科技制造中周期
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中银晨会聚焦-20251031
Bank of China Securities· 2025-10-31 01:19
证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2025 年 10 月 31 日 | 10 月金股组合 | | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | | 600029.SH | 南方航空 | | 600428.SH | 中远海特 | | 601233.SH | 桐昆股份 | | 002409.SZ | 雅克科技 | | 300750.SZ | 宁德时代 | | 000524.SZ | 岭南控股 | | 688249.SH | 晶合集成 | | 002916.SZ | 深南电路 | | 002241.SZ | 歌尔股份 | | 002609.SZ | 捷顺科技 | 中银晨会聚焦-20251031 ■重点关注 【策略研究】趋势与矛盾*王君 徐亚。科技制造持仓创历史新高,趋势与矛 盾并存。 【交通运输】中远海特*王靖添 刘国强。公司披露 2025 年三季报, 2025 年 前三季度,公司营业收入实现 166.11 亿元,同比大增 37.92%,归母净利实 现 13.29 亿元,同比增长 10.54%,扣非归母净利实现 13.40 亿元,同比增长 32.19%。我们看好公司在风电、储能设备、汽车、纸浆等特种运输细分领 ...
2025年基金三季报点评:趋势与矛盾
Bank of China Securities· 2025-10-30 08:39
Group 1 - The report highlights a significant increase in fund assets and holdings, with total fund assets rising by 20.2% to 4.15 trillion yuan and total market value of holdings increasing by 22.0% to 3.56 trillion yuan in Q3 2025 [3][5] - The report indicates a shift in fund positioning, with a notable increase in allocations to the ChiNext and STAR Market while reducing exposure to the main board [5][27] - The concentration of holdings has increased, with CR5/10/20/30/50 ownership concentration rising by 3.4/5.2/6.1/6.3/5.8 percentage points compared to Q2 2025, reflecting a preference for large-cap stocks [5][27] Group 2 - The report identifies a trend of reducing allocations in consumer and financial sectors while increasing exposure to technology and advanced manufacturing sectors, particularly in electronics and communications [27][32] - The allocation to the eight broad technology manufacturing sectors has risen significantly, with the overall allocation increasing from 52.2% in the mid-report to 63.2% in Q3 2025, and the overweight ratio rising from 16.8% to 22.1% [27][36] - The report notes that the allocation to TMT sectors has reached a historical high, with the overall allocation increasing from 28.9% to 40.4% in Q3 2025, and the overweight ratio rising from 10.5% to 17.9% [27][36] Group 3 - The report details a decrease in allocations to essential and discretionary consumer sectors, with the allocation to discretionary consumption dropping by 2.8 percentage points and essential consumption by 3.7 percentage points [27][36] - The financial sector saw a decline in allocation, with the banking sector's allocation decreasing by 3.0 percentage points and non-bank financials slightly down by 0.3 percentage points [27][36] - The report emphasizes that the current market structure and economic adjustments are driving the stock market's structural changes, with technology and advanced manufacturing sectors becoming increasingly correlated with macroeconomic conditions [27][36]