美元崩溃

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和讯投顾邓攀:指数和个股分化,哪些板块值得关注?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 12:34
(原标题:和讯投顾邓攀:指数和个股分化,哪些板块值得关注?) 5月21日,和讯投顾邓攀分析,指数今天震荡上行,但是赚钱效应不佳,只有1615家上涨,3600多家下跌,啊量能也是只有略微的放大啊32亿。那 么板块方面啊固态电池黄金是今天最强的板块,我们前期布局的固态电池今天表现也比较不错,有一个10厘米的,还有一个20厘米的,这个板块 主要是受宁王的带动,然后集体走强的。啊那么随着产业的发展,固态电池距离量产是越来越近的,后面还会不断的催化,所以说大家可以持续 的去关注。那么黄金板块逻辑还是美元崩溃的逻辑,啊美元崩溃的趋势已经形成了,想要逆转基本上不可能了,对不对?那么未来站在世界之巅 的只有我们,啊所以说黄金未来还有新高,不过时间线会拉长。人形机器人板块啊今天早盘一度调整得非常厉害,主要是有一家做灵枪手的公 司,让研究员们不要再去宣传了,怕被老美制裁啊这个消息的发酵,导致了整个人形机器人板块表现都比较差,不过成长的行业韧性还是比较不 错的,啊下午是有资金去做抄底,那么这个板块后续还会不断的有新闻来刺激,不会轻易结束的。 那么科技板块今天走得非常弱,主要是受老美那边对于我们这边芯片禁令发酵导致的,不过我们这边还 ...
李振豪:全球政经重塑下的投资策略 | 2025观点资本圆桌演讲
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 23:55
Group 1: Market Strategy and Risks - The importance of patience and proactive capabilities for investors is emphasized, highlighting that risk assessment is crucial for determining investment strategies [1][2] - The discussion begins with a focus on risks, particularly the implications of tariffs and their underlying motivations, rather than just the numerical values associated with them [3][4] - The concept of "reciprocity" in tariffs is introduced, suggesting that the ultimate goal is to promote re-industrialization in the U.S. economy [4][6] Group 2: Economic Implications of Tariffs - The strategy of re-industrialization aims to stabilize the U.S. GDP by shifting production back to the U.S. and leveraging tariffs to attract foreign manufacturing [4][6] - The potential for the U.S. to export goods to emerging markets with zero tariffs is discussed, indicating a dual approach of attracting high-end industries while targeting new markets for U.S. products [6][8] Group 3: China and Global Trade Dynamics - The focus shifts to China, analyzing its trade relationships and the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions on both economies [8][9] - China's GDP structure is highlighted, with a significant portion driven by domestic demand, suggesting resilience despite trade challenges [9][10] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investment strategies should consider the increasing focus on domestic consumption in China, with potential benefits for related stocks and bonds [9][10] - The discussion includes the potential for investment in high-tech industries and infrastructure, such as space technology and 6G, as part of a broader investment strategy [10][11] Group 5: U.S. Debt and Currency Concerns - The narrative addresses concerns about U.S. debt and the role of the Federal Reserve in influencing bond yields, clarifying that the primary driver of rising yields is the Fed's own actions rather than foreign selling [11][12] - The stability of the U.S. dollar is defended, with data showing its continued dominance in global trade and reserves, countering fears of its decline [12][13] Group 6: Stock Market Analysis - The stock market's performance is analyzed, noting that while there are risks, not all sectors are performing poorly, and certain sectors have shown resilience [15][16] - The conclusion suggests that fears surrounding the stock and bond markets may be exaggerated, with gold emerging as a strong alternative investment [17][18]