周三（11月26日）纽约尾盘，英镑兑美元涨0.53%，有望连续五个交易日反弹（期内累计涨幅大约 1.38%），报1.3242，北京时间20:12曾经跌至1.3125刷新日低。欧元兑美元涨0.23%，报1.1597；欧元兑 英镑跌0.30%，报0.87599，20:12一度冲高至0.88181。美元兑瑞郎跌0.42%，报0.8041。商品货币对中， 澳元兑美元涨0.78%，纽元兑美元涨1.32%——09:00出现一波短线拉升行情，美元兑加元跌0.41%。瑞 典克朗兑美元涨0.42%，挪威克朗兑美元涨0.31%，丹麦克朗兑美元涨0.22%。波兰兹罗提兑美元大致持 平，匈牙利福林兑美元涨0.32%。 ...

IC Markets官网11月25日周二要闻速递： 周二早盘外汇市场交易波动剧烈，市场焦点转向即将公布的美国宏观经济数据，包括9月零售销售和生产 者价格指数、11月消费者信心指数，以及每周私营部门就业报告。 欧洲早盘时段美元兑主要货币持稳。美元指数周一收盘基本持平后，继续在100.00上方横盘整理。尽管风 险偏好情绪升温及市场对美联储12月降息预期增强令美元难以积聚升势，但投资者仍未押注美元持续走 弱，而是等待积压数据的出炉。与此同时，在纳斯达克综合指数周一领涨2.6%带动华尔街主要股指强劲收 高后，欧洲早盘美股期货小幅回落约0.1%。 周一尾盘美联储鸽派言论提振金价涨势，黄金收于4100美元上方，单日涨幅逾1.5%。XAU/USD维持震荡 格局，欧洲时段小幅承压于4150美元下方。 纽元兑美元承压小幅下跌，于0.5600附近维持跌势。周三亚洲早盘时段，新西兰联储将公布货币政策决 议，市场普遍预期其将降息25个基点至2.25%。 欧元兑美元走势迷茫，在周初收盘持平后延续1.1500上方横盘震荡格局。欧洲央行将于周三发布欧盟金融 稳定评估报告。 英镑兑美元连续第二个交易日维持在1.3100附近窄幅震荡。投资者正 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in various currency pairs, highlighting the movements of the Euro, British Pound, and other currencies against the US Dollar, indicating a mixed performance in the foreign exchange market on November 11. Currency Movements - The Euro appreciated by 0.25% against the US Dollar, reaching 1.1586, and stabilized around 1.1560 before a short-term surge at 21:21 [1] - The British Pound decreased by 0.06% against the US Dollar, trading at 1.3166, and experienced a sharp decline to a daily low of 1.3117 following the release of UK employment data at 15:00 [1] - The Euro gained 0.32% against the British Pound [1] Other Currency Pairs - The US Dollar depreciated by 0.59% against the Swiss Franc, settling at 0.8003, with a notable decline after 21:00 [1] - Among commodity currencies, the Australian Dollar fell by 0.11% against the US Dollar, while the New Zealand Dollar rose by 0.19% [1] - The US Dollar also saw a decrease of 0.07% against the Canadian Dollar [1] Scandinavian and Eastern European Currencies - The Swedish Krona appreciated by 0.63% against the US Dollar [1] - The Norwegian Krona increased by 0.79% against the US Dollar [1] - The Danish Krona rose by 0.25% against the US Dollar [1] - The Polish Zloty gained 0.38% against the US Dollar, while the Hungarian Forint saw a slight decline of 0.05% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in various currency pairs, highlighting the performance of the US dollar against the Japanese yen and other currencies on November 10th, with notable movements in commodity currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars [1] Currency Performance Summary - The US dollar rose by 0.39% against the Japanese yen, reaching 154.02 yen, with a trading range of 153.36 to 154.25 yen throughout the day [1] - The euro increased by 0.36% against the Japanese yen, while the British pound rose by 0.56% against the same currency [1] - The euro dipped by 0.04% against the US dollar, whereas the British pound appreciated by 0.15% against the US dollar [1] - The Australian dollar gained 0.71% against the US dollar, trading at 0.6538, with a notable V-shaped movement observed [1] - The New Zealand dollar increased by 0.43% against the US dollar, while the Canadian dollar fell by 0.19% against the US dollar [1] - The Swedish krona rose by 0.23% against the US dollar, and the Norwegian krona increased by 0.43%, while the Danish krone slightly decreased by 0.03% [1] - The Polish zloty appreciated by 0.17% against the US dollar, and the Hungarian forint rose by 0.11% against the US dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar experienced fluctuations against the Japanese yen, with notable movements following the release of employment data and the ISM non-manufacturing index, indicating market reactions to economic indicators [1] Currency Movements - The US dollar rose by 0.29% against the Japanese yen, reaching 154.11 yen, after hitting a low of 152.96 yen earlier in the day [1] - Following the release of the US small non-farm employment data at 21:15, the dollar maintained a slight upward trend [1] - The dollar peaked at 154.36 yen after the ISM non-manufacturing index was released at 23:00 [1] Other Currency Pairs - The euro increased by 0.36% against the yen, reaching 177.08 yen [1] - The British pound rose by 0.50% against the yen, reaching 201.090 yen [1] - The euro gained 0.07% against the US dollar, while the British pound increased by 0.21% against the dollar [1] - The Swiss franc saw a slight decline of 0.01% against the dollar [1] Commodity Currencies - The Australian dollar rose by 0.28% against the US dollar [1] - The New Zealand dollar increased by 0.36% against the US dollar [1] - The Canadian dollar saw a minor increase of 0.03% against the US dollar [1] Scandinavian and Eastern European Currencies - The Swedish krona appreciated by 0.17% against the US dollar [1] - The Norwegian krone rose by 0.09% against the US dollar [1] - The Danish krone increased by 0.08% against the US dollar [1] - The Polish zloty gained 0.19% against the US dollar and 0.12% against the euro [1] - The Hungarian forint appreciated by 0.45% against the US dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in currency exchange rates, particularly focusing on the performance of the Euro, British Pound, and various commodity currencies against the US Dollar on November 3rd. Currency Performance - The Euro declined by 0.17% against the US Dollar, closing at 1.1522 [1] - The British Pound fell by 0.08%, ending at 1.3142 against the US Dollar [1] - The US Dollar appreciated by 0.41% against the Swiss Franc, reaching 0.8079, with a peak of 0.8092 later in the day [1] Commodity Currencies - The Australian Dollar decreased by 0.13% against the US Dollar [1] - The New Zealand Dollar dropped by 0.26% against the US Dollar [1] - The US Dollar rose by 0.30% against the Canadian Dollar [1] Other Currencies - The Swedish Krona increased by 0.09% against the US Dollar [1] - The Norwegian Krona slightly decreased by 0.03% against the US Dollar [1] - The Danish Krona fell by 0.11% against the US Dollar [1] - The Polish Zloty declined by 0.12% against the US Dollar [1] - The Hungarian Forint appreciated by 0.06% against the US Dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in currency exchange rates, particularly focusing on the performance of the US dollar against the Japanese yen and other currencies on October 16th. Currency Performance - The US dollar depreciated by 0.43% against the Japanese yen, closing at 150.41 yen, with an intraday trading range of 151.40 to 150.21 yen [1] - The euro fell by 0.07% against the yen, while the British pound decreased by 0.17% against the yen [1] - Conversely, the euro appreciated by 0.39% against the US dollar, and the British pound rose by 0.25% against the US dollar [1] - The US dollar also saw a decline of 0.49% against the Swiss franc [1] Commodity Currencies - Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar decreased by 0.40% against the US dollar, while the New Zealand dollar experienced a slight increase of 0.03% against the US dollar [1] - The US dollar appreciated by 0.06% against the Canadian dollar [1] Other Currency Movements - The Polish zloty rose by 0.43% against the US dollar, and the Hungarian forint increased by 0.55% against the US dollar [1]

Group 1 - The focus in the foreign exchange market remains on the US dollar and Federal Reserve policy expectations, with the dollar index closing at approximately 97.85 after a decline of about 2.2% in August [1] - Market consensus indicates a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, estimated at around 87%, primarily due to lackluster PCE data [1] - The uncertainty surrounding Trump-related policies and discussions about the independence of the Federal Reserve are putting short-term pressure on the dollar [1] Group 2 - The euro and pound have shown relative strength against the dollar, while the yen has potential for mid-term appreciation due to ongoing international risk aversion, although unclear policy signals from the Bank of Japan limit its strength [1] - The Canadian dollar is under pressure due to poor economic data, with a 1.6% annual decline in Q2 GDP and a 27% drop in exports, leading to expectations of significant rate cuts by the Bank of Canada [1] - In contrast, the Australian dollar is performing more optimistically, supported by a rebound in risk appetite and strong domestic data, particularly in credit and CPI, which has reduced rate cut expectations [3] Group 3 - The futures market shows a predominance of net short positions in the euro, pound, yen, and Canadian dollar, while the Australian and New Zealand dollars are net long [3] - Notably, there was a directional shift in Australian dollar positions last week, with significant changes exceeding 20% in the holdings of the pound, yen, and New Zealand dollar [3] - A US multinational company has implemented a risk management strategy by purchasing two-month European-style call options on the Canadian dollar to hedge against potential appreciation, effectively stabilizing procurement costs and controlling exchange rate risk [3]

Group 1 - The US dollar is strengthening, with expectations for a strong weekly performance ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which may influence recent monetary policy direction [1] - Following a surprisingly weak July employment report and significant downward revisions to May and June hiring data, market participants have reassessed their expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 75% probability now estimated for a 25 basis point cut in September, down from 92% a week prior [1] - Federal Reserve officials have expressed a cautious stance regarding the likelihood of a rate cut next month, which sets the stage for Powell's upcoming remarks at the Jackson Hole conference [1] Group 2 - The euro has reached its lowest level since August 6, trading at 1.1583 USD, down 0.8% for the week, although it remains up 12% year-to-date [2] - The US dollar index, which measures the dollar against six currencies, is reported at 98.75, up 0.9% for the week, ending a two-week decline [2] - The Japanese yen has fallen to 148.63 against the dollar, with expectations for a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan in October due to core inflation remaining above the 2% target [2]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts from Deutsche Bank expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to lower interest rates by 25 basis points, which is anticipated by the market and likely won't significantly impact the New Zealand dollar [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Expectations - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to adopt a more hawkish stance in its upcoming meeting, contrasting with its previously dovish position in July [1] - The market is currently digesting expectations for another rate cut, with most economists predicting that the current rate cut cycle will conclude with rates at 2.75% by mid-next year [1] - Deutsche Bank believes that the terminal rate for this round of cuts will be 3% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent signs of rising inflation have emerged, alongside improvements in the labor market and economic confidence [1] - If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand signals alignment with Deutsche Bank's views in the upcoming meeting, it may provide some support for the New Zealand dollar [1]