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“十五五”时期我国旅游业发展趋势展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 12:41
Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is a critical stage for China's tourism industry, which is increasingly recognized as a strategic pillar industry and a significant contributor to the economy and social development [1][8]. Group 1: International Environment and Challenges - The global economic recovery remains weak, with growth rates expected to stay between 2.6% and 3.4%, and the long-term outlook is pessimistic, with the World Bank predicting a slowdown post-2025 [3][4]. - The global economic landscape is shifting towards emerging markets, particularly in Asia, with a notable transfer of economic focus from developed to developing countries [4][5]. - Global governance faces significant challenges, with rising populism and protectionism, leading to increased geopolitical tensions and instability [5]. - The trend of global population aging is intensifying, with projections indicating that by 2030, the number of people aged 80 and above will reach 265 million, impacting labor supply and economic growth [5]. Group 2: Domestic Development Context - China is at a pivotal stage in achieving its modernization goals by 2035, requiring an average annual economic growth rate of 3.87% from 2020 to 2035 [9]. - The country is on the verge of entering the "high-income group," with per capita GNI expected to exceed the threshold in the near future [9]. - The focus is shifting towards high-quality development, with an emphasis on transforming growth drivers and optimizing economic structures [10]. Group 3: Tourism Industry Development - The tourism industry is positioned as a new strategic pillar and a happiness industry, with a focus on enhancing the quality of life and economic contributions [16]. - The tourism sector's contribution to GDP was 4.4% in 2023, indicating a solid foundation for future growth [13]. - The construction of a tourism powerhouse is now a key component of China's modernization strategy, with a call for integrated development with cultural, educational, and technological sectors [12][33]. Group 4: Future Trends in Tourism - The tourism industry is expected to become more comprehensive, focusing on personalized and quality experiences to enhance residents' happiness [16]. - The relationship between supply and demand will evolve, with a shift towards high-quality, diversified tourism products and services [19]. - The integration of culture and tourism will deepen, with a focus on cultural heritage and innovative tourism experiences [23]. Group 5: Key Tasks for Tourism Development - Accelerating the construction of a tourism powerhouse is essential, with a focus on aligning tourism development with broader economic and social goals [33]. - Emphasis on expanding domestic tourism while enhancing the quality of inbound tourism and managing outbound tourism effectively [34]. - Promoting tourism consumption expansion and upgrading through supportive policies and improved consumer experiences [35]. - Building a modern tourism industry system that is innovative, advanced, and integrated with other sectors [36][37].
研判2025!中国旅游行业发展背景、产业链、旅游人次、旅游总花费及发展前景分析:旅游市场发展稳健,跨境旅游服务持续优化[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-04-29 01:29
内容概况:我国旅游业是全球规模最大、增长最快的旅游市场之一。随着我国经济的快速发展和人民生 活水平的提高,旅游已经成为大众化的生活方式。2020年,由于新冠肺炎疫情的影响,国内旅游业营收 情况呈现出断崖式下跌,随后在2020年至2022年期间始终低位运行,营业收入不超过3亿元。2022年以 来,随着疫情防控政策的优化和消费信心的恢复,国内旅游市场正在逐步复苏。2024年,受政策利好、 供给优化和出游意愿上涨等叠加因素影响,旅游经济从快速复苏阶段转向繁荣发展新周期。国内旅游总 花费、出游总人次、节假日平均出游距离、目的地停留时间等主要指标均已经超过或接近2019年水平。 数据显示,2024年,全国国内出游人次56.15亿,比2023年同期增加7.24亿,同比增长14.8%。其中,城 镇居民国内出游人次43.70亿,同比增长16.3%;农村居民国内出游人次12.45亿,同比增长9.9%。国内 游客出游总花费5.75万亿元,比2023年增加0.84万亿元,同比增长17.1%。其中,城镇居民出游花费4.93 万亿元,同比增长18.0%;农村居民出游花费0.83万亿元,同比增长12.2%。 相关上市企业:黄山旅游(60 ...