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美元下跌周期
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啪,微微一跌,整个世界安静了
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 23:07
Group 1 - The US market is experiencing low liquidity due to the Thanksgiving holiday, leading to a clear trend of "dollar up, everything down" with slight declines in US Treasury bonds, gold, and US stock futures [2] - The market's current state is characterized by suppressed volatility, with both bullish and bearish forces resting, creating a situation where everyone is waiting for others to act first [2] - The market is not in a "safe period" but rather a "quiet period under pressure," indicating that any sudden directional movement could catch investors off guard [2] Group 2 - A report titled "Global Market Strategy: Full Firepower, Riding the Waves" suggests that the upcoming interest rate cut on December 10 will have significantly different implications for short-term and long-term financial markets [3] - There is a notable change regarding a critical stock in China, coinciding with an unusual long report released by Goldman Sachs [3] - Multiple reports from Wall Street are analyzing the prospects of A-shares, US stocks, and gold, questioning whether the US bull market will continue and if the narrative for A-shares has concluded [3]
小震,预告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 13:07
Group 1 - The US financial market experienced a rare observation period during the Thanksgiving holiday, revealing the true "risk appetite structure" globally [2] - A-shares did not follow the overnight rise of US stocks, closing mixed, while gold slightly declined and briefly fell below $4150 [2] - The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 4%, indicating a significant market shift, while Bitcoin surpassed 91,000 yuan [2] Group 2 - The MSCI global index previously dropped nearly 4%, but the decline has now reduced to 0.4%, indicating a recovery of previously pessimistic sentiment [2] - The market is currently pricing in a rate cut in December and three cuts next year, which could lead to volatility if economic data does not align with these expectations [2] - The real risk lies not in whether the Fed will cut rates, but in whether it will meet the market's "pricing fantasy" [2] Group 3 - The upcoming Fed meeting on December 10 is expected to have significant implications for both short-term and long-term market dynamics [4] - A critical stock in China has shown signs of change, coinciding with an unusual report released by Goldman Sachs [4] - Multiple reports from Wall Street are analyzing A-shares, US stocks, and gold, questioning the sustainability of the US bull market and the narrative surrounding A-shares [4]