稳定资本市场政策

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A股开盘速递 | 三大指数集体低开 白酒、油气等板块表现活跃
智通财经网· 2025-06-18 01:46
Group 1 - A-shares opened lower with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.04% and the ChiNext Index down 0.16%, while sectors like liquor and oil extraction showed activity, and rare earth permanent magnets and innovative drugs faced declines [1] - Huaxi Securities focuses on the upcoming Lujiazui Forum on June 18, expecting the release of significant financial policies that could support the A-share market's upward momentum [1] - The recent negotiations between China and the US align with market expectations, but geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are impacting global risk appetite, leading to short-term fluctuations in A-shares [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities anticipates that the A-share market will likely maintain a volatile trend in the short term, emphasizing the importance of structural opportunities [2] - Despite external uncertainties, domestic economic resilience is expected to strengthen due to ongoing policy support, with a notable trend of residents reallocating wealth towards financial assets [2] - The expansion of equity public funds and the influx of medium to long-term capital are expected to contribute to a stable and improving funding environment for A-shares [2] Group 3 - Shenwan Hongyuan suggests that stable capital market policies provide a "buffer" against macro disturbances, allowing for a focus on sector performance rather than macroeconomic analysis [3] - The primary downside risk for the market is linked to long-term transmission chains, particularly if the US economy underperforms, which could delay improvements in A-share supply-demand dynamics [3] - The process of validating China's global competitiveness is seen as a phase for optimistic expectations to develop, although this may also introduce potential disturbances as market conditions change [3]
【申万宏源策略 | 一周回顾展望】中短期市场节奏判断视角:淡化宏观,强化结构
申万宏源研究· 2025-06-16 01:50
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that regional conflicts have escalated, leading to a decline in global risk appetite and a subsequent adjustment in the A-share market. The core reason for this adjustment is that the structural market has reached low-cost performance areas, resulting in decreased internal market stability [1][2] - It is suggested to lower the weight of macroeconomic analysis and increase the focus on strong sectoral trends when assessing the short-term market. This is due to the stabilizing capital market policies acting as a "buffer" against macro disturbances [2][3] - The current market's main downward risk is linked to long transmission chain risks, such as the potential for the U.S. economy to decline more than expected, which could reinforce global recession expectations [3] Group 2 - New consumption sectors (jewelry, trendy toys, new snacks and beverages, beauty products) and leading innovative pharmaceutical companies are still in a favorable narrative, although short-term volatility is increasing [4][5] - The article highlights that the Hong Kong stock market is a potential leading market in a bull cycle, with A-shares increasingly represented in Hong Kong, which is becoming a key segment for China's financial external circulation [5] - The article provides a detailed analysis of the profit expansion indicators across various sectors, indicating that sectors like oil and gas, precious metals, and pharmaceuticals continue to show positive trends, while others like textiles and real estate are experiencing contraction [8]