potential drought conditions [2] - The climate trend for January indicates that northeastern regions and parts of Inner Mongolia and western Xinjiang will experience lower temperatures and higher precipitation than usual, posing risks of cold weather, snow disasters, and ice [2] - Agricultural and livestock sectors in affected areas need to prepare for cold weather, while transportation, energy, and power sectors should have contingency plans for low-temperature snow disasters [2] - In contrast, central and southern regions of East and Central China are expected to have significantly less rainfall, with temperatures near or above normal, indicating a potential for drought development [2]