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特朗普没想到中国敢这么干,发行美债狂揽 1182 亿,美联储急刹车
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 07:59
Core Viewpoint - China's issuance of $4 billion in sovereign bonds in Hong Kong attracted overwhelming interest, with subscription amounts reaching $118.2 billion, resulting in a subscription ratio of 30 times, highlighting a significant shift in global capital preferences towards Chinese bonds over U.S. Treasuries [1][3][5] Group 1: Market Reaction - The subscription amount for China's bonds was $118.2 billion against a $4 billion issuance, indicating a staggering demand with a 29-fold oversubscription [3][5] - In contrast, U.S. Treasury bonds saw a subscription ratio of only 2.6 times, reflecting a stark decline in investor confidence in U.S. debt [1][3] Group 2: Creditworthiness and Investor Confidence - Investors are drawn to Chinese bonds not due to higher interest rates but because of China's strong credit backing, supported by $3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves and a stable trade surplus [5][10] - China's debt repayment capability is perceived as more stable compared to many countries, enhancing the attractiveness of its bonds as a safe investment [5][10] Group 3: Strategic Objectives of Bond Issuance - The primary goal of issuing these bonds is to establish a "capital safe haven" alternative to U.S. Treasuries, challenging the long-held belief that U.S. assets are the safest [7][9] - This issuance serves as a strategic move to diversify global financial options and reduce reliance on U.S. dollar assets [7][9] Group 4: Implications for U.S. Financial Dominance - The influx of capital into Chinese bonds may force the U.S. to raise its borrowing costs, as it competes for limited global capital [14][16] - The Federal Reserve's policy-making space is constrained, complicating its ability to manage inflation and economic slowdown due to the competitive pressure from Chinese bonds [14][16] Group 5: Long-term Financial Landscape Changes - The current dynamics suggest a potential decline in U.S. financial hegemony, as investor confidence shifts towards Chinese bonds, reminiscent of historical shifts in global currency dominance [16][18] - China's proactive integration into the global financial system through bond issuance is aimed at enhancing its international credibility and providing a viable alternative for global capital [18][20]