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煤价旺季反弹,板块逢低配置
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-29 03:23
证券研究报告 行业研究-周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 煤炭开采 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高升:煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 煤价旺季反弹,板块逢低配置 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 6 月 29 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com2 ◆ 动力煤价格方面:本周秦港价格周环比增加,产地大同价格周环比上涨。 港口动力煤:截至 6 月 28 日,秦皇岛港动力煤(Q5500)山西产市场价 614 元/吨,周环比上涨 4 元/吨。产地动力煤:截至 6 月 27 日,陕西 榆林动力块煤(Q6000)坑口价 595 元/吨,周环比上涨 5.0 元/吨;内 蒙古东胜大块精煤车板价(Q5500)477 元/吨,周环比上涨 1.8 元/吨; 大同南郊粘煤 ...
供给收缩渐显,静待需求驱动
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-15 06:29
供给收缩渐显,静待需求驱动 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 6 月 15 日 证券研究报告 行业研究-周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] 煤炭开采 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高升:煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿:煤炭行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525040002 邮箱:lirui@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 供给收缩渐显,静待需求驱动 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 15 日 本期内容提要: [Table_Summary] ...
底部夯实待旺季,煤价企稳势渐明
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-08 12:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The supply side is experiencing a contraction trend due to ongoing safety inspections and negative feedback from coal prices, which may stabilize coal prices [11][12] - The demand side shows an increase in daily coal consumption in both inland and coastal provinces, indicating potential for demand release as the peak season approaches [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of June 7, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 611 CNY/ton, down 2 CNY/ton week-on-week [29] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port is 1290 CNY/ton, down 30 CNY/ton week-on-week [31] - International thermal coal prices show mixed trends, with Newcastle NEWC5500 at 66.8 USD/ton, down 0.2 USD/ton week-on-week [29] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 95%, down 1.1 percentage points week-on-week [48] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces increased by 33,000 tons/day (+11.76%) week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 7000 tons/day (+0.41%) [49] - The utilization rate for sample coking coal mines is 84.65%, down 0.8 percentage points week-on-week [48] Inventory Situation - Coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 640,000 tons week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 498,000 tons [49] - The available days of coal in inland provinces decreased by 2.90 days week-on-week, indicating tighter supply [49] Investment Recommendations - Focus on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as those with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and China Power Investment [12]
量减价稳,重视煤炭板块配置
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-25 07:40
量减价稳,重视煤炭板块配置 证券研究报告 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 25 日 行业研究-周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] 煤炭开采 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高升:煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿:煤炭行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525040002 邮箱:lirui@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 量减价稳,重视煤炭板块配置 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 25 日 本期内容提要: [Table_Summary] ...
日耗拐点将至,煤价或企稳回升
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-18 05:01
日耗拐点将至,煤价或企稳回升 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 证券研究报告 | [Table_StockAndRank] 煤炭开采 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高升:煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿:煤炭行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525040002 邮箱:lirui@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 日耗拐点将至,煤价或企稳回升 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要: [Table_Summary] 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.ci ...
煤价节后延续弱势,底部渐显无需过忧
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-11 08:25
| [Table_StockAndRank] 煤炭开采 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 煤价节后延续弱势,底部渐显无需过忧 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 11 日 证券研究报告 行业研究-周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com ◆ 动力煤价格方面:本周秦港价格周环比下降,产地大同价格周环比下降。 港口动力煤:截至 5 月 10 日,秦皇岛港动力煤(Q5500)山西产市场价 635 元/吨,周环比下跌 17 元/吨。产地动力煤:截至 5 月 9 日,陕西 榆林动力块煤(Q6000)坑口价 588 元/吨,周环比下跌 2.0 元/吨;内 蒙古东胜大块精煤车板价(Q5500)484 元/吨,周环比下跌 12.7 元/吨; 大同南郊粘煤坑口价(含税)(Q5500)520 元/吨,周环比下跌 6 元/吨。 国际动力煤离岸价:截至 5 月 10 日,纽卡斯尔 NE ...
煤炭开采行业周报:煤价淡季或逐步趋稳,关注迎峰度夏补库情况
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-05 08:23
煤价淡季或逐步趋稳,关注迎峰度夏补库情况 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 5 日 | 证券研究报告 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 况 | | 行业研究-周报 | | | | [Table_ReportType] | | | | 行业周报 | | 本期内容提要: | | | | [Table_Summary] | | 煤炭开采 | | | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | | 上次评级 | 看好 | | | [Table_StockAndRank] | | | 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高升:煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿:煤炭行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525040002 邮箱:lirui@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B ...
煤价淡季或逐步趋稳,关注迎峰度夏补库情况
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-05 07:22
煤价淡季或逐步趋稳,关注迎峰度夏补库情况 | 证券研究报告 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 况 | | 行业研究-周报 | | | | [Table_ReportType] | | | | 行业周报 | | 本期内容提要: | | | | [Table_Summary] | | 煤炭开采 | | | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | | 上次评级 | 看好 | | | [Table_StockAndRank] | | | 左前明:能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高升:煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿:煤炭行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525040002 邮箱:lirui@cindasc.com [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 5 日 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B ...
淡季煤价探底运行,静候市场拐点
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-27 04:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [10][11] - The coal price is believed to have reached a bottom, with expectations of a rebound in demand for replenishment in mid to late May [10][11] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a short-term supply-demand balance and a long-term gap still present [10][11] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of April 26, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 657 CNY/ton, down 8 CNY/ton week-on-week [22][27] - The international thermal coal FOB price for Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 70.6 USD/ton, down 0.5 USD/ton week-on-week [22][27] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port remains stable at 1400 CNY/ton [29] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94.2%, down 1.7 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 88.38%, up 0.68 percentage points [10][44] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces decreased by 10.70 thousand tons/day (-3.5%), while consumption in coastal provinces increased by 4.40 thousand tons/day (+2.48%) [10][45] Inventory Situation - As of April 24, coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 186.10 thousand tons, while inventory in coastal provinces decreased by 24.50 thousand tons [45] - The available days of coal in inland provinces increased by 1.60 days, while it decreased by 0.50 days in coastal provinces [45] Investment Recommendations - Focus on stable and robust companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as those with significant rebound potential like Yanzhou Coal and Datong Coal [11]