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全球航空服务市场东移,空客掘金中国民航数字化互联业务
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2026-02-02 03:40
Core Insights - The global aviation aftermarket services market is expected to grow significantly, with China's market projected to increase from $24.8 billion in 2025 to $63.8 billion by 2044, indicating a strong demand for various services throughout the aircraft lifecycle [2][3]. Market Growth and Trends - Airbus predicts a shift in the aviation aftermarket services market towards China, which is expected to become the largest market globally due to ongoing investments in airport infrastructure and air traffic management [3]. - China is anticipated to receive approximately 9,570 new aircraft over the next 20 years, further driving the demand for aftermarket services [3][4]. - The domestic passenger transport volume in China is projected to grow by 17% compared to pre-pandemic levels in 2019, with international routes recovering to over 90% of 2019 levels [4]. Key Segments of Aftermarket Services - The Off-Wing Maintenance market is expected to grow from $17 billion in 2025 to $44.8 billion by 2044, becoming the largest segment of the aftermarket services market [4][5]. - The On-Wing Maintenance market is projected to increase from $3 billion in 2025 to $6.8 billion by 2044, reflecting the growing demand for routine maintenance [5]. - The market for fleet modifications and upgrades is expected to rise from $1.8 billion in 2025 to $3.1 billion by 2044, driven by the need for enhanced passenger experience and extended aircraft lifespan [5]. Talent and Training Needs - By 2044, the Chinese aviation industry will require over 485,000 new technical personnel, including 131,000 pilots, 143,000 maintenance technicians, and 211,000 cabin crew members [5]. - The professional training market is projected to grow from $1.6 billion in 2025 to $3.9 billion by 2044 to meet the increasing demand for skilled personnel [5]. Digital Transformation and Connectivity - The digital and connected aircraft market in China is expected to grow from $1.4 billion in 2025 to $5.1 billion by 2044, as airlines accelerate their digital transformation efforts [6]. - Airlines are expected to save over $2.2 billion in operational costs and an additional $5.7 billion through reduced fuel costs by adopting digital technologies [6]. - The introduction of in-flight internet services is becoming more prevalent, with airlines like KLM and Air China offering free connectivity to enhance customer loyalty and competitiveness [7][8]. Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - Airbus has signed agreements to install advanced in-flight connectivity systems on aircraft, enhancing the passenger experience and operational efficiency [8][9]. - Collaborations with technology firms aim to build a robust in-flight connectivity ecosystem, ensuring stable network connections across various regions [9].
空中客车预测:未来20年中国将成全球最大航空售后服务市场
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-15 13:42
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the aviation aftermarket services market is shifting towards Asia, with China projected to become the largest market, growing from $24.8 billion in 2025 to $63.8 billion by 2044 [1] - Over the next 20 years, China is expected to receive approximately 9,570 new aircraft, reinforcing the demand for various services throughout the aircraft lifecycle [3] - Several Chinese airlines have recently announced new aircraft orders with Airbus, including Air China ordering 60 A320neo aircraft, with a total catalog price of approximately $9.53 billion [4] Group 2 - The maintenance and training market is expanding, becoming a critical component for fleet operation as Airbus secures more aircraft orders in China [5] - The Off-Wing Maintenance market is projected to grow from $17 billion in 2025 to $44.8 billion by 2044, while the On-Wing Maintenance market is expected to increase from $3 billion to $6.8 billion in the same period [6] - The digital and connected market is anticipated to be the fastest-growing segment, expanding from $1.4 billion in 2025 to $5.1 billion by 2044, focusing on smarter operations and predictive maintenance [6] Group 3 - The aviation maintenance market in China is expected to grow rapidly due to the increasing fleet size and aging aircraft, with maintenance costs for engines surpassing their purchase costs [7] - Chinese airlines are accelerating their digital transformation, with over 9,000 aircraft expected to have onboard connectivity, potentially saving over $2.2 billion in operational costs and an additional $5.7 billion through reduced fuel costs [7]