此次复苏是在经历了自2017年以来最大的年度跌幅（超过9%）之后出现的。2017年的跌幅是由于 美国与其他经济体的利率差缩小，以及对美国财政状况、全球贸易战和美联储独立性的持续担忧造成的 ——而这些风险在今年仍然存在。 下周开始，美国将公布一系列经济指标，其中就业报告尤为引人注目，这些指标预计将为美联储是 否会进一步降息提供线索。市场普遍预期美联储将降息两次，而此前美联储内部意见分歧严重，仅预测 降息一次。（驻波黑使馆经商处） （原标题：美元强势回归，2026年汇率市场迎来逆转） 波黑《每日之声》1月2日报道。美元今日（1月2日）开始走强，结束了去年对全球多数货币的颓 势。 ...

Group 1 - The foreign exchange market is experiencing tension, with the US dollar index rebounding significantly, putting pressure on the Australian and New Zealand dollars [1] - The Australian dollar (AUD) fell to a low of 0.6370 against the US dollar (USD) before recovering slightly, ending the week down 0.6% after four consecutive weeks of gains [1] - The New Zealand dollar (NZD) also faced a sharp decline, dropping 0.6% overnight and testing the 0.5870 level, with analysts warning of potential stronger sell-offs if it breaches key support levels [1] Group 2 - The strong performance of the US dollar is driven by three main factors: the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, the positive impact of the US-UK trade agreement on risk appetite, and a technical correction after several weeks of decline [1] - Market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have increased due to weak retail sales data and slowing inflation, with predictions of a 25 basis point cut to 3.85% [2] - The upcoming high-level trade talks between China and the US are a focal point for the market, with potential outcomes that could significantly impact currency market stability [2]