Core Viewpoint - The overseas CXO industry has shown resilience under macroeconomic pressure, with overall sentiment stabilizing after hitting a bottom, suggesting a recovery in the domestic CXO sector as macro indicators like interest rates and financing improve [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The overseas CXO industry has confirmed its bottom and is showing a structural recovery trend, with significant differentiation in recovery across sectors [2] - Clinical CROs, represented by companies like IQVIA and Medpace, are leading the recovery due to strong orders and forward guidance [2] - CDMOs, exemplified by Lonza, demonstrate resilience through long-term contracts, while preclinical CROs and research services are still in a bottoming phase [2] Group 2: Clinical CRO Insights - IQVIA shows positive data with a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.15 and a 20% year-on-year increase in RFP flow, with cancellations returning to a normalized $2.2 billion from over $3 billion [3] - Medpace exhibits the strongest performance with a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.20 and a pre-backlog exceeding $3 billion, indicating high revenue visibility for 2026 [3] - ICON is experiencing demand recovery, but short-term performance is affected by project execution volatility, with a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.02 due to $900 million in project cancellations [3] Group 3: CDMO Insights - Lonza maintains stable performance with strategic long-term contracts and a structure that provides immunity to biotech financing fluctuations [4] - Samsung Biologics keeps its revenue growth guidance unchanged at approximately 25%-30%, with total contract amounts exceeding $20 billion, showcasing strong order reserves [4] - Syngene faces short-term profitability pressure but is entering a critical phase of capacity upgrades and order increases with new global clinical orders [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies with global competitive advantages in the CXO sector include WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, and others [4] - Focus on innovative drug industry chain companies with improving profitability, such as Haoyuan Pharmaceutical [4] - Attention is also recommended for companies primarily generating domestic revenue, expected to recover as innovative drugs expand internationally, like Tigermed [4]

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on globally competitive CXO companies such as WuXi AppTec, WuXi XDC Cayman, WuXi Biologics Cayman, Pharmaron, Asymchem Laboratories, Porton Pharma Solutions, and Zhejiang Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical [29][30] Core Insights - The overseas CXO industry has confirmed a bottom in prosperity and is showing signs of structural recovery. The industry has passed the cyclical bottom, but recovery is characterized by significant structural differentiation [30] - Clinical CROs like IQVIA and Medpace are leading the recovery with strong orders and guidance, while CDMOs such as Lonza demonstrate resilience through long-term contracts. Preclinical CROs and research services are still stabilizing, with improving inquiry or order cancellation rates [30][31] - The overall recovery strength and sustainability will depend on the continuation of enthusiasm in biotech financing [30] Summary by Sections 1. Overseas CXO Industry Q3 2025 Performance Review - The overseas CXO industry has shown a structural recovery trend, with significant differentiation in recovery across sectors. Clinical CROs are leading the recovery, while preclinical CROs and research services are still in a stabilization phase [8][30] 2. Leading Company Analysis 2.1 Charles River - The company is nearing a performance bottom, with Q3 revenue at $1 billion and an organic growth rate of -1.6%. The management has raised the full-year revenue and EPS guidance, indicating a positive outlook for 2026 [15][16] 2.2 Samsung Biologics - The company reported a strong Q3 performance with revenue of 1.66 trillion KRW, a 40% YoY increase. The CDMO segment continues to grow, with a full-year revenue growth guidance of 25%-30% [19][20] 2.3 Lonza - Lonza's Q3 performance met expectations, with CDMO business projected to grow by 20%-21% YoY. The company is experiencing strong demand in its core business segments [24][25] 3. Key Financial Metrics - The report includes financial forecasts for various companies, indicating expected revenue growth and profitability metrics for 2025-2027. For instance, WuXi AppTec is expected to have an EPS of 5.42 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 18 [26]

Core Viewpoint - The overseas CXO industry has shown resilience under macroeconomic pressure, with overall sentiment stabilizing as of Q3 2025. The recovery of domestic CXO is recommended as macro indicators such as interest rate cuts and investment financing improve [1]. Group 1: Investment Recommendations - Maintain an "overweight" rating, focusing on CXO companies with global competitive advantages and those in the innovative drug supply chain with improving profitability [2]. - Companies primarily generating domestic revenue are expected to gradually recover as innovative drugs expand internationally [2]. Group 2: Clinical CRO Insights - Clinical CROs are benefiting from increased investment in late-stage pipelines by pharmaceutical companies, leading to high visibility in orders and performance [3]. - IQVIA shows strong data with a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.15 and a 20% year-on-year increase in RFP flow, while cancellations have normalized to $2.2 billion from over $3 billion annually [3]. - Medpace is performing exceptionally well with a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.20 and a pre-backlog exceeding $3 billion, indicating high revenue visibility for 2026 [3]. Group 3: CDMO Insights - CDMOs are characterized by high certainty due to long-term contracts, making them less susceptible to short-term financing fluctuations [4]. - Lonza maintains stable performance with strategic long-term contracts and a structure where early-stage business constitutes only 10% of revenue, providing immunity to biotech financing volatility [4]. - Samsung Biologics continues to project revenue growth of 25%-30% for the year, with total contract amounts exceeding $20 billion, showcasing strong order reserves [4].