美国两党博弈
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北美观察|美参院为政府开门亮“绿灯” 两党的硬仗才开场
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-11-11 06:54
Core Points - The U.S. Senate passed the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act with a vote of 60 to 40, marking a significant step towards ending the government shutdown that has lasted over 40 days since October 1 [1][2] - The act provides funding for the federal government until January 30 of the following year and temporarily halts certain layoffs that occurred during the shutdown [1][2] - The act includes full-year appropriations for military construction and veterans affairs, the Department of Agriculture and the FDA, as well as congressional operations [1][2] Legislative Process - After the Senate's final vote, the bill will be sent to the House of Representatives for approval, which has been in recess for nearly two months due to the shutdown [2] - If the House passes the bill without amendments, it will be sent to the White House for the President's signature and will take effect immediately [2] - If amendments are made, the bill will require further negotiation between the two chambers, potentially delaying the reopening of the government [2] Political Compromise - The temporary funding bill reflects a compromise between the two parties, with Democrats dropping the requirement to tie the reopening to the extension of ACA subsidies, and Republicans agreeing to halt layoffs and restore pay for affected employees [4][6] - This compromise has led to dissatisfaction within both parties, with some Democrats feeling that they have weakened their negotiating position and some Republicans believing the bill does not go far enough in reducing spending [8][9] Challenges Ahead - The reopening of the government will present significant challenges, including the need for agencies to recall staff, reset schedules, and process back pay, all of which may lead to operational delays [12][13] - The upcoming discussions in December regarding ACA subsidies will be critical, as they may reignite political tensions and complicate the legislative landscape [9][13] - The effectiveness of the compromise will depend on the House's scheduling, potential amendments, and the overall governance following the reopening [13]
美国党争闹“新疯”!雇员欠薪、平民经济被坑惨,两党死磕不松口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 05:34
Group 1 - The ongoing government shutdown in the U.S. has significant implications for both the economy and the livelihoods of federal employees, with many working without pay and others on forced leave [1][3][5] - Recent polls indicate that Congress's approval rating has dropped to 18%, highlighting public frustration over the political stalemate and its impact on ordinary citizens [5][10] - The delay in the release of key economic data, including the CPI, has created uncertainty in the markets, as analysts lack reliable indicators to assess economic conditions [8][19] Group 2 - The Senate's eighth vote failed to pass a funding bill, with a significant gap of 11 votes from the required threshold, reflecting deep partisan divisions over budget allocations [10][12] - The core disagreement between the two parties centers on funding for Medicaid, with Republicans advocating for spending cuts and Democrats insisting on maintaining support for low-income groups [12][15] - The ongoing political impasse has escalated tensions, particularly with former President Trump's announcement of a plan to permanently lay off federal employees, complicating negotiations further [17][19] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve faces challenges in making informed decisions due to the delayed CPI data, which is crucial for assessing inflation trends ahead of their upcoming meeting [19][24] - Historical context shows that previous shutdowns have had severe economic repercussions, and the current situation is more complex due to the intertwining issues of healthcare funding and economic data uncertainty [22][27] - The upcoming CPI data release on October 24 is seen as a potential turning point that could either facilitate negotiations or prolong the deadlock, with significant consequences for ordinary citizens [24][27]
出大事了,美投票结果出炉,特朗普又被判违法,白宫:美军已开战
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-05 05:08
Group 1 - The U.S. government is currently in a "shutdown" state due to a failure to pass a temporary funding bill, with the Senate voting 46 in favor and 52 against on October 3 [3] - The ongoing political struggle between the Democratic and Republican parties is intensifying, with both sides unable to reach a consensus on funding proposals [3][5] - The shutdown is expected to have significant implications for the Democratic Party ahead of the 2024 midterm elections, increasing pressure on them [5] Group 2 - The Trump administration has submitted a memorandum to Congress indicating that U.S. military forces are engaged in combat against "extremist organizations" in Latin America, marking a shift towards military involvement in the region [6] - Since late August, the U.S. has deployed substantial military resources, including four warships, one nuclear submarine, 15 F-35 fighter jets, and over 4,600 soldiers to Latin America [6] - The military actions are perceived as an opportunity for the U.S. to expand its influence in the region, raising concerns among countries like Mexico and Venezuela [8][10] Group 3 - A recent ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals declared Trump's executive order limiting birthright citizenship unconstitutional, further complicating his immigration policy agenda [7] - The White House plans to appeal to the Supreme Court, which may be the final opportunity for Trump to advance his immigration policies, although previous court decisions have not favored him [7] - The ongoing legal battles over immigration policy are expected to exacerbate political tensions between the two major parties [7][12]
美国又乱了!洛杉矶大乱斗,美军已下场,特朗普给尹锡悦打了个样
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 07:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalation of protests in California due to Trump's strong immigration policies, leading to a significant military response and highlighting the deep political divide between the Republican and Democratic parties [1][5][17]. Group 1: Protests and Government Response - Large-scale protests erupted in California as a result of Trump's administration enforcing strict immigration policies, leading to violent clashes between federal agents and local residents [1][3]. - In response to the chaos, Trump ordered the deployment of 2,000 National Guard troops to Los Angeles to restore order, showcasing a rapid and forceful reaction to the unrest [3][5]. - The situation escalated to the point where Trump's Defense Secretary warned of potential deployment of regular military forces if violence continued, indicating a readiness to use military power to control the situation [3][5]. Group 2: Political Context and Military Control - The conflict reflects a longstanding ideological battle between Trump's Republican Party, which advocates for strict border control, and California's Democratic leadership, which has historically supported more lenient immigration policies [5][17]. - Trump's actions are seen as a test of his control over the military, especially after previous tensions with military leadership during his first term, where he felt his authority was undermined [5][7]. - The swift federal takeover of the California National Guard's command indicates a lack of strong resistance from the Democratic leadership, contrasting with previous instances where state forces resisted federal control [8][14]. Group 3: Comparison with International Context - The article draws a comparison with South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol, who faced political challenges but failed to assert military control, unlike Trump, who successfully commanded military loyalty [10][12][14]. - Trump's ability to mobilize military forces without internal opposition marks a significant difference in political dynamics compared to Yoon's experience, suggesting a more consolidated power structure under Trump [14][15]. Group 4: Implications and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that Trump's motivations may extend beyond immigration issues, potentially aiming to undermine the autonomy of Democratic states and pave the way for broader policy changes [17][21]. - The current situation is viewed as a dangerous escalation in U.S. political conflict, with Trump's military actions potentially deepening societal divisions and international isolation [19][21]. - The reliance on military force to manage domestic unrest raises concerns about the long-term stability of U.S. governance and its implications for both domestic and international relations [19][21].