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非银金融行业跟踪周报:短期调整无损投资价值,继续看好保险、券商估值提升-20260118
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-18 09:55
Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating for the non-bank financial sector, with a focus on insurance and brokerage firms [1] Core Insights - Short-term adjustments do not diminish investment value; the outlook for insurance and brokerage remains positive [1] - The non-bank financial sector has experienced a decline, with all sub-sectors underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index in recent trading days [9][10] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from a strong start in 2026, with improved premium growth and regulatory changes enhancing asset-liability management [25][26] - The brokerage sector shows signs of recovery with increased trading volumes and favorable regulatory developments [15][22] - The multi-financial sector is transitioning to a stable growth phase, with trust and futures industries adapting to market changes [31][38] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Sector Performance - All sub-sectors of non-bank financials underperformed the CSI 300 index recently, with declines of 2.29% in securities, 3.19% in multi-financials, and 3.64% in insurance [9] - Year-to-date, the multi-financial sector has performed the best, with a 2.53% increase, while the insurance sector has slightly declined by 0.04% [10] Securities Sector Insights - Trading volume has increased significantly, with an average daily trading amount of 35,539 billion yuan in January, up 161.20% year-on-year [15] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has outlined five key tasks for 2026 to enhance market stability and service quality [19] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.2x for 2026, indicating potential for further valuation improvement [23] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance industry reported a 9.2% year-on-year increase in original premiums for the first 11 months of 2025, with a notable improvement in November's performance [25] - Regulatory changes in asset-liability management are expected to strengthen the industry's stability and long-term growth prospects [26][28] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at historical lows, with estimates ranging from 0.65 to 0.86 times the expected P/EV for 2026 [29] Multi-Financial Sector Insights - The trust industry has seen a 20.11% year-on-year growth in total assets, indicating a stable transition phase [31] - The futures market experienced a significant increase in trading volume and value, with December 2025 figures showing a 45.17% increase in volume and a 58.55% increase in value year-on-year [38] - The focus on innovative risk management services is expected to drive future growth in the futures sector [42] Industry Ranking and Recommendations - The recommended ranking for investment is insurance > securities > other multi-financials, with key companies including China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and CITIC Securities [45]
非银金融行业跟踪周报:看好保险2026年“开门红”,公募费改第三阶段落地-20260104
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-04 13:01
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 2026 年 01 月 04 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书:S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 罗宇康 执业证书:S0600525090002 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 23% 26% 2025/1/6 2025/5/5 2025/9/1 2025/12/29 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《公募基金降费第三阶段落地,引导 权益类基金发展,平滑对短债基金的 影响》 看好保险 2026 年"开门红";公募费改第三 阶段落地 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026-01-03 《低利率时代的重逢——中国分红险 发展的前世今生》 2025-12-30 东吴证券研究所 1 / 16 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现:最近 3 个交易日(2025 年 12 月 29 日-2025 年 12 月 31 日)非银金融各子板块中仅多元金融行业跑赢沪深 ...