Group 1 - The core influence of the "Trump variable" is shaping global central bank policy and stock market trends, particularly regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction and interest rate expectations [2][3] - Global central banks are expected to adopt increasingly diverse monetary policy paths, moving away from synchronized actions in response to U.S. economic uncertainties under Trump's administration [1][2] - Bloomberg Economics predicts that major central banks will exhibit varied interest rate trajectories, with the U.S. policy uncertainty continuing to challenge central bank decision-making confidence [2][5] Group 2 - Excluding the U.S., developed economies' interest rate indicators are expected to remain stable, highlighting the potential for significant divergence in monetary policies among developed nations [3][5] - The Federal Reserve's policy decisions are likely to be more scrutinized than before, as it faces mixed economic signals and political pressures from the Trump administration [3][6] - Economists anticipate that while the Federal Reserve may implement more substantial rate cuts than previously expected, other major central banks may not follow suit due to their earlier aggressive rate cuts and inflation concerns [6][5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the divergence in global central bank monetary policies due to the influence of U.S. President Trump's administration and its impact on economic uncertainty and market volatility [1][5][8] - Bloomberg Economics predicts that the monetary policy paths of major economies will become increasingly diverse over the next two years, moving away from the synchronized approach seen in recent years [4][8] - The "Trump variable" is identified as a significant factor affecting global central bank policy decisions, particularly regarding interest rate expectations and the independence of the Federal Reserve [5][9] Group 2 - The articles indicate that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy may be more flexible than previously anticipated, with expectations of potential rate cuts in 2026 exceeding market predictions [11][12] - Other major central banks, such as those in Canada, Japan, and Switzerland, are expected to announce continued rate hikes, while the Eurozone may maintain its current policy rates [11][12] - Emerging market countries, including Brazil and Nigeria, are anticipated to implement significant rate cuts, further contributing to the divergence in global monetary policy [11][12]