美股高估

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美股一直涨,都变成信仰了?
集思录· 2025-07-15 13:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the overvaluation of the US stock market, particularly the Nasdaq index, in light of high corporate valuations and the increasing US national debt, while contrasting it with the structural issues in the Chinese stock market [1][10]. Group 1: US Stock Market Dynamics - The US stock market has consistently rebounded from short-term declines, with many companies having market capitalizations exceeding $4 trillion and high price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [1]. - The correlation between CEO compensation and stock prices aligns the interests of executives with those of shareholders, contributing to a long-term upward trend in the market [2][3]. - A significant portion of US corporate profits is returned to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks, which helps maintain stock prices despite high valuations [2][6]. Group 2: Comparison with Chinese Stock Market - The Chinese stock market suffers from a misalignment of interests between major shareholders and minority investors, leading to practices that exploit the company for personal gain [2][3]. - The lack of effective regulation in China allows major shareholders to extract value from companies, often resulting in significant losses for minority shareholders [3][10]. - The article suggests that the structural issues in the Chinese market, such as poor governance and lack of investor protection, hinder its competitiveness compared to the US market [13]. Group 3: Economic and Financial Considerations - The US economy is increasingly reliant on financial markets, with a hollowing out of the real economy as companies outsource production to maximize profits [8]. - The article highlights the importance of a stable political environment and respect for property rights in maintaining investor confidence in the US market [11]. - The ongoing inflation and the historical upward trend of global indices suggest that while the US market may appear overvalued, it has mechanisms in place to correct itself [9][12]. Group 4: Valuation Metrics - The article provides specific PE ratios for major US companies, indicating a wide range of valuations that reflect their global market reach and profitability [14]. - Comparatively, Chinese companies often exhibit lower valuations, raising questions about their growth potential and market competitiveness [14].
集体减持!段永平、李录,最新持仓曝光!
证券时报· 2025-05-17 04:45
段永平减持苹果,新进微软、英伟达、台积电 北京时间5月16日,H&H基金发布了最新的美股持仓,由于该基金被认为是由段永平掌管,其动向备受市 场关注。截至一季度末,H&H基金共持有11只股票,较去年底新增3只,期末持股市值为120亿美元,较 去年底减少了25亿美元。 这是H&H基金连续三个季度大幅减持苹果,去年四季度和去年三季度分别减持1190万股、1116万股,仓 位权重从最高的81%,降至目前的63%。 一季度,段永平罕见地进行了一轮密集的调仓。被认为是由段永平掌管的H&H International Investment 基金(下称"H&H基金"),新进微软、英伟达、台积电,加仓拼多多,减持阿里巴巴、谷歌、苹果,其中 减持超过10亿美元的苹果。 与此同时,H&H基金在一季度还大幅减持了谷歌和阿里巴巴,其中谷歌被减持266万股,减持幅度达 70.51%,期末持股市值降至1.73亿美元,上一季度末的持股市值高达7.17亿美元,从第三大持仓降至第 六;阿里巴巴则被减持147万股,减持幅度为26.94%,期末持股市值为5.27亿美元。 李录在一季度没有任何买入增持动作,反而是大举减持了苹果、谷歌以及第一大重仓股美 ...
集体减持!段永平、李录,最新持仓曝光!
券商中国· 2025-05-17 02:11
随着美股机构投资者一季度13F持仓的披露结束,在华人投资圈备受关注的段永平和李录的持仓陆续曝光。 一季度,段永平罕见地进行了一轮密集的调仓。被认为是由段永平掌管的H&H International Investment基金(下称"H&H基 金"),新进微软、英伟达、台积电,加仓拼多多,减持阿里巴巴、谷歌、苹果,其中减持超过10亿美元的苹果。 李录在一季度没有任何买入增持动作,反而是大举减持了苹果、谷歌以及第一大重仓股美国银行。值得注意的是,两大投资 人在一季度不约而同地净卖出美股、囤积现金,或是与巴菲特一致认为美股阶段性高估。 段永平减持苹果,新进微软、英伟达、台积电 北京时间5月16日,H&H基金发布了最新的美股持仓,由于该基金被认为是由段永平掌管,其动向备受市场关注。截至一季度 末,H&H基金共持有11只股票,较去年底新增3只,期末持股市值为120亿美元,较去年底减少了25亿美元。 H&H基金一季度罕见地进行了一轮密集调仓,对第一大重仓股苹果进行较大幅度的减持,减持664万股,使得其持股数量降至 3422万股,期末持股市值为76亿美元,仓位权重降至63.33%。 这是H&H基金连续三个季度大幅减持苹果,去 ...