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白糖数据日报-20250801
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-01 06:03
Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a daily data report on sugar, covering domestic and international sugar - related data and market analysis [2][3][4] Group 2: Domestic Sugar Price and Market Data - On July 31, 2025, the spot price of sugar in Nanning, Guangxi was 6100 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; in Kunming, Yunnan was 5900 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan; in Dali, Yunnan was 5790 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; in Rizhao, Shandong was 6115 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan [3] - SR09 was 5793, down 11; SR01 was 5655, down 11; SR09 - 01 was 138, unchanged [3] - The domestic market demand was weak, low inventory supported the spot price in Guangxi, and processed sugar entered the market, causing the quoted price to loosen and putting pressure on prices [4] Group 3: International Sugar Price and Market Data - On July 31, 2025, the exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar was 7.2095, up 0.0160; the exchange rate of the real against the RMB was 1.2818, up 0.0212; the exchange rate of the rupee against the RMB was 0.084, down 0.0004 [3] - The main contract of ICE raw sugar was 16.46, unchanged; the main contract of London white sugar was 573, up 3; the main contract of Brent crude oil was 72.75, unchanged [3] - In Brazil, sugar production in the second half of June was lower than expected. If the sugar - alcohol ratio continued to decline, Brazil's sugar output might not meet expectations [4] Group 4: Market Outlook - Considering the expected increase in imports, the overall domestic supply - demand situation would be marginally looser, and the market was expected to be bearish after a rebound [4]
白糖数据日报-20250730
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 06:16
Report Overview - The report is a daily data report on sugar, covering domestic and international market data and analysis [2][3][4] Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Internationally, Brazil's sugar production decline in the second half of June exceeded expectations. If the sugar - alcohol ratio continues to decrease, Brazil's sugar output may fall short of expectations [4] - Domestically, market demand is weak. Low inventory supports Guangxi's spot prices, but the entry of processed sugar into the market is putting pressure on prices. Considering the expected increase in imports, the domestic supply - demand situation is expected to gradually ease, and a bearish view is maintained after a rebound [4] Data Summary Domestic Spot Prices - In Guangxi, the price in Nanning Warehouse is 6120 yuan/ton, with no change; in Yunnan, the price in Kunming is 5915 yuan/ton, in Dali is 5800 yuan/ton, both unchanged; in Shandong, the price in Rizhao is 6135 yuan/ton, also unchanged [3] Futures Prices - SR09 is 5867 yuan/ton, up 22; SR01 is 5731 yuan/ton, up 29; SR09 - 01 is 136, down 7 [3] Exchange Rates and International Futures - The RMB - US dollar exchange rate is 7.1975, up 0.0120; the Brazilian real - RMB exchange rate is 1.2818, up 0.0212; the Indian rupee - RMB exchange rate is 0.084, down 0.0004 [3] - The ICE raw sugar主力 is 16.43, unchanged; the London white sugar主力 is 573, up 3; the Brent crude oil主力 is 69.6, unchanged [3]
白糖数据日报-20250729
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 05:21
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - International: Brazil's sugar production decline in the second half of June exceeded expectations. If the sugar - alcohol ratio continues to be adjusted downward, Brazil's sugar production may fall short of expectations [4]. - Domestic: Market demand is weak. Low inventory supports Guangxi's spot prices, but the entry of processed sugar into the market with loose quotes exerts pressure on prices. Considering the expected increase in imports, the domestic supply - demand situation shows a marginal loosening, and a bearish view is maintained after a rebound [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalog Domestic Sugar Price and Futures Data - Spot prices: In Guangxi (Nanning Warehouse), it's 6120 yuan/ton with no change; in Yunnan (Kunming), 5915 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan; in Yunnan (Dali), 5800 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan; in Shandong (Rizhao), 6135 yuan/ton, with no change [4]. - Futures prices: SR09 is 5845 yuan/ton, down 31 yuan; SR01 is 5702 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan; SR09 - 01 is 143, down 27 [4]. Exchange Rate and International Commodity Data - Exchange rates: RMB to USD is 7.1855, up 0.0060; Brazilian Real to RMB is 1.2818, up 0.0212; Indian Rupee to RMB is 0.084, down 0.0004 [4]. - International commodity prices: ICE raw sugar主力 is 16.28, with no change; London white sugar主力 is 573, up 3; Brent crude oil主力 is 67.6, with no change [4].
白糖数据日报-20250724
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-24 04:12
Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Core View - Internationally, Brazil's sugar production decline in the second half of June exceeded expectations. If the sugar - alcohol ratio continues to decrease, Brazil's output may fall short of expectations. Domestically, market demand is weak, low inventory supports Guangxi's spot prices, processed sugar is gradually entering the market with loosening quotes, which exerts pressure on prices. Considering the increase in later imports, the overall domestic supply - demand is marginally looser, and a bearish view after a rebound is maintained [3][4] Summary by Relevant Catalog Sugar Price Data - In the domestic spot market, on July 23, 2025, the price per ton in Nanning Warehouse, Guangxi was 6120 yuan (unchanged), in Kunming was 5920 yuan (unchanged), in Dali, Yunnan was 5800 yuan (down 20 yuan), and in Rizhao, Shandong was 6135 yuan (unchanged). SR09 was 5834 yuan (up 11 yuan), SR01 was up 3 yuan, and SR09 - 01 was 178 yuan (up 8 yuan) [4] Exchange Rate and International Commodity Data - The exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar was 7.1855 (down 0.0020), the exchange rate of the Brazilian real against the RMB was 1.2818 (up 0.0212), the exchange rate of the Indian rupee against the RMB was 0.084 (down 0.0004). The ice raw sugar main contract was 16.26 (unchanged), the London white sugar main contract was 573 (up 3), and the Brent crude oil main contract was 68.67 (unchanged) [4]
巴西、印度食糖:新榨季产量预期不一,多空因素交织
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 06:43
Core Viewpoint - Brazil's sugar production is lagging, but the sugar-ethanol ratio is high, leading to strong expectations of decreased production for the new season in the overseas market [1] Group 1: Brazil's Sugar Production - As of the end of May, Brazil's Central-South region has processed 76.71 million tons of sugarcane, a decrease of 20.24% year-on-year, with a total sugar production of 3.989 million tons, down 22.68% year-on-year [1] - The sugar-ethanol ratio in Brazil is high, with the mandatory blending ratio of ethanol in gasoline increased from 27% to 30% [1] - For the 2024/25 season, Brazil's sugar production is expected to increase by 5% to 46 million tons [1] Group 2: Global Sugar Market Dynamics - The Indian National Cooperative Sugar Factories Federation predicts that India's sugar ending stock for the 2024/25 season will be between 4.8 to 5 million tons, sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs in October-November 2025, despite a decline in current production [1] - Thailand's sugar production for the 2024/25 season is expected to rise to 10.39 million tons [1] - The early arrival of monsoon rains in India is anticipated to lead to a strong recovery in sugar production for the 2025/26 season, reaching around 35 million tons [1] Group 3: Domestic Market Conditions - As of the end of May, Guangxi has sold 4.6453 million tons of sugar, an increase of 537,100 tons year-on-year, with a sales-to-production ratio of 71.85%, up 5.39 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The domestic market has opened a profit window for sugar imports outside of quotas, although the rebound in prices is limited [1] - In May, sugar imports totaled 350,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 33.31% [1]