Group 1 - The U.S. stock market continues to reach new highs despite multiple pressures, with the S&P 500's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 22 times, significantly above the long-term average of 35% [1] - The market's ability to sustain this upward trend depends on whether corporate earnings can exceed expectations or if the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates [1][4] - The S&P 500 index is currently facing historical challenges, including a new U.S. government's efforts to adjust global order and implement large-scale tariff policies, alongside uncertainties from conflicts in the Middle East [1] Group 2 - The S&P 500's current P/E ratio of 22 times is 35% higher than its long-term average, raising concerns about overvaluation [1][3] - A Bloomberg model suggests that the fair P/E ratio for the S&P 500 should be around 17.7 times, indicating that earnings would need to grow by 30% in the next year for the P/E to return to reasonable levels [3] - Investment strategists express caution regarding the sustainability of current market levels, suggesting that earnings expectations for the second half of the year may be overly optimistic [3][5] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve has indicated that it is not in a hurry to adjust policies, although lower inflation and weak labor recruitment may lead to earlier rate cuts this year [4] - Wall Street strategists recommend viewing any potential market pullbacks as buying opportunities, particularly in technology and growth stocks [5]

随着美股机构投资者一季度13F持仓的披露结束，在华人投资圈备受关注的段永平和李录的持仓陆续曝光。 一季度，段永平罕见地进行了一轮密集的调仓。被认为是由段永平掌管的H&H International Investment基金（下称"H&H基 金"），新进微软、英伟达、台积电，加仓拼多多，减持阿里巴巴、谷歌、苹果，其中减持超过10亿美元的苹果。 李录在一季度没有任何买入增持动作，反而是大举减持了苹果、谷歌以及第一大重仓股美国银行。值得注意的是，两大投资 人在一季度不约而同地净卖出美股、囤积现金，或是与巴菲特一致认为美股阶段性高估。 段永平减持苹果，新进微软、英伟达、台积电 北京时间5月16日，H&H基金发布了最新的美股持仓，由于该基金被认为是由段永平掌管，其动向备受市场关注。截至一季度 末，H&H基金共持有11只股票，较去年底新增3只，期末持股市值为120亿美元，较去年底减少了25亿美元。 H&H基金一季度罕见地进行了一轮密集调仓，对第一大重仓股苹果进行较大幅度的减持，减持664万股，使得其持股数量降至 3422万股，期末持股市值为76亿美元，仓位权重降至63.33%。 这是H&H基金连续三个季度大幅减持苹果，去 ...