美股回购

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美股一直涨,都变成信仰了?
集思录· 2025-07-15 13:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the overvaluation of the US stock market, particularly the Nasdaq index, in light of high corporate valuations and the increasing US national debt, while contrasting it with the structural issues in the Chinese stock market [1][10]. Group 1: US Stock Market Dynamics - The US stock market has consistently rebounded from short-term declines, with many companies having market capitalizations exceeding $4 trillion and high price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [1]. - The correlation between CEO compensation and stock prices aligns the interests of executives with those of shareholders, contributing to a long-term upward trend in the market [2][3]. - A significant portion of US corporate profits is returned to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks, which helps maintain stock prices despite high valuations [2][6]. Group 2: Comparison with Chinese Stock Market - The Chinese stock market suffers from a misalignment of interests between major shareholders and minority investors, leading to practices that exploit the company for personal gain [2][3]. - The lack of effective regulation in China allows major shareholders to extract value from companies, often resulting in significant losses for minority shareholders [3][10]. - The article suggests that the structural issues in the Chinese market, such as poor governance and lack of investor protection, hinder its competitiveness compared to the US market [13]. Group 3: Economic and Financial Considerations - The US economy is increasingly reliant on financial markets, with a hollowing out of the real economy as companies outsource production to maximize profits [8]. - The article highlights the importance of a stable political environment and respect for property rights in maintaining investor confidence in the US market [11]. - The ongoing inflation and the historical upward trend of global indices suggest that while the US market may appear overvalued, it has mechanisms in place to correct itself [9][12]. Group 4: Valuation Metrics - The article provides specific PE ratios for major US companies, indicating a wide range of valuations that reflect their global market reach and profitability [14]. - Comparatively, Chinese companies often exhibit lower valuations, raising questions about their growth potential and market competitiveness [14].