(本文来自第一财经) 加拿大央行管理委员会表示，美国近期在贸易、外交政策以及央行独立性方面的举动，正在让世界变 得"更加动荡"，并加剧了不确定性。今年1月份，该行在议息会议上连续第二次将利率维持在2.25%不 变，并表示不确定性上升是决策者无法确定下一步政策动作是加息还是降息的主要原因。加拿大央行在 周三发布的会议纪要中表示："在一个不可预测、且几乎没有历史先例的环境下，要有效地为围绕前景 的各种风险分配权重和概率，异常困难。"该行重申，"很难预测下一次政策利率调整的时点和方向。" ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in commodity prices, highlighting the contrasting trends in oil, gold, and tin prices, driven by supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical factors [1] Oil Market - WTI crude oil prices have dropped over 5% in the last two days, currently around $61 per barrel, due to speculation about OPEC+'s potential production increase and rising U.S. crude inventories, which increased by 1.8 million barrels [3] - Brent crude oil fell by 2.34%, closing at $65.45 per barrel, reflecting market concerns over demand as U.S. gasoline consumption hit a six-month low [3] Gold Market - Gold prices surged to a historical high of $3,895.38 per ounce, driven by uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown, which is expected to delay key economic data releases [4] - Silver also experienced a significant increase, rising 2.5% to $47.829 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 60% [4] Tin Market - Tin prices rose by 1.7% to $36,013 per ton, influenced by Indonesia's crackdown on illegal mining, which is expected to tighten supply [5] - The demand for tin is increasing due to its use in AI-related applications, while supply issues in Congo and Myanmar may further impact production [5] Other Metals - Other base metals showed mixed performance, with copper up 1.08%, aluminum up 0.3%, and zinc up 0.93%, while nickel saw a slight decline of 0.33% [5] Market Dynamics - The article emphasizes the divergence in commodity price movements, with oil prices affected by supply news, gold benefiting from safe-haven demand, and tin gaining from supply constraints and rising demand [5]