哈尔滨电气（1133.HK） 2026-01-27 星期二 即时点评 25 年预计录得 26.5 亿元归母净利润，超预期 【事件】 公司于 2026 年 1 月 26 日晚间公告盈利预告，初步评估，预期公司 2025 年度录得归母净利润约 26.5 亿元（上年同期为人民币 16.9 亿元），同比 大幅增长。主要原因为公司 2025 年度营业收入较去年有所增长，产品盈 利能力进一步提高。 【点评观点】 1. 公司 2025 年度净利润同比+57.2%，超预期： 公司预计 2025 年实现归母净利润 26.5 亿元，同比增长约 57.2%，超过我 们预测的 25 亿元的预期。期间净利润大幅增长主要原因包括营业收入增 长、产品盈利能力进一步提高。这与我们此前对公司前期收获的高价值订 单将逐步释放，毛利率仍有上升空间的判断一致；同时由于公司生产规模 扩大，智能化制造能力显著增强，企业的规模效应和运营效率大幅提升。 2. 短中期优质订单继续释放，中长期设备出口等业务提供持续性： 我们认为短中期公司在手订单依旧充沛，我们预期公司煤电订单在"十五 五前期"依旧是利润贡献核心，"十五五中后期"逐步实现平稳，公司抽 蓄和核电订 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 18.647 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 545 million yuan, an increase of 6.43% year-on-year [2][6]. - In the second quarter alone, the company reported a revenue of 10.476 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.21% year-on-year, while the net profit was 324 million yuan, down 0.64% year-on-year [2][6]. - The overall revenue remained stable, but the release of orders slowed down, with total orders amounting to 32.2 billion yuan, a decline of 27% year-on-year [12]. - The gross profit margin improved, leading to enhanced profitability, with a comprehensive gross margin of 8.67%, up 0.55 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The company is expected to benefit from high levels of infrastructure investment in Zhejiang province, which reached 409.3 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 18.647 billion yuan, with a net profit of 545 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 530 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growths of 1.12%, 6.43%, and 6.19% respectively [2][6]. - The second quarter's performance showed a revenue of 10.476 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.21% year-on-year, with a net profit of 324 million yuan, down 0.64% year-on-year [2][6]. Business Segmentation - The construction segment generated 16.678 billion yuan, down 3.21% year-on-year, while the highway maintenance segment saw a significant increase of 87.82%, reaching 1.758 billion yuan [12]. - Domestic revenue was 18.316 billion yuan, up 2.88% year-on-year, while overseas revenue was 332 million yuan, down 47.94% [12]. Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 8.67%, an increase of 0.55 percentage points year-on-year, with the construction segment's gross margin at 9.15% [12]. - The net profit margin for the first half was 2.92%, up 0.15 percentage points year-on-year [12]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - Operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 2.899 billion yuan, an increase in outflow of 195 million yuan year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 114.54% [12]. - The company's asset-liability ratio decreased by 0.74 percentage points to 75.52% [12].