Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report Short - term coal and coke supply - demand has marginal fluctuations and remains at a relatively high level overall. Inventory pressure is temporarily not significant, but attention should be paid to the impact of imported coal variables on the market. Prices should be treated with cautious optimism [4]. 3) Summary by Relevant Contents Market Performance - Yesterday, the coal and coke futures prices fluctuated strongly and approached the previous high, with relatively intense overall fluctuations. The spot market was generally stable with a slight upward trend, and the second round of coke price hikes was implemented, with a cumulative increase of 100 - 130 yuan/ton in two rounds [2][3]. Supply Side - Last week, some coal mines in Shanxi's Lvliang and Linfen regions were shut down due to safety reasons, and open - pit coal mines in Inner Mongolia's Wuhai and other areas were shut down for goaf treatment, resulting in a decline in coal production. The daily average clean coal output of 523 coking coal mines was 76.1 tons, a decrease of 1.8 tons compared to the previous week and 1.7 tons year - on - year [3]. - From January to September, China's cumulative imports of Mongolian coking coal were 41.747 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.6716 million tons, a decline of 3.8%. However, the imports in August and September were both at a high level of around 6 million tons, narrowing the year - on - year decline. The high - frequency data shows that the average daily customs clearance volume at the Ganqimao Port for Mongolian coal in October was 128,000 tons, a decrease of 40,000 tons compared to September. It is expected that Mongolian coking coal imports will decline in October, and the annual imports may be flat year - on - year [3]. Demand Side - The profit of steel mills has further shrunk, with the profitability rate dropping to 47.6%. The daily average pig iron output has slightly decreased to 2.399 million tons. As the demand approaches the end of the year, the pressure on finished products is increasing, and the pig iron output tends to decline. Attention should be paid to the transmission of pressure to the raw material side [3].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View Short - term coal - coke supply - demand has marginal fluctuations and remains at a relatively high level. Attention should be paid to the impact of imported coal variables on the market. Market sentiment is easily disturbed by macro - factor changes, and prices should be treated with cautious optimism [4]. 3. Summary by Related Content Supply - side - Yesterday, coal - coke futures prices continued the rebound trend with intense fluctuations. The spot market was generally stable, and the second round of coking price increase was still in the negotiation process. Supply - side news pushed up coal prices [3]. - Due to the political turmoil in Mongolia, the customs clearance at the Ganqimaodu Port was affected, and the recent clearance volume decreased, supporting the coal price [3]. - In the domestic market, some coal mines in Shanxi's Lvliang and Linfen stopped production due to safety reasons this week, and open - pit coal mines in Inner Mongolia's Wuhai stopped production for goaf treatment. The coal output declined. The daily average coking coal output of 523 coking coal mines this week was 76.1 million tons, a decrease of 1.8 million tons from the previous week and 1.7 million tons year - on - year [3]. Demand - side - The profit of steel mills further shrank, with the profitability rate dropping to 47.6%. The daily average hot metal output slightly decreased to 2.399 billion tons. As the demand nears the end of the year, the pressure on finished products increases, and the hot metal output tends to decline. Attention should be paid to the transmission of pressure to the raw material end [3]. Import Data - China's coking coal imports have been increasing month - by - month. In September, the import volume was 10.9237 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.49% and a year - on - year increase of 5.41%. From January to September, the cumulative import volume was 83.5312 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 6.45% with the decline rate continuously narrowing [3]. - In September, the import of Mongolian coal was 6.0005 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.24% and a year - on - year increase of 45.48%. From January to September, the import of Mongolian coal was 41.747 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.8% with the decline rate significantly narrowing [3].