纯电动车型战略
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i6对理想至关重要,大摩建议:定价要更激进,下探20万区间
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-12 03:12
Core Viewpoint - Li Auto is at a critical juncture with its electric vehicle strategy, particularly with the upcoming i6 model, which Morgan Stanley views as a pivotal product for the company. The firm recommends a more aggressive pricing strategy to boost sales, suggesting a price range of 200,000 to 250,000 RMB, down from the previously estimated 250,000 to 300,000 RMB [1][4]. Group 1: i6 Model Importance - The i6 model is deemed crucial for Li Auto's future, with Morgan Stanley labeling it a "life-or-death battle" for the company [1]. - The performance of the i8 model has disappointed investors, prompting the need for Li Auto to quickly adjust its product, delivery, and pricing strategies [1][4]. - To achieve sales targets of 10,000 units per month for the i6 or a combined 20,000 units for its electric models, immediate delivery of high-spec versions and aggressive pricing are essential [1][4]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The i6 will compete in the highly competitive mid-to-large SUV market against models like AITO M7, Xiaomi YU7, Tesla Model Y, Xpeng G9, ZEEKR 7X, and NIO ES6 [2]. - The i6 features a wheelbase of 3,000 mm, a laser radar unit, and a CLTC range of 660-720 km, which positions it competitively within its segment [2][3]. Group 3: Pricing Strategy - Morgan Stanley emphasizes that a more aggressive pricing strategy for the i6 is critical for achieving sales goals, despite potential concerns about margin dilution [1][4]. - The competitive pricing landscape includes pre-sale prices for competitors such as AITO M7 (288,000-348,000 RMB), Xiaomi YU7 (254,000-330,000 RMB), and Tesla Model Y (264,000-314,000 RMB) [3]. Group 4: L Series Upgrade - The aging L series is underperforming, necessitating an urgent upgrade to maintain market share as new models are launched [5]. - Morgan Stanley suggests that the L series upgrade should include a new design and an 800V electric drive system, although achieving this within the year may be challenging [5]. Group 5: Stock Performance Outlook - Investors are closely monitoring Li Auto's actions leading up to the i6 launch, which could provide an opportunity for stock price recovery [6]. - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating on Li Auto, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite short-term challenges [6].