港股消费服务投资

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海外消费周报:2025下半年港股消费服务投资策略:关注茶饮新股,把握出行链机会-20250606
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-06 11:42
Group 1: Hong Kong Consumer Services Investment Strategy - The report highlights the significant effect of the ready-to-drink tea segment, emphasizing the competition in supply chains. Mixue has the largest and earliest established supply chain, while Gu Ming excels in fruit procurement and cold chain logistics. Both companies are expected to enter the Hong Kong Stock Connect on June 9 [1][4]. - Online travel competition in China is improving, with Tongcheng Travel showing high performance and expected profit margin improvements. Trip.com Group's short-term investments may impact profit margins, but long-term growth is anticipated [1][4]. - Macau's gaming revenue shows resilience, with May gross gaming revenue reaching 21.2 billion MOP, a post-pandemic high, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase and recovering 82% compared to the same period in 2019 [1][4]. Group 2: Key Companies to Watch - Key companies to focus on include Gu Ming (01364.HK), Mixue Group (02097.HK), Trip.com Group (09961.HK), and MGM China (02282.HK) [1][5]. Group 3: Overseas Pharmaceutical Developments - The report notes that the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rose by 2.35%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 0.93 percentage points [7]. - Domestic pharmaceutical companies are making progress, with Hansoh granting Regeneron global exclusive rights to its GLP-1/GIP dual receptor agonist HS-20094, receiving an upfront payment of $80 million and potential milestone payments of up to $1.93 billion [9][10]. - BioNTech and BMS have reached an agreement to co-develop and commercialize BioNTech's dual-specific antibody BNT327, with BMS paying an upfront fee of $1.5 billion and potential milestone payments of up to $7.6 billion [10]. Group 4: Education Sector Insights - The education index increased by 2.2%, outperforming the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 0.4 percentage points, with a year-to-date increase of 8.76% [14]. - The report suggests focusing on Hong Kong higher education companies, anticipating improved profitability due to slowed investment and peak capital expenditures. Recommended companies include Yuhua Education, Neusoft Ruixin Group, and China Education Group [16]. - The report also highlights the recovery in vocational training demand, with a positive outlook for China Oriental Education, which is expected to significantly enhance operational efficiency [16].