投资要点 事件：云天化发布2025 半年报，25H1 实现营收249.92 亿元，同比减少21.88%；归母净利润27.61 亿 元，同比下降2.81%；扣非归母净利润26.96 亿元，同比下降3.38%；毛利率19.16%，同比提升2.55pct。 单季度看，25Q2 实现营收119.88亿元，同比减少33.90%，环比减少7.82%；归母净利润14.72 亿元，同 比增长6.52%，环比增长14.15%；扣非归母净利润14.26亿元，同比增长5.23%，环比增长12.26%；毛利 率21.25%，同比提升6.56pct，环比提升4.02pct。 产销稳中有增，业绩在多因素影响下持续稳定。25H1 公司磷肥、复合（混）肥、尿素、聚甲醛、黄 磷、饲料级磷酸氢钙收入分别为69.95、31.26、25.69、5.95、2.23、10.36 亿元，同比变化-14.40%、 6.00%、-17.12%、-5.88%、23.68%、14.47%；销量分别为221.91、98.33、146.49、5.58、1.08、25.29 万 吨，同比变化-6.67%、-0.47%、2.83%、2.20%、22.73%、-5.49% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.99 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 21.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.76 billion yuan, down 2.8% year-on-year [6][12] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 11.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 33.9% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.47 billion yuan, an increase of 6.5% year-on-year and 14.2% quarter-on-quarter [6][12] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.0 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) [6][12] Financial Performance - The company has a phosphate rock reserve of nearly 800 million tons and an annual production capacity of 14.5 million tons of raw ore [12] - The company’s gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 21.3%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 13.7%, up 4.2 percentage points year-on-year [12] - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.46 billion yuan, 5.53 billion yuan, and 5.64 billion yuan, respectively [12] Market Dynamics - The company experienced a decline in sales volume for major products in Q2 2025, with phosphate fertilizer down 21.4%, compound fertilizer down 18.4%, and urea down 11.8% [12] - The price of phosphate fertilizer decreased by 7.3% year-on-year, while the price of compound fertilizer increased by 21.6% [12] - The price difference for exported phosphate fertilizers has significantly increased due to reduced international trade volume and rising sulfur prices, with the price difference for diammonium phosphate at ports increasing by 988 yuan/ton year-on-year [12] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively optimizing its internal management and advancing projects such as the Zhenxiong phosphate mine to enhance future growth [12] - The company is focused on maintaining a balance between development and returns, with a strong emphasis on internal reforms and capacity expansion [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][28] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2025, despite a decline in revenue due to reduced trading business scale. The gross margin and net margin improved, indicating enhanced profitability [1][10] - The core business of the company is in the fertilizer sector, with phosphate fertilizer being the largest revenue contributor. The company is expanding its international market presence while maintaining a strong domestic supply chain [2][17] - The supply-demand dynamics for phosphate rock are tight, with prices expected to remain high due to resource scarcity. The company has significant phosphate rock reserves, ensuring stable raw material supply for its production [3][22] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.9% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.47 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.2% [1][10] - The company's gross margin was 21.3%, and the net margin was 13.7%, both showing improvements compared to previous periods [10] Business Segments - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from phosphate fertilizer, compound fertilizer, and urea was 6.995 billion, 3.126 billion, and 2.569 billion yuan, respectively, accounting for 28%, 13%, and 10% of total revenue. Phosphate fertilizer remains the largest single product contributor [2][17] - The average selling prices for phosphate fertilizer, compound fertilizer, and urea were 3,152 yuan, 3,179 yuan, and 1,754 yuan per ton, with year-on-year changes of -7%, +7%, and -19% respectively [2][17] Market Outlook - The domestic phosphate rock supply-demand situation is tight, with prices expected to remain elevated due to increasing demand and declining ore grades. The company has a production capacity of 5.84 million tons of phosphate rock, ensuring self-sufficiency [3][22] - The prices for various phosphate chemical products showed mixed trends, with feed-grade calcium hydrogen phosphate prices increasing by 21% year-on-year, while prices for polyoxymethylene and yellow phosphorus decreased [23][22] Investment Projections - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and has added projections for 2027, estimating net profits of 5.523 billion, 5.574 billion, and 5.709 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 3.01, 3.04, and 3.11 yuan [4][26]

证券代码：600096 证券简称：云天化 公告编号：临 2025-063 备注：以上主要产品数据为公司自产产品数据，未包含本期商贸收入及其他 业务收入和其他零星产品收入。 二、主要产品和原材料的价格变动情况 （一）主要产品价格波动情况（不含税销售均价） 单位：元/吨 | 主要产品 | 本期价格 | 上年同期价格 | | --- | --- | --- | | 磷肥 | 3,152 | 3,378 | | 复合（混）肥 | 3,179 | 2,985 | | 尿素 | 1,754 | 2,176 | | 聚甲醛 | 10,650 | 11,577 | | 黄磷 | 20,627 | 20,460 | | 饲料级磷酸氢钙 | 4,096 | 3,381 | （二）主要原材料波动情况（不含税采购均价） | | | 云南云天化股份有限公司 2025 年半年度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号——行业信 息披露》相关规定，将公司 2025 年半年度主要经营 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - Sichuan Development Longmang Co., Ltd. introduced its main business, strategic planning, core advantages, and recent major projects [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of CNY 8.178 billion, with international sales contributing CNY 971 million, accounting for 11.88% of total revenue [4] - The company produced 409,600 tons of industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.98% [5] - The company’s phosphate ore resources are approximately 130 million tons, with a production of 2.2493 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.01% [7] Group 3: Market and Product Insights - The demand for industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate is expected to continue growing due to its applications in high-end water-soluble fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate precursor materials [5] - The company exports to around 50 countries, with the U.S. accounting for only 0.11% of total revenue, indicating minimal impact from tariffs [4] Group 4: Strategic Acquisitions - The company is in the process of acquiring 60% of Tianbao Company, a leading player in the feed-grade dicalcium phosphate industry, which will enhance its competitive edge [6] - The company secured a 10% stake in Tianmeng Mining, which includes the Xiaogou phosphate mine with an estimated resource of 401 million tons and a designed production capacity of 5.5 million tons per year [9] Group 5: Talent Management - The company emphasizes talent as a core competitive advantage and has implemented multiple equity incentive plans to attract and retain talent [9]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Chuanfa Longmang (002312.SZ) has been stagnant around 11 yuan, contrasting with the broader recovery in the phosphorus chemical index and the recent speculative trading in the market, raising questions about its valuation and the sustainability of its growth prospects [2][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Following the "tariff incident" on April 7, the phosphorus chemical index has rebounded, but Chuanfa Longmang's stock has not followed suit, remaining flat [2]. - Recent speculative trading in stocks associated with the "Ma" character has seen increases of over 60%, reminiscent of last year's hype around Chuanfa Longmang [2]. - The stock experienced significant volatility last year, with a peak of 22.88 yuan per share before a rapid decline, indicating a pattern of speculative trading driven by retail investors [6][10]. Group 2: Company Developments and Financials - Chuanfa Longmang has undergone multiple business transformations since its listing in 2009, currently focusing on phosphorus chemicals under the control of the Sichuan State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [3][12]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.56 million yuan from its new energy materials segment in the first half of 2024, which accounted for only 0.39% of total revenue, indicating limited contribution to overall performance [15]. - The company’s operating costs for new energy materials reached 1.19 billion yuan, representing 1.70% of total costs, highlighting the financial strain of this segment [16]. Group 3: Industry Context and Future Prospects - The phosphorus chemical industry is currently facing an oversupply situation, which poses challenges for Chuanfa Longmang's growth trajectory and its second growth curve in new energy materials [11][18]. - The company is actively pursuing acquisitions to enhance its resource base, including a recent announcement to acquire a 51% stake in Guotuo Mining, which will fill a gap in lithium resources [8][21]. - Despite the strategic moves to expand its resource capabilities, the company faces significant debt pressures, with short-term borrowings reaching 1.31 billion yuan and long-term borrowings at 4.35 billion yuan as of Q1 2025 [23][24].

Group 1: Performance and Production Capacity - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 8.178 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, and a net profit of 511 million yuan, up 26.8% year-on-year [18] - The company has a production capacity of 410,000 tons of phosphate rock per year, with the Mianzhu Banpenzi phosphate mine expected to produce 60,000 tons annually [8] - The company is advancing the construction of the De'a and Panzhihua phosphate projects, with the De'a project having a production capacity of 20,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate and 40,000 tons under trial production [2][7] Group 2: Market and Shareholder Management - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.66 billion yuan (including tax), accounting for 50% of the annual net profit [6][24] - A total of 124.6 million shares (6.60% of total share capital) are expected to be unlocked on July 21, 2025, related to the acquisition of Tianrui Mining [12][13] - The company has no current plans for stock repurchase but emphasizes maintaining shareholder value through various strategies [4][23] Group 3: Strategic Development and R&D - The company is focused on developing differentiated new products in the field of lithium iron phosphate and lithium battery materials to meet diverse customer needs [1][2] - The company aims to strengthen its R&D capabilities and product quality while continuously developing new products to satisfy specific market demands [7][16] - The company is committed to a development strategy based on "scarce resources + core technology + industrial integration + advanced mechanisms" to enhance its competitive edge [21][24] Group 4: Future Outlook and Industry Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and the growth of the energy storage industry [24] - The company aims to become a leading domestic and internationally recognized enterprise in the phosphate chemical and new energy materials sectors [9][24] - The company is actively seeking to integrate high-potential assets to enhance its industrial chain and maintain a competitive advantage in the market [11][17]

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现情况 | | --- | | 主要产品 | 产量（万吨） | 销量（万吨） | 营业收入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 磷肥 | 122.06 | 127.73 | 392,321.79 | | 复合（混）肥 | 51.13 | 52.53 | 150,086.88 | | 尿素 | 75.70 | 75.35 | 129,875.42 | | 聚甲醛 | 3.13 | 2.49 | 28,824.18 | | 黄磷 | 0.81 | 0.62 | 12,865.20 | | 饲料级磷酸氢钙 | 15.01 | 12.68 | 49,320.10 | 备注：以上主要产品数据为公司自产产品数据，未包含本期商贸收入及其他 业务收入和其他零星产品收入。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号——行业信 息披露》相关规定，将公司 2025 年第一季度主要经营数据披露如下： 证券代码：600096 证券 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 8.178 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 533 million yuan, up 28.62% year-on-year [1][4]. - The fertilizer and ammonium production segments both saw increases in volume and profitability, contributing to overall performance growth [2][4]. - The company is actively expanding its upstream resource layout, particularly in lithium and phosphate mining, which is expected to enhance its production capacity significantly by 2028 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the fertilizer business generated revenue of 3.861 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.3%, with a gross margin improvement of 2.3 percentage points. The ammonium business saw revenue of 2.058 billion yuan, a 14.7% increase, with a gross margin improvement of 6.3 percentage points [2]. - The company reported a total sales volume of 1.65 million tons for fertilizers, up 23.8% year-on-year, and an ammonium sales volume of 386,000 tons, up 9.6% year-on-year [2]. Cost Management - The company successfully reduced management, research and development, and financial expenses by 3.5%, 24.4%, and 40.1% respectively, while sales expenses increased by 7.7%. Overall, the selling and administrative expense ratio decreased by 1.2 percentage points to 6.7% [2]. Resource Expansion - The company is set to achieve an annual phosphate production capacity of 4.1 million tons following the completion of several mining projects. Additionally, it has acquired a 51% stake in a lithium mining company, enhancing its resource base [3]. - The company has initiated production at its lithium iron phosphate project, with further expansions underway [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward due to lower-than-expected sales prices for some products, with projected net profits of 657 million yuan, 817 million yuan, and 964 million yuan respectively [4][5]. - The company’s overall industry chain is expected to optimize further as it continues to expand its resource layout [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 61.54 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.33 billion yuan, an increase of 17.9% year-on-year [6][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 14 yuan per 10 shares, which accounts for 47.86% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 [6][10]. - The company has a strong position in the phosphate resource and fertilizer industry, with significant production capacities and a focus on internal reforms and capacity expansion [6][12]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 17.5%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 9.8%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The company’s sales volume for various products showed mixed results, with phosphate fertilizer sales down by 5.6% and compound fertilizer sales up by 16.9% [12]. - The company’s financial expenses decreased, and it has been actively optimizing its cost structure [12]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 5.31 billion, 5.39 billion, and 5.50 billion yuan respectively, indicating a stable growth trajectory [12].