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很多人注定无法过个好年,黄金暴跌背后的逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 02:36
"股票做短线的,过年之前,最好提前半个月,一定要减仓或者清仓。因为大部分人都是这么想的:一年没赚钱了,年前赚如果能在股市赚一波,岂不是能 美滋滋的过个肥年?所以临近年底,大家都要取钱出来准备过年,也一定会有大量资金撤资,从而引起下跌。而且主力也是这么想的,所以你一定要赶在主 力之前减仓。不然可能被埋。" 现在这行情也预测了该大V的说法,很多人在述说这一夜已经破产,已经无法过一个好年,跟大潮买金想一夜暴富,如今肠子都悔青了。 文/王新喜 北京时间1月31日凌晨,现货白银价格一度暴跌36%,创出历史最大日内跌幅;现货黄金价格一度下跌超过12%,盘中跌穿每盎司4700美元。也就是说,不 到36个小时,黄金从 5600 美元暴跌至 4700 美元,白银从 121 美元跌至 77 美元。遭遇40年来单日最大跌幅。 这轮黄金暴跌,很多人注定无法过个好年。有人翻出一个大V的神预测: 该大V表示:大多数普通人一辈子都用不到黄金。能用到黄金的时候,只有一种情况,那就是世界末日。什么是世界末日?纸币彻底不能用了,生产全部停 了,到处都是战乱和疾病,这个时候你可以用黄金换点粮食和医药。但是这种情况发生的概率几乎为零。 这一轮暴跌的 ...
特朗普没想到中国敢这么干,发行美债狂揽 1182 亿,美联储急刹车
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 07:59
Core Viewpoint - China's issuance of $4 billion in sovereign bonds in Hong Kong attracted overwhelming interest, with subscription amounts reaching $118.2 billion, resulting in a subscription ratio of 30 times, highlighting a significant shift in global capital preferences towards Chinese bonds over U.S. Treasuries [1][3][5] Group 1: Market Reaction - The subscription amount for China's bonds was $118.2 billion against a $4 billion issuance, indicating a staggering demand with a 29-fold oversubscription [3][5] - In contrast, U.S. Treasury bonds saw a subscription ratio of only 2.6 times, reflecting a stark decline in investor confidence in U.S. debt [1][3] Group 2: Creditworthiness and Investor Confidence - Investors are drawn to Chinese bonds not due to higher interest rates but because of China's strong credit backing, supported by $3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves and a stable trade surplus [5][10] - China's debt repayment capability is perceived as more stable compared to many countries, enhancing the attractiveness of its bonds as a safe investment [5][10] Group 3: Strategic Objectives of Bond Issuance - The primary goal of issuing these bonds is to establish a "capital safe haven" alternative to U.S. Treasuries, challenging the long-held belief that U.S. assets are the safest [7][9] - This issuance serves as a strategic move to diversify global financial options and reduce reliance on U.S. dollar assets [7][9] Group 4: Implications for U.S. Financial Dominance - The influx of capital into Chinese bonds may force the U.S. to raise its borrowing costs, as it competes for limited global capital [14][16] - The Federal Reserve's policy-making space is constrained, complicating its ability to manage inflation and economic slowdown due to the competitive pressure from Chinese bonds [14][16] Group 5: Long-term Financial Landscape Changes - The current dynamics suggest a potential decline in U.S. financial hegemony, as investor confidence shifts towards Chinese bonds, reminiscent of historical shifts in global currency dominance [16][18] - China's proactive integration into the global financial system through bond issuance is aimed at enhancing its international credibility and providing a viable alternative for global capital [18][20]