最新数据显示，美国十二月商业活动增速放缓至六个月来的最低点，然而，与此同时衡量企业投入成本的指标却攀升至超过三年的最高水平。这一现象凸显 出当前美国经济正面临增长动能减弱与通胀压力加剧并存的复杂局面，也为政策制定者带来了新的挑战。 根据本周二发布的初步统计数据，十二月综合产出指数相比前月下降一点二，降至五十三。尽管如此，该数值仍位于五十的荣枯分界线之上，表明经济活动 整体仍处于扩张区间。然而，扩张速度的明显放缓引发了市场对未来增长势头的关注。 与增长放缓形成鲜明对比的是价格压力的急剧上升。反映企业投入成本的综合支付价格指数在十二月大幅跃升近三个点，达到六十四点一的高位。标普全球 市场财智的首席商业经济学家在相关声明中指出，当前的主要担忧正是成本的大幅攀升，通胀增速已经达到自二零二二年十一月以来的最高水平。 分析认为，价格上升压力在很大程度上与关税因素相关。这种影响最初集中在制造业领域，如今正逐渐向服务业扩散，进一步加重了整体经济的成本负担。 数据显示，服务提供商的投入成本指标同样升至二零二二年十一月以来的最高点，而服务收费价格的上升速度也创下了二零二二年八月以来的最快纪录。 这种经济增长放缓和通胀压力上升并存 ...

Group 1 - Major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and Citigroup, have delayed their expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts to December, reflecting a significant change in market sentiment regarding monetary policy adjustments [3][8] - The latest interest rate swap contracts indicate that the Federal Reserve may only cut rates by approximately 55 basis points this year, down from previous expectations of 75 basis points, showcasing a cautious market outlook on economic conditions [4][8] Group 2 - The easing of trade tensions is expected to boost economic growth by enhancing business confidence and promoting investment and consumption, which has reduced the urgency for the Federal Reserve to implement rate cuts [5][8] - Concerns remain regarding inflationary pressures due to tariff policies, as indicated by Federal Reserve Governor Kugler, suggesting that even with improved trade relations, inflation could rise and impact the Fed's decision-making on rate cuts [6][7][8]