Core Viewpoint - The construction of a unified national market requires the regulation of local investment attraction behaviors and the elimination of local protectionism, with tax incentive policies being a key measure to break local protectionism [2][4][5]. Tax Competition Indicators - Two tax competition indicators have been established: the provincial tax competition index, which indicates the intensity of tax competition and the attractiveness of tax policies to enterprises, and the tax refund rate for listed companies in each province, which measures the proportion of tax exemptions for listed companies [6][7][8]. - The current tax competition index is close to its highest value in the past 30 years, reflecting the necessity of a unified national market [7][23]. Four Types of Competition Models - The 31 provinces can be categorized into four competition models based on the tax competition index and the tax refund rate for listed companies: 1. **Free Type**: Low tax competition index and low refund rate (e.g., Beijing, Tianjin) indicating minimal local protectionism [15]. 2. **Strong Type**: Low tax competition index and high refund rate (e.g., Jiangxi, Zhejiang) focusing on attracting large enterprises [15]. 3. **Depressed Type**: High tax competition index and low refund rate (e.g., Henan, Jilin) indicating high overall tax policy attractiveness but low emphasis on listed companies [15]. 4. **Preferential Type**: High tax competition index and high refund rate (e.g., Hunan, Shandong) indicating the highest local protectionism and urgent need for a unified market [15]. Tax Competition Index Analysis - The tax competition index has been rising since 2010, with a projected average of 0.88 for 2024, nearing the maximum value of 0.9 observed in the past 30 years [23][24]. - The highest tax competition indices are found in Central and Northeast China, while the lowest are in South and North China [24]. Tax Refund Rate for Listed Companies - The national tax refund rate for listed companies has been around 5% to 10% over the past 30 years, with a significant increase to 15% in 2024, reflecting a higher level of tax relief compared to historical averages [28][29]. - The highest tax refund rates for listed companies are observed in Jiangxi (38.2%), Zhejiang (36.7%), and Hunan (35.6%), while the lowest are in Shanxi (1.6%) and Guizhou (2.4%) [29].

Group 1: Macro Insights - The central government emphasizes the need to advance the construction of a unified national market, addressing local protectionism as a significant barrier to this goal[2] - Tax competition among local governments is a key factor contributing to local protectionism, with tax incentives being a primary tool for attracting investment[2][3] - The current tax competition index is close to its highest level in the past 30 years, indicating the urgency for a unified market[3][14] Group 2: Tax Competition Indicators - Two tax competition indicators are constructed: the provincial tax competition index and the tax refund rate for listed companies, which reflect local protection tendencies[3][11] - The provincial tax competition index averages 0.88 in 2024, nearing the historical maximum of 0.9, with significant regional variations[6][26] - The highest tax competition index is found in Hunan (1.83), while the lowest is in Shanghai (0.22) and Beijing (0.24)[7][26] Group 3: Tax Refund Rates - The national tax refund rate for listed companies reached 15% in 2024, significantly above the long-term average of 5%-10%[8][32] - Jiangxi has the highest tax refund rate at 38.2%, while Shanxi has the lowest at 1.6%[9][32] - Regional disparities exist, with East China and South China showing the highest tax refund rates, while Northwest and North China exhibit the lowest[9][32]

Group 1 - The German government has approved a €46 billion corporate tax reduction plan aimed at revitalizing the economy through tax incentives and measures to enhance international competitiveness and stimulate corporate investment [1][5] - The plan includes three core measures: accelerated depreciation for movable assets, a gradual reduction of corporate income tax from 15% to 10% by 2028, and increased R&D subsidies for large and small enterprises [2][5] - The tax reduction is expected to significantly benefit sectors such as manufacturing, automotive, and technology, providing immediate cash flow support and encouraging investment in automation and green technologies [2][3] Group 2 - The German economy is projected to experience zero growth in 2025, with the current economic cycle showing signs of weakness, influenced by U.S. tariff policies and domestic fiscal stimulus measures [1][3] - The tax reduction plan is part of a broader fiscal reform that includes a €500 billion infrastructure fund aimed at various sectors, marking a shift from strict fiscal conservatism to a more flexible fiscal policy [1][2] - The implementation of the tax reduction plan may face challenges, including potential pressure on fiscal revenues, uncertainty in parliamentary approval, and external trade tensions that could undermine its effectiveness [3][4][5]