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独家专访盛松成:中国居民储蓄将更多流向金融投资
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-25 16:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing transformation of asset values in China, driven by innovation and changes in the capital market, leading to a shift in resident wealth towards financial investments, particularly in high-quality projects that generate stable cash flows [1][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 25, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has increased by 14.96% year-to-date, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.11%, the ChiNext Index by 51.09%, the Hang Seng Index by 32.03%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 42.77% [1]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Economic Environment - The external environment for Chinese asset prices is improving, with expectations of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, providing room for potential rate cuts in China, although significant cuts are not anticipated in the short term [3][11]. - The People's Bank of China emphasizes a balanced approach to monetary policy, focusing on domestic conditions while considering external factors [4][11]. Group 3: Currency and Trade Dynamics - The long-term outlook for the RMB is stable with a tendency to appreciate, which supports internationalization efforts and helps Chinese enterprises expand globally [4][6][24]. - China is unlikely to repeat Japan's past mistakes regarding currency valuation, maintaining a stable exchange rate to prevent asset bubbles and industry hollowing [7][8]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - There is a growing trend of resident savings shifting towards financial investments, with new "wealth pools" emerging in sectors aligned with national strategic directions, such as new infrastructure and consumption infrastructure [12][13]. - The development of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) in new infrastructure is encouraged to attract private capital, with a focus on simplifying approval processes for quality assets [13]. Group 5: Asset Management Industry Trends - The global asset management landscape is evolving, with significant growth in asset management scale driven by low interest rates and changing investment preferences [19][20]. - The asset management industry is expected to undergo three major changes: expansion of asset management scale due to excess liquidity, adjustments in asset allocation towards equities and alternative assets, and a shift in operational models towards service-oriented approaches [19][20]. Group 6: Gold and Investment Strategy - The rise of gold as a strategic asset is noted, driven by geopolitical tensions and concerns over U.S. debt, although large-scale institutional allocation to gold may be limited [22][23]. - The long-term trend indicates that gold will play a significant role in investment portfolios, particularly as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases with lower interest rates [22][23]. Group 7: Future of RMB Internationalization - The RMB is increasingly recognized as a major currency in international trade and finance, with its international status expected to continue improving as China's economic strength grows [26][27]. - The potential for RMB appreciation is supported by low inflation rates in China compared to the U.S., enhancing its attractiveness as an investment currency [27].
“一超多强”角逐全球资管中心桂冠 上海首次进入全球前五
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-24 16:05
Core Insights - The 2025 Global Asset Management Center Evaluation Index report indicates a competitive landscape characterized by a "one strong, many strong" dynamic, with New York maintaining its top position due to its integrated advantages and rapid technological integration [1][2] - Shanghai has entered the global top five asset management centers for the first time, rising from seventh to fifth place, showcasing significant improvements in asset technology, underlying assets, and growth rates [2][4] Group 1: Global Asset Management Center Rankings - New York ranks first with a score of 97.91, showing no change from the previous year [4] - Paris has moved up to second place with a score of 84.72, while London has dropped to third with a score of 84.58 [4] - Shanghai's score is 84.22, placing it fifth, with notable rankings of third in underlying assets and growth rate, and sixth in funding sources and asset management technology [2][4] Group 2: China's Asset Management Growth Potential - China's investable assets are approximately 300 trillion yuan, indicating a substantial wealth demand that could drive growth in the asset management industry [4] - The shift in asset allocation from "savings + real estate" to financial assets is expected to accelerate due to ongoing economic growth and declining interest rates [4] Group 3: Technological Advancements in Asset Management - The introduction of asset management technology indicators aims to reflect the evolving landscape, emphasizing the importance of technology as a key driver in the asset management sector [6][7] - Asset management technology enhances data processing capabilities, risk management, and service customization, leading to improved efficiency and effectiveness in decision-making [7] Group 4: Gold Market Dynamics - Rising international gold prices are attributed to factors such as a declining dollar index, increased geopolitical risks, and low interest rates [8] - The development of gold tokens, leveraging blockchain technology, is seen as a strategic opportunity for China to enhance its position in the global gold market and financial center [9]
赵欣舸答21:期待机构投资者推动中国资管行业发展
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-24 11:33
Core Insights - The asset management industry in China is experiencing significant growth driven by the country's economic expansion and structural transformation [1][2] - Shanghai has risen to the fifth position globally in the asset management center ranking, showcasing improvements in asset management technology, underlying assets, and growth rates [1] - The shift in investment preferences from traditional savings and real estate to diversified asset management products is expected to fuel industry growth [1][2] Group 1: Industry Growth Drivers - The Chinese stock market's strong performance has positively impacted the asset management sector, leading to a diversification of investment products [2] - The increasing wealth demand in China, with investable assets reaching approximately 300 trillion yuan, is anticipated to drive growth in the asset management industry [1] - The competition among global asset management centers is evolving, focusing on technology-driven solutions and the emergence of new financial assets [2] Group 2: Future Trends and Opportunities - The competition in the asset management sector will center around three new areas: asset management technology, new supply and pricing of underlying assets, and institutional long-term capital [2] - China has the potential to leverage its complete industrial system and focus on green finance, transforming its renewable energy advantages into competitive strengths in green asset management [3] - The ongoing technological revolution positions China as a leader, with opportunities to convert technological advancements into asset management innovations [3]
全球资管中心“一超多强”格局凸显,上海排名第五
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-09-24 10:31
Core Insights - The global asset management industry is undergoing significant changes, with a shift towards a multi-polar, technology-driven, and institutionally innovative landscape by 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Competitive Landscape - New York remains the top asset management center, benefiting from its integrated advantages in capital sources and strong asset attraction, as well as rapid technology integration [2][3] - Paris has risen to second place due to its leadership in ESG and alternative assets, highlighting Europe's unique strengths in green finance and sustainable investment [2][3] - London has dropped to third place, reflecting weakened competitiveness in talent and tax policies post-Brexit [2][3] - Boston and Toronto have shown remarkable performance, leveraging a model of long-term capital, active management, and technological empowerment [2][3] - Shanghai has climbed to fifth place, demonstrating significant improvements in asset management technology, underlying assets, and growth rates [2][3] Group 2: Emerging Markets and Trends - Mumbai has emerged as a major player in the emerging markets, showcasing strong growth in underlying assets and IPO activity, driven by India's high savings rate and capital market openness [2][3] - Hong Kong has fallen to tenth place, while Singapore has dropped from sixth to thirteenth, indicating vulnerabilities tied to reliance on institutional conveniences [2][3] Group 3: Structural Changes and Innovations - The report indicates a concentration of funding sources in major North American cities, reinforcing trends towards "U.S. stock and bond markets" [3][4] - The competition in open-end funds and ETFs is increasingly centered in the U.S., while Europe maintains an 85% share in ESG assets, with Paris recognized as the global ESG capital [4] - The introduction of "asset management technology" as a secondary indicator reflects the profound changes brought about by the fourth technological revolution and artificial intelligence in the asset management sector [4][5]
《2025全球资产管理中心评价指数报告》:上海首次进入全球前五
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-09-24 04:24
Core Insights - The "2025 Global Asset Management Center Evaluation Index" report indicates that New York remains the top asset management center, followed by Paris and London, with Shanghai making its debut in the top five, rising from seventh to fifth place [1] Group 1: Rankings and Performance - New York retains the first position in the global asset management center ranking [1] - Paris has moved up to second place, while London has dropped to third [1] - Shanghai has improved its ranking from seventh to fifth, marking its first entry into the top five [1] Group 2: Key Metrics - Shanghai ranks third in both underlying assets and growth rate indicators [1] - In terms of funding sources and asset management technology, Shanghai is ranked sixth [1] Group 3: Technological Influence - Technology is identified as a key driver in the evolution of global asset management centers [1] - The introduction of asset management technology as an independent evaluation category is deemed timely [1] - A four-dimensional evaluation framework has been established, consisting of foundational, market, innovation, and application layers to comprehensively reflect the development level in asset management technology [1]
2025全球资管中心评价指数发布 上海首次进入全球前五
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-24 02:30
Core Insights - The "2025 Global Asset Management Center Evaluation Index" was officially released, with New York, Paris, and London ranking as the top three centers, while Shanghai rose to fifth place [1][2]. Group 1: Rankings and Scores - New York maintained its top position with a comprehensive score of 97.91, an increase of 2.39 points from 2024, leading in multiple dimensions such as funding sources and asset management technology [1][3]. - Paris climbed to second place despite a slight decrease in score to 84.72, ranking first in ESG and alternative assets, which boosted its overall performance [1][3]. - London fell to third place with a score of 84.58, widening the gap from New York by 1.46 points, showing strengths in asset management technology but weaknesses in tax incentives and talent attraction [1][3]. - Shanghai's score reached 84.22, a decrease of 0.86 points, ranking third in underlying assets and growth rate, and sixth in funding sources and asset management technology [2][3]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The introduction of the asset management technology indicator aims to reflect the evolving landscape of global asset management centers, emphasizing the importance of technology as a key driver of economic growth [4][6]. - Asset management technology is transforming decision-making and risk management systems through data intelligence, enhancing the ability to monitor market behaviors and risks in real-time [6][4]. - The new evaluation framework for asset management technology includes four dimensions: foundational, market, innovation, and application layers, providing a comprehensive view of development levels in this field [4][6].
上海排名第五 全球资管中心“一超多强”格局凸显
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-23 15:59
Core Insights - The "2025 Global Asset Management Center Evaluation Index" report indicates that New York remains the top asset management center, followed by Paris and London, while Shanghai has risen to fifth place from seventh last year [1] - The report introduces a new asset management technology index to reflect the evolving role of technology in the asset management industry, highlighting the differentiated advantages of various asset management centers in this field [1] Group 1: Asset Management Center Rankings - New York retains the first position, Paris moves up to second, and London drops to third, with Shanghai entering the top five for the first time [1] - Shanghai ranks third in both underlying assets and growth rate metrics, and sixth in funding sources and asset management technology [1] Group 2: Role of Asset Management Technology - Asset management technology is driving data intelligence transformation in decision-making and risk management systems, enabling personalized service models [2] - The technology enhances data processing capabilities, real-time monitoring of market behaviors, and predictive risk management through AI and big data [2] - It facilitates a shift from standardized services to personalized offerings, breaking down barriers between asset management institutions and investors [2] Group 3: Shanghai's Competitive Advantages - Shanghai's rich quality of Chinese assets, strong financial market, and rapidly growing asset management institutions position it favorably for global competitiveness [3] - The city’s market pricing mechanism and industry chain advantages allow efficient access to quality assets, with potential improvements in capital flow efficiency through policy trials [3] - Technological investments are strengthening the global leadership of large asset management institutions while providing opportunities for smaller firms [3] Group 4: Future Development and Challenges - Despite having a GDP per capita and labor productivity at about one-fourth of New York's, Shanghai has the potential for continued development as an international financial center through technological innovation [4] - The Lingang New Area is highlighted for its complete industry chain and strong AI capabilities, providing effective tools and real-world applications for asset management technology [4] - The integration of digitalization, compliance, and internationalization is crucial for Shanghai to enhance its position in the global asset management landscape [4]