建滔积层板(01888)涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.29%，报15.4港元，成交额2.27亿港元。 花旗发布研报称，因应近期铜价大幅上升对企业盈利造成的分化影响，首次给予建滔积层板"增持"评 级。2025年第四季度铜价按年飙升22%，按季上升约14%。在此背景下，建滔积层板作为全球最大覆铜 面板制造商，市占率约16%，有望将成本上涨转嫁予下游，从而带动盈利加速增长。 花旗预期，建滔积层板的核心盈利增长将在铜价上行周期中显着提速。其增长率将从2025年上半年的按 年10%，跃升至下半年的约58%，并在2026年进一步实现57%的增长。此预测尚未计入公司AI玻璃纤维 业务可能的贡献。该行认为，由于覆铜面板行业集中度高，龙头企业凭借技术及成本优势，有能力将原 材料涨价压力传导至下游印刷电路板客户。 ...

本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，LME铜价飙升至创纪录高位，逼近每吨12000美元。高盛近期发布了一份2026年大宗商品报 告，其中指出，受需求强劲和供应受限因素，铜仍备受青睐。国信证券此前指，公司国内大型露天铜矿 成本低、盈利稳健，贵金属价格上涨进一步摊低铜矿成本，主导的全球最大露天钨矿投产放量，参股第 一量子即将走出低谷期，盈利潜力大，充分受益于铜价上行周期。 智通财经获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.63%，报38.26港元，成交额4.73亿港 元。 ...

消息面上，LME铜价飙升至创纪录高位，逼近每吨12000美元。高盛近期发布了一份2026年大宗商品报 告，其中指出，受需求强劲和供应受限因素，铜仍备受青睐。国信证券此前指，公司国内大型露天铜矿 成本低、盈利稳健，贵金属价格上涨进一步摊低铜矿成本，主导的全球最大露天钨矿投产放量，参股第 一量子即将走出低谷期，盈利潜力大，充分受益于铜价上行周期。 江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.63%，报38.26港元，成交额4.73亿港元。 ...

消息面上，LME铜价飙升至创纪录高位，逼近每吨12000美元。高盛近期发布了一份2026年大宗商品报 告，其中指出，受需求强劲和供应受限因素，铜仍备受青睐。国信证券此前指，公司国内大型露天铜矿 成本低、盈利稳健，贵金属价格上涨进一步摊低铜矿成本，主导的全球最大露天钨矿投产放量，参股第 一量子即将走出低谷期，盈利潜力大，充分受益于铜价上行周期。 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.63%，报38.26港元，成交额4.73亿港 元。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiangxi Copper is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [3][5][13] Core Views - Jiangxi Copper's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 35.2% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 139.1 billion yuan, a 12.8% increase [1][6] - The company's smelting business is under short-term pressure due to a decline in copper concentrate processing fees, but overall profitability remains manageable [1][6] - The company aims for a cathode copper production target of 2.37 million tons in 2025, with an estimated production of 1.8 million tons in the first three quarters [1][6] - The report highlights the potential for profit recovery in Q4 2025 if copper prices remain high, as some inventory impairment losses may be reversed [2][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Jiangxi Copper reported a gross profit of 4.08 billion yuan, with a sequential decline of 1.1 billion yuan due to lower processing fees for copper concentrates [1][6] - The company recorded a significant increase in sales expenses in Q3 2025, amounting to 360 million yuan, compared to 20 million yuan in Q2 2025, attributed to seasonal factors [2][7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 anticipates net profits of 8.41 billion, 9.62 billion, and 10.72 billion yuan respectively, with adjusted copper price assumptions leading to higher earnings per share [3][4][13] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the upcoming years are 16.3, 14.2, and 12.8 times [3][4][13] Market Dynamics - The report notes that the global supply of copper concentrates is tightening due to the shutdown of the Panama copper mine and the commissioning of new smelting plants [1][6] - The current processing fees for long-term contracts are at 21 USD/ton, while spot processing fees have dropped below -40 USD/ton, indicating a significant divergence in profitability based on sourcing strategies [1][6]