Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to invest in the coal sector [11][12] - The coal market is expected to face downward pressure in the short term due to seasonal consumption declines and increased supply, but the downside for coal prices is considered limited due to geopolitical tensions and high import costs [11][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality coal companies with strong cash flow, high returns on equity, and attractive dividend yields, suggesting that coal assets remain undervalued and have potential for valuation uplift [11][12] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Price Tracking - As of March 14, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 731 CNY/ton, down 14 CNY/ton week-on-week [31] - The international thermal coal price at Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 88.5 USD/ton, down 1.0 USD/ton week-on-week [31] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port is 1590 CNY/ton, down 20 CNY/ton week-on-week [33] 2. Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 90.6%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points week-on-week [50] - The daily coal consumption in inland provinces has decreased by 54.4 thousand tons/day, a decline of 14.88% week-on-week [11][12] - The steel furnace operating rate is 78.34%, an increase of 0.63 percentage points week-on-week [11] 3. Coal Inventory Situation - Coastal provinces' coal inventory has increased by 359,000 tons week-on-week, while inland provinces' coal inventory has decreased by 2.237 million tons [11] - The available days of coal in coastal provinces have decreased by 0.5 days week-on-week [11] 4. Market Performance - The coal sector has outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 5.42% compared to a 0.19% increase in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [15][18] - Key stocks in the coal sector include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, which are highlighted for their stable operations and strong performance [13]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 5.7% compared to a 1.08% rise in the index, resulting in a 4.62 percentage point outperformance [2] - The report highlights a strong support for coal prices due to rising oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, suggesting a shift in energy consumption towards coal in various sectors [5] - The report indicates that coal assets are expected to be revalued positively, with healthy fundamentals in coking coal and low inventories supporting price stability and potential increases [5] Summary by Sections Coal Sector Performance - As of February 27, 2026, the coal sector saw a 5.7% increase, with all 37 stocks in the sector rising, and the highest performer being Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment with a 38.99% increase [2] Thermal Coal Industry - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 685 RMB/ton, up 0.44% week-on-week, while the import price index for Chinese thermal coal rose by 6.21% to 958 RMB/ton [2] - Inventory levels at Qinhuangdao port increased by 90,000 tons to 5.08 million tons as of February 27, 2026 [2] Coking Coal Industry - As of February 27, 2026, the price of main coking coal at Jingtang Port remained stable at 1,700 RMB/ton, while some production areas saw price declines [3] - Coking coal futures settled at 1,082.5 RMB/ton, down 3.35% week-on-week, with total inventory at independent coking plants decreasing by 45,400 tons [3] Coal Chemical Industry - Prices for various coal chemical products showed mixed trends, with methanol prices in East China at 2,168.86 RMB/ton, down 31.59 RMB/ton week-on-week, while urea prices increased by 30 RMB/ton [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and flexible coking coal companies, as well as companies in the smokeless coal and coal chemical sectors that are expected to benefit from high oil prices [5] - Specific companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company among thermal coal firms, and Shanxi Coking Coal and Huainan Mining among coking coal firms [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Views - The coal sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 5.7% compared to a 1.08% rise in the index, resulting in a 4.62 percentage point outperformance [2] - The report highlights a strong support for coal prices due to rising oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, suggesting a shift in energy consumption patterns towards coal in various sectors [5][24] - The report indicates that the current coal asset dividends are reasonable, maintaining a "Positive" industry rating, and recommends focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and flexible coking coal companies [5][24] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal Industry - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) index is 685 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.44%. The imported thermal coal price index is 958 RMB/ton, up 6.21% week-on-week [2] - Inventory levels at Qinhuangdao port are at 5.08 million tons, an increase of 90,000 tons week-on-week [2] Coking Coal Industry - The price of main coking coal at Jingtang port is 1,700 RMB/ton, unchanged week-on-week. The price of Australian Peak coal has decreased by 0.79% week-on-week [3] - Coking coal futures settled at 1,082.5 RMB/ton, down 3.35% week-on-week [3] - Inventory at Jingtang port for coking coal is 1.7452 million tons, an increase of 10.56% week-on-week [3] Coal Chemical Industry - The price of anthracite coal in Yangquan is 900 RMB/ton, unchanged week-on-week. The methanol market price in East China is 2,168.86 RMB/ton, down 31.59 RMB/ton week-on-week [4] - The price of urea in Henan is 1,780 RMB/ton, up 30 RMB/ton week-on-week [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining for thermal coal, and companies like Hengtai Coal and Electricity, Pingmei Shenma Energy, and Shanxi Coking Coal for coking coal [5][24]