资本市场高景气度
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中金公司(601995):资本市场高景气度助推业绩增长,国际业务优势有望进一步显现
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2025-09-03 12:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights that the high prosperity of the capital market has driven performance growth, and the advantages of international business are expected to further manifest [5][12] - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 12.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 94.35% [3][11] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 7.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24%, with a net profit of 2.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 131% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12% [11][12] - The weighted average ROE for H1 2025 was 4.16%, an increase of 2.03 percentage points compared to the same period last year [11] Business Segments - Brokerage business revenue for H1 2025 was 2.65 billion yuan, up 49.8% year-on-year, with Q2 2025 revenue at 1.35 billion yuan, up 44% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter [12] - Asset management revenue for H1 2025 was 680 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, with Q2 2025 revenue at 370 million yuan, up 29% year-on-year and 21% quarter-on-quarter [12] - Investment banking revenue for H1 2025 was 1.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.2%, with Q2 2025 revenue at 1.27 billion yuan, up 52% year-on-year and 214% quarter-on-quarter [13] International Business - The international business segment achieved a net profit of 2.63 billion Hong Kong dollars in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 169%, contributing 55% to the parent company's profit [13] Future Projections - The company expects revenues of 25.5 billion yuan, 27.4 billion yuan, and 30.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.4%, 7.4%, and 10.8% [15] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 9.1 billion yuan, 10.4 billion yuan, and 12.2 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 60.6%, 13.3%, and 18.2% [15]