Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - Palm oil has short - term support but there is a risk of a second decline; for soybean oil, with the rebound of US soybeans, the spread between soybean oil and palm oil is expected to widen [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: The closing price of palm oil主力 was 8,828 yuan/ton (down 0.16% during the day session, 8,806 yuan/ton at night, down 0.25%); soybean oil主力 was 8,168 yuan/ton (up 0.44% during the day session, 8,156 yuan/ton at night, down 0.15%); rapeseed oil主力 was 9,529 yuan/ton (up 0.04% during the day session, 9,468 yuan/ton at night, down 0.64%); Malaysian palm oil主力 was 4,260 ringgit/ton (up 0.19% during the day session, 4,269 ringgit/ton at night, up 0.21%); CBOT soybean oil主力 was 49.58 cents/pound (down 1.16%) [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of palm oil主力 was 483,690 lots (down 243,616 lots), and the open interest was 391,870 lots (up 3,383 lots); for soybean oil主力, the trading volume was 286,316 lots (down 152,541 lots), and the open interest was 489,700 lots (down 3,447 lots); for rapeseed oil主力, the trading volume was 167,186 lots (down 189,402 lots), and the open interest was 226,014 lots (down 7,051 lots) [1] - **Spot Prices**: The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 8,750 yuan/ton (unchanged); the price of first - grade soybean oil in Guangdong was 8,500 yuan/ton (up 50 yuan/ton); the price of fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil in Guangxi was 9,900 yuan/ton (unchanged); the FOB price of Malaysian palm oil was 1,065 dollars/ton (down 10 dollars/ton) [1] - **Basis**: The basis of palm oil in Guangdong was - 78 yuan/ton; for soybean oil in Guangdong, it was 332 yuan/ton; for rapeseed oil in Guangxi, it was 371 yuan/ton [1] - **Price Spreads**: The spread between rapeseed oil and palm oil futures主力 was 701 yuan/ton (previous two - day spread was 683 yuan/ton); the spread between soybean oil and palm oil futures主力 was - 660 yuan/ton (previous spread was - 710 yuan/ton); the 1 - 5 spread of palm oil was - 46 yuan/ton (previous spread was - 48 yuan/ton); the 1 - 5 spread of soybean oil was 184 yuan/ton (previous spread was 172 yuan/ton); the 1 - 5 spread of rapeseed oil was 319 yuan/ton (previous spread was 349 yuan/ton) [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - Malaysia's MPIC aims to strengthen the downstream development of palm oil in Sabah, especially in biodiesel production. Sabah, the largest crude palm oil - producing region in Malaysia, had a production of 4.27 million tons in 2024, accounting for 22.1% of the national total. The state has over 1.48 million hectares of oil palm plantations, about 26.43% of the national total, and 129 palm oil mills. There are three licensed biodiesel plants in Sabah, creating about 160 jobs [2][3] - As of the week ending October 28, about 34% of US soybean - growing areas were affected by drought, down from 39% the previous week and 73% last year [3] - The estimated soybean production in Paraná, Brazil for the 2025/26 season is 21.96 million tons, higher than the September forecast of 21.94 million tons [3] - Brazil exported 1.347347 million tons of soybeans, 0.451508 million tons of soybean meal, and 1.551232 million tons of corn from October 19 - 25. It plans to export 1.832822 million tons of soybeans, 0.48587 million tons of soybean meal, and 1.369037 million tons of corn from October 26 - November 1 [4] - Since the start of the 2024/25 season, the EU's imports of five major oilseed meals reached a record high of 24.99 million tons. The increase in soybean meal imports was the most significant, reaching 20.34 million tons from October 2024 to August 2025, an increase of 3.5 million tons. Imports from Argentina, Brazil, and India increased by 2 million tons, 1.4 million tons, and 0.55 million tons respectively, while imports from the US decreased by 0.4 million tons. Rapeseed meal imports (mainly from Canada) slightly rebounded to 0.421 million tons (lower than last year's 0.647 million tons). Sunflower seed meal imports totaled 2.49 million tons (3.06 million tons last year), and palm kernel meal imports were 1.45 million tons (1.41 million tons last year) [4] - In September 2025, Canada's rapeseed crushing volume was 1.007389 million tons, up 16.07% from the previous month and 7.97% from the same period last year. Rapeseed oil production was 0.42533 million tons (up 15.8% month - on - month and 7.72% year - on - year), and rapeseed meal production was 0.589724 million tons (up 14.52% month - on - month and 8.32% year - on - year). The cumulative rapeseed crushing volume for the 2025/26 season was 1.875333 million tons, rapeseed oil production was 0.792629 million tons, and rapeseed meal production was 1.104666 million tons [5] 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of palm oil is 0, and that of soybean oil is 0. The range of trend intensity is from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]

据美国农业部（USDA）发布的月度油籽压榨报告显示，美国7月豆油产量为24.3亿磅。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the report industry investment rating in the given content. Core View of the Report The report provides short - term, medium - term, and intraday views on soybean meal, soybean oil, and palm oil futures, all of which are considered to be oscillating and strengthening. It also elaborates on the core logic behind these views for each commodity [6][7][8]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Soybean Meal (M) - **View**: Intraday view is oscillating and strengthening, medium - term view is oscillating, and the reference view is oscillating and strengthening [6]. - **Core Logic**: The US Department of Agriculture's oilseed crushing monthly report showed that the US soybean crushing volume in February was slightly higher than market expectations, boosting US soybean futures prices. Domestic soybean futures prices follow the upward trend. However, there is an expectation of a weaker domestic supply - demand environment in the future, and risks such as the weakening of the far - month basis and inventory reconstruction should be watched out for. The upward space of short - term soybean meal futures prices is limited [6]. 2. Soybean Oil (Y) - **View**: Intraday view is oscillating and strengthening, medium - term view is oscillating, and the reference view is oscillating and strengthening [8]. - **Core Logic**: The US government plans to raise the biofuel blending target, which drives the soybean oil market sentiment. The US Department of Agriculture's report shows that the US soybean oil inventory at the end of February decreased more than expected year - on - year, supporting the futures prices. Domestic soybean oil futures prices are mainly affected by raw material soybean costs and the linkage with US soybean oil futures prices [8]. 3. Palm Oil (P) - **View**: Intraday view is oscillating and strengthening, medium - term view is oscillating, and the reference view is oscillating and strengthening [9]. - **Core Logic**: Currently, there is no obvious driver for the three major oil futures, and capital attention has declined. The recent improvement in palm oil exports has boosted its futures prices. With the continuous decline of domestic palm oil inventory, trading sentiment has recovered. However, short - term high - frequency data only has a short - term impact on prices, and short - term trading is advisable [9].