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圆柱电池市场“洗牌”酝酿,场景争夺战打响
高工锂电· 2025-04-20 07:16
Core Viewpoint - The global cylindrical battery market is undergoing a structural transformation driven by technological advancements and increased manufacturing efficiency, leading to a competitive landscape focused on diverse application scenarios [2][25]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The cylindrical battery market is experiencing a shift, with a decline in shipments for power applications, particularly influenced by changes in Tesla's 21700 model sales, while electric two-wheelers and tools see significant growth [7][8]. - Chinese companies have rapidly increased their market share in cylindrical batteries, surpassing 40% globally in 2024, while Japanese and Korean manufacturers face declines [7][8]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The adoption of large cylindrical batteries in high-end vehicles, such as BMW's next-generation electric models, marks a significant milestone, showcasing the commercial viability of this technology [3][4]. - The full-tab technology has matured, enhancing manufacturing precision and yield, allowing for rapid charging capabilities that meet market demands for ultra-fast charging [4][5]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Companies like EVE Energy, Xinwangda, and others are positioned to capitalize on the growing cylindrical battery market, with a focus on specific application scenarios to gain competitive advantages [6][25]. - The competition is intensifying as firms explore various technical strategies, including the use of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) and lithium manganese iron phosphate (LMFP) chemistries, which are becoming more prevalent in both large and small cylindrical batteries [15][19]. Group 4: Emerging Applications - The electric aviation sector, particularly eVTOL and high-end drone markets, is becoming a new battleground for cylindrical batteries, with a shift from soft-pack batteries to cylindrical designs due to their performance and safety advantages [10][11]. - Companies are developing new cylindrical battery solutions tailored for emerging markets, such as humanoid robots and backup power for AI data centers, indicating a diversification of applications [14][19]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The cylindrical battery market is expected to see significant growth, with projections indicating that large cylindrical batteries will dominate the electric two-wheeler market, potentially replacing smaller cylindrical batteries [21][25]. - The ongoing technological innovations and market demands are likely to reshape the competitive landscape of the cylindrical battery market in the coming years [25].