华安证券研报指出，川发龙蟒上半年实现归母净利润2.39亿元，同比-18.69%；实现扣非归母净利润2.39 亿元，同比-16.17%，业绩符合预期。主营产品价格略有上升，磷矿产量下降导致利润有所下降。成本 端：公司磷化工收入实现较好增长，但因子公司天瑞矿业充填技改等因素影响磷矿产量同比有所下滑， 导致外购磷矿增加进而增加公司整体营业成本，致使公司主要产品毛利率同比略有下滑。政策驱动下磷 铵行业格局向好，公司完成收购和竞得相关企业股份。公司坚持"稀缺资源+核心技术+产业整合+先进 机制"的发展战略，聚焦磷化工主营业务发展，核心产品继续保持行业领先地位，同时依托循环经济产 业优势，积极构建多资源绿色循环经济产业链；聚焦磷化工及新能源材料行业技术难题，积极推动企业 技术创新。维持"增持"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that Chuanfa Longmang's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with ongoing integration in the industrial chain, leading to an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Chuanfa Longmang achieved operating revenue of 4.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.77%, while operating costs were 4.08 billion yuan, up 19.17%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 239 million yuan, down 18.69% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.616 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.49%. Operating costs were 2.247 billion yuan, up 13.35% year-on-year and 22.54% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 135 million yuan, down 28.73% year-on-year but up 31.20% quarter-on-quarter [2] Product Pricing and Production - The price of industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate rose due to high raw material costs and strong market demand, with an average market price of 6,437.75 yuan/ton in Q2 2025, a 6.67% increase quarter-on-quarter. The production volume for industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate was 216,600 tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.51% [3] - The average market price for fertilizer-grade monoammonium phosphate in Q2 2025 was 3,297.74 yuan/ton, up 5.48% quarter-on-quarter, while production volume decreased by 1.68% year-on-year to 5.04 million tons [3] Industry Dynamics - The phosphoric acid and ammonium industry is experiencing a favorable shift due to policy-driven changes, with Chuanfa Longmang completing acquisitions that enhance its competitive position. The company acquired 60% of Tianbao Company and 10% of Tiansheng Mining, which will improve its market standing [4] - Recent policies aimed at energy conservation and emissions reduction are leading to the exit of inefficient production capacities, which is expected to enhance industry concentration and competitiveness [4] Strategic Development - Chuanfa Longmang is focused on building a green circular economy industrial chain, leveraging scarce resources and core technologies. The company produced 1.1741 million tons of various phosphochemical products in the first half of 2025 [5] - The company is advancing its lithium battery materials projects and has completed the construction of a 6,000-ton/year lithium iron phosphate facility, with ongoing projects to enhance its resource reserves [5][6] Investment Outlook - The projected net profits for Chuanfa Longmang for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 653 million yuan, 810 million yuan, and 945 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 34, 27, and 23 times [7]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: "Accumulate" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.77%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18.69% to 239 million yuan [3][4] - The main products' prices have slightly increased, but a decline in phosphate ore production has negatively impacted overall profitability [4][6] - The company has completed acquisitions to enhance its market position, including a 60% stake in Tianbao Company and a 10% stake in Tiensheng Mining [6][7] - The company is focusing on building a green circular economy industrial chain and maintaining its leading position in the phosphate chemical industry [8] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.616 billion yuan, up 11.15% year-on-year, but the net profit decreased by 28.73% to 135 million yuan [4] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 653 million, 810 million, and 945 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34, 27, and 23 times [9][10] - The gross profit margin is projected to improve from 14.3% in 2024 to 16.7% in 2027 [10] Industry Outlook - The phosphate industry is expected to benefit from policy-driven improvements in competition and efficiency, with strict controls on new capacity [6] - The company is actively pursuing technological innovations and expanding its resource base, including lithium and calcium mining projects [8]