Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report On February 3, the overall capital market remained stable; the bond market was mainly fluctuating, with short - term bonds being weak and medium - and long - term bonds being slightly strong; the main indexes of the convertible bond market rose collectively, and most convertible bond issues increased; the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds of different maturities showed divergent trends, and the yields of 10 - year government bonds of major European economies generally increased [1][2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: On February 3, the 2026 Central No. 1 Document was released, proposing reforms in rural collective property rights, support for new rural collective economies, and measures to control village - level debt. The central bank will conduct an 800 billion yuan 3 - month term buy - out reverse repurchase operation on February 4, resulting in a net investment of 100 billion yuan. The central bank Shanghai Head Office emphasized continuous financial reform and opening - up, and promoted free - trade zone financial reform [4][5]. - **International News**: On February 3 (local time), the U.S. House of Representatives passed a government funding bill, and the partial government shutdown is expected to end. However, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security only has funds until February 13, and there is still a risk of a more limited funding shortage [7]. - **Commodities**: On February 3, international crude oil and natural gas futures prices rose. WTI March crude oil futures rose 1.72% to $63.21 per barrel, Brent April crude oil futures rose 1.56% to $67.33 per barrel, COMEX gold futures rose 6.94% to $4975.30 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices rose 3.49% to $3.377 per ounce [8]. 3.2 Capital Market - **Open - Market Operations**: On February 3, the central bank conducted a 7 - day reverse repurchase operation of 105.5 billion yuan at a fixed interest rate of 1.40%. With 402 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal of funds was 296.5 billion yuan [10]. - **Funding Rates**: On February 3, the capital market was generally stable. DR001 decreased by 4.76bp to 1.371%, and DR007 increased by 0.66bp to 1.497%. Other funding rates also showed different degrees of change [11][12]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - Rate Bonds**: On February 3, the bond market fluctuated, with short - term interest - rate bonds being weak and medium - and long - term bonds being slightly strong. As of 20:00 Beijing time, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond 250016 decreased by 0.40bp to 1.8110%, and the yield of the 10 - year China Development Bank bond active bond 250215 remained unchanged at 1.9580%. Multiple bonds were issued on the same day, with different issuance scales, winning bid yields, and multiples [14][15]. - **Credit Bonds**: On February 3, there were no credit bond transactions with a price deviation of more than 10%. Several companies had credit - related announcements, including debt repayment difficulties, litigation, debt restructuring, and issuance cancellations [16][18]. - **Convertible Bonds**: On February 3, the A - share market rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising 1.29%, 2.19%, and 1.86% respectively. The main indexes of the convertible bond market also rose collectively. The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 97.548 billion yuan, an increase of 12.465 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Most convertible bond issues increased. Tomorrow (February 5), Haitian Convertible Bonds will start online subscriptions, and Shangtai Convertible Bonds will be listed [18][19][23]. - **Overseas Bond Markets**: - **U.S. Bond Market**: On February 3, the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds of different maturities showed divergent trends. The 2 - year U.S. Treasury bond yield remained unchanged at 3.57%, and the 10 - year U.S. Treasury bond yield decreased by 1bp to 4.28%. The 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury bond (TIPS) break - even inflation rate increased by 1bp to 2.36% [22][24][25]. - **European Bond Market**: On February 3, the yields of 10 - year government bonds of major European economies generally increased. The 10 - year German government bond yield increased by 2bp to 2.89%, and the yields of 10 - year government bonds of France, Italy, Spain, and the UK increased by 1bp, 1bp, 2bp, and 1bp respectively [26]. - **Chinese - Issued U.S. Dollar Bonds**: As of the close on February 3, the prices of Chinese - issued U.S. dollar bonds showed different degrees of change, with some rising and some falling [28].

Group 1: Domestic News - The 2026 Central Document was released, focusing on agricultural modernization and rural revitalization, emphasizing the need for reforms in rural collective property rights and controlling new village-level debts [2] - The document encourages the use of special bonds and long-term treasury bonds to support major projects in agriculture and rural areas, enhancing the effectiveness of financial support for agriculture [2] Group 2: Monetary Policy - The central bank announced an increase in the amount of 3-month reverse repos, conducting an operation of 800 billion yuan, resulting in a net injection of 100 billion yuan after accounting for maturing repos [3] - The central bank's Shanghai headquarters is actively promoting financial reforms in the free trade zone, aiming to enhance cross-border financial services and the convenience of cross-border RMB business [3] Group 3: International News - The U.S. House of Representatives approved a funding bill to end a partial government shutdown, with a vote of 217 to 214, sending the bill to the President for signature [4] - Despite the approval, a funding shortfall risk remains, particularly for the Department of Homeland Security, which has funding only until February 13 [4] Group 4: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices rose, with WTI crude up 1.72% to $63.21 per barrel and Brent crude up 1.56% to $67.33 per barrel [5] - Gold futures increased by 6.94% to $4975.30 per ounce, while natural gas prices rose by 3.49% to $3.377 per million British thermal units [5] Group 5: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market showed mixed performance, with short-term bonds weaker and medium to long-term bonds slightly stronger; the yield on the 10-year government bond fell by 0.40 basis points to 1.8110% [9] - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation with a total of 1055 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2965 billion yuan due to maturing repos [6][7] Group 6: Credit Bonds - No credit bonds showed price deviations exceeding 10% on February 3, indicating stable trading conditions in the secondary market [11] - Companies like Zhongjun Group and Yida China are facing financial difficulties, with Zhongjun unable to repay a bond and Yida receiving a lawsuit for debt recovery [11][12] Group 7: Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market saw a collective rebound, with major indices rising between 2.51% and 2.79%, and trading volume increasing significantly [13] - Notable individual bonds like Baichuan Convertible Bond surged over 17%, while some bonds experienced declines, such as Huazheng Convertible Bond, which fell over 4% [14] Group 8: Overseas Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields showed mixed movements, with the 10-year yield down 1 basis point to 4.28%, while the 2-year yield remained unchanged at 3.57% [16] - European government bond yields generally increased, with Germany's 10-year yield rising by 2 basis points to 2.89% [18]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai has introduced two significant policies aimed at enhancing the development of the Free Trade Account (FT Account) and improving cross-border financial services, marking a new phase in financial reform within the Free Trade Zone [1] Group 1: FT Account Development - The FT Account was established in 2014 in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone to promote free trade and facilitate China's integration into global trade [2] - The FT Account features a unique accounting system, integration of domestic and foreign currencies, offshore pricing, and unified rules for domestic and foreign clients, leading to a revolutionary change in the financial sector [2] - China Construction Bank (CCB) Shanghai Branch has provided FT Account services to over 10,000 clients, with total loans amounting to nearly 600 billion yuan, 40% of which have been directed towards overseas clients [2] Group 2: Policy Implementation and Impact - The recent regulations are a systematic summary of over ten years of FT Account pilot experience, aimed at enhancing legislative levels and exploring institutional innovations [3] - The policies are designed to align with international high-standard economic and trade rules, improving the functionality of the FT Account system and optimizing account regulations [3] Group 3: CCB's Role and Initiatives - CCB Shanghai Branch has established the Shanghai Global Financial Service Center to enhance cross-border financial services for enterprises [4] - The bank has participated in significant projects, including financing for China's first domestically produced large cruise ship and international syndicate loans with Fortune 500 companies [4][5] - CCB is actively involved in multi-currency syndicate projects and has provided comprehensive financial support for Chinese enterprises expanding overseas [5] Group 4: Risk Management and Trade Facilitation - CCB Shanghai Branch is advancing enterprise exchange rate risk management by leveraging FT Zone policies and offshore pricing advantages [6] - The bank is optimizing international trade settlement services to meet the funding needs arising from tariff adjustments and supply chain changes [6] - The bank plans to enhance FT Account service capabilities by streamlining account opening processes and promoting FT online banking services [6]