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国海富兰克林基金徐荔蓉:港股正迎质变时刻 万亿级“北水”重塑定价权
证券时报记者 裴利瑞 然而,这一维持多年的市场生态,正随着内地资金的持续南下而被深刻改变。 徐荔蓉指出,过去十年,内地资金曾数次高喊"跨过香江",但大多折戟,而这一次,情况已截然不 同。"最大的不一样是,在房地产市场吸引力下降的背景下,我们的流动性释放出来了,国内庞大的居 民储蓄正在寻找新的资产出口。" Wind数据显示,过去十年,港股通累计净流入资金为5万亿元人民币,但仅今年以来,净流入规模 就已突破1万亿元人民币,成交活跃时,南下资金的交易额占港股整体的近50%。 "这次的流动性转移是一个量变到质变的过程,可能会发生根本性的变化,最核心的标志是部分资 产的定价权已经发生转移。"徐荔蓉观察到,在许多港股通标的中,A股投资者的影响力与日俱增,例 如,某互联网巨头的南下资金持仓比例已接近17%,且未来可能继续上升到20%左右。 "港股的投资者结构正在发生一次从量变到质变的过程。"国海富兰克林基金总经理兼投资总监徐荔 蓉近日在接受证券时报记者专访时作出如此判断,在他看来,随着南下资金影响力的持续提升,港股的 定价逻辑、市场生态乃至波动节奏都在被重塑。 徐荔蓉认为,站在当前时点,港股的估值修复远未结束。在全球资产低 ...
港股正迎质变时刻 万亿级“北水”重塑定价权
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-07 22:30
国海富兰克林基金/供图 证券时报记者 裴利瑞 "港股的投资者结构正在发生一次从量变到质变的过程。"国海富兰克林基金总经理兼投资总监徐荔蓉近 日在接受证券时报记者专访时作出如此判断,在他看来,随着南下资金影响力的持续提升,港股的定价 逻辑、市场生态乃至波动节奏都在被重塑。 徐荔蓉认为,站在当前时点,港股的估值修复远未结束。在全球资产低配和国内流动性充裕的双重驱动 下,港股具备长期向好的坚实基础。尤其以互联网巨头为代表的核心资产,其传统业务基本面已稳固见 底,而AI(人工智能)带来的长期价值尚未被市场充分定价,存在巨大的重估空间。 "北水"重塑港股定价权 "以前港股是很典型的离岸市场,虽然并不缺长线投资者,但定价权主要掌握在海外资金手中。"徐荔蓉 回忆道,"我们会发现,港股很容易隔几年就出现一个大的波段,只要在高位卖掉,耐心等着它跌回来 再买入,投资相对容易把握,这与港股的离岸市场特点密切相关。" 徐荔蓉表示,这一交易特征"类似十年前的韩国"。彼时,韩国市场作为全球配置中的"边缘"市场,外资 的进出主导着市场节奏,而韩国本地投资者则在这个过程中学会了与外资反向操作。 然而,这一维持多年的市场生态,正随着内地资金的 ...
国海富兰克林基金徐荔蓉: 港股正迎质变时刻万亿级“北水”重塑定价权
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-07 18:48
"港股的投资者结构正在发生一次从量变到质变的过程。"国海富兰克林基金总经理兼投资总监徐荔蓉近 日在接受证券时报记者专访时作出如此判断,在他看来,随着南下资金影响力的持续提升,港股的定价 逻辑、市场生态乃至波动节奏都在被重塑。 "北水"重塑港股定价权 "以前港股是很典型的离岸市场,虽然并不缺长线投资者,但定价权主要掌握在海外资金手中。"徐荔蓉 回忆道,"我们会发现,港股很容易隔几年就出现一个大的波段,只要在高位卖掉,耐心等着它跌回来 再买入,投资相对容易把握,这与港股的离岸市场特点密切相关。" 徐荔蓉表示,这一交易特征"类似十年前的韩国"。彼时,韩国市场作为全球配置中的"边缘"市场,外资 的进出主导着市场节奏,而韩国本地投资者则在这个过程中学会了与外资反向操作。 然而,这一维持多年的市场生态,正随着内地资金的持续南下而被深刻改变。 徐荔蓉指出,过去十年,内地资金曾数次高喊"跨过香江",但大多折戟,而这一次,情况已截然不 同。"最大的不一样是,在房地产市场吸引力下降的背景下,我们的流动性释放出来了,国内庞大的居 民储蓄正在寻找新的资产出口。" Wind数据显示,过去十年,港股通累计净流入资金为5万亿元人民币,但仅 ...
南向资金,单日狂扫359亿!港股定价权正被ETF改写?
券商中国· 2025-08-17 08:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how ETFs are reshaping the pricing system of certain core sectors in the Hong Kong stock market, driven by significant inflows of southbound capital and the performance of thematic ETFs [1][7]. Group 1: Southbound Capital Inflows - On August 15, southbound capital net bought HK stocks worth 35.876 billion HKD, setting a new single-day record since the launch of the Stock Connect mechanism. Year-to-date, the net inflow has reached 938.9 billion HKD, continuously breaking annual records [2]. - Thematic ETFs play a crucial role in this capital flow, with six out of nine ETFs that have seen over 10 billion HKD in net inflows this year being Hong Kong-themed ETFs [2][6]. Group 2: Performance of Thematic ETFs - Thematic ETFs focused on internet, non-bank financials, and innovative pharmaceuticals have shown particularly strong performance. For instance, the 富国中证港股通互联网ETF increased by 17.703 billion HKD in the past month, while the 易方达中证香港证券投资主题ETF grew by 13.309 billion HKD [4]. - Year-to-date, the 富国中证港股通互联网ETF has seen a net increase of 46.918 billion HKD, ranking first in the market, while other ETFs in the technology and innovative pharmaceutical sectors have also surpassed 10 billion HKD in growth [4][5]. Group 3: Impact on Pricing Mechanism - The increasing scale of ETFs is leading to a significant expansion in the Hong Kong ETF market, with both leading products and niche themes gaining traction. This shift is primarily driven by strong performance metrics [5]. - The influence of southbound capital, particularly through ETFs, is becoming more pronounced in the pricing of Hong Kong stocks, especially for H-shares of brokerage firms, which have outperformed their A-share counterparts [9][10]. Group 4: Long-term Trends and Outlook - The article suggests that the current valuation recovery in the Hong Kong market is far from over, with ETFs being seen as the optimal way for investors to engage in the evolving pricing system [13]. - Analysts believe that the Hong Kong market is experiencing a unique phase characterized by ample incremental capital, improved risk appetite, and attractive valuations compared to overseas markets, which could provide sustained momentum for the market [13][14].