触底反弹

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不对劲!A股在等什么?系好安全带了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 07:17
目前行情特别简单,部分资金从科技里面兑现了,但是没有形成合力,东边炒炒,西边炒炒。如果没有证券、白酒、银行这种权重行业带领的话,资金就是 一盘散沙。 A股在等什么? 下午3个点有个重要的会,大概率会有利好。大资金在等利好落地,这样就可以有理由拉升了。早盘就是反复波动,没有方向,谁都想涨,谁都涨不动。 市场又缩量1552亿了,个股是3431家普涨,不过指数是红的。大家想过没有,接下来无论指数涨跌,个股都没有行情。 指数牛,有时候真的不要参与股票就行了。大家有自己的策略就可以了,不需要那么多想法。股市就是认知的兑现,大概率会迎来触底反弹。 3800点为跳板,如果愿意拉升是可以突破4000点了,不过他们是不是愿意拉升,那需要看散户在场的情况了,一定是大家要么被套了,要么空仓了。 当下的位置,市场是没有方向的横盘,成交量也缩小了。主板如果不能反弹,大盘指数就难以继续上涨了,大家只需要管理好仓位,配置好资产…… 这个位置,市场在等重要的利好,一定是大级别的利好,足够让大家认可牛市的利好。目前,不相信牛市的人越来越多了,9月份没有盈利效应,这是事实 情况了。 系好安全带了 只能说,目前做好自己的交易计划就行了,我们散户的 ...
金发科技:营收新高难掩盈利困局,“触底反弹”证伪 | 看财报
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-04-23 06:31
Core Viewpoint - Kingfa Technology (600143.SH) reported record-high revenue of 60.514 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.23%, and a net profit of 0.825 billion yuan, up 160.36% year-on-year. However, the market remains skeptical about the sustainability of this growth due to a low performance base in 2023 and ongoing pressures in its profit structure [2][3][4]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's revenue growth is largely attributed to a low base in 2023, which was the lowest in nearly a decade, with absolute values lower than any year from 2019 to 2022 [6][11]. - Kingfa's main business, modified plastics, accounted for 52% of revenue, but faced significant pressure with a sales price drop to a six-year low, resulting in a gross margin decrease of 1.44 percentage points [3][6][8]. - The medical health segment, which thrived during the pandemic, has seen a drastic decline in revenue from 2.71 billion yuan to 0.56 billion yuan in 2024, with a negative gross margin of -34.22% [11][12]. Business Segment Performance - Kingfa's four main business segments are under pressure, with modified plastics experiencing volume growth but price declines, leading to a significant drop in profitability [6][11]. - The green petrochemical segment continues to report deep losses, with subsidiaries like Liaoning Kingfa and Ningbo Kingfa showing substantial revenue increases but also significant losses [10][12]. - The company has over 3,000 competitors in the modified plastics market, with a fragmented market structure and intense price competition, particularly in the mid-to-low-end segments [8]. Financial Health and Debt Situation - Kingfa's aggressive expansion strategy has resulted in 28.3 billion yuan in interest-bearing debt, leading to operational losses, impairment issues, and increased expenses [12][17]. - The company's financial expenses have risen significantly, with interest expenses reaching 1.098 billion yuan in 2024, compared to 0.576 billion yuan in 2020 [17][18]. - Kingfa is currently facing a liquidity crunch, with cash reserves insufficient to cover short-term debts, leading to plans to issue up to 4 billion yuan in medium-term notes to support operations and repay debts [18].