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兴业银锡(000426):短期因素干扰业绩释放,未来成长可期
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-26 05:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with an expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19, 15, and 12 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.473 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.93% to 796 million yuan [1]. - The decline in profit is attributed to short-term factors such as safety production accidents, construction delays, and equipment maintenance, which led to a decrease in ore quality and production [1][2]. - The company has significant silver reserves, ranking first in Asia and eighth globally, with a total silver reserve of 24,537 tons, accounting for 34.56% of China's total silver reserves [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.324 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.68%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.19%. The net profit for the same quarter was 421 million yuan, down 35.58% year-on-year but up 12.54% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The average price of silver in the first half of 2025 was 8,144 yuan per kilogram, a 21% increase year-on-year, while the average price of tin was 262,000 yuan per ton, up 9.2% year-on-year [2]. Growth Prospects - The company is expanding its production capacity with the ongoing construction of the Silver Mine Phase II project, which is expected to increase processing capacity from 1.65 million tons per year to 2.97 million tons per year [3]. - The acquisition of Atlantic Tin Industry is progressing smoothly, with the company successfully acquiring 96.04% of its shares, aiming for complete control [3]. Profit Forecast - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated to be 1.964 billion yuan, 2.489 billion yuan, and 2.940 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19, 15, and 12 [4].