Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Viewpoints - The Longjiang Bank Index increased by 0.7% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.0% and the ChiNext Index by 0.5%. The market's focus on bank stocks has accelerated, particularly on high-quality city commercial banks [2][20] - The fiscal injection into major state-owned banks has been realized, with expectations for further injections into other banks. The average dividend yield for A-shares of the five major state-owned banks is approaching 4%, while H-shares maintain a valuation advantage [10][42] - The market is paying close attention to convertible bond banks, with potential valuation recovery and trading opportunities identified [8][28] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Longjiang Bank Index has shown a cumulative increase of 0.7% this week, with significant individual performances from Minsheng Bank and Nanjing Bank, the latter having met the conditions for convertible bond redemption [6][20] Fiscal Injection Impact - As of June 13, 2025, the fiscal injection for Bank of China and Bank of Communications has been completed, with expectations for similar actions for China Construction Bank and Postal Savings Bank. The average dividend yield for H-shares of the five major state-owned banks is 5.51%, showing a significant discount compared to A-shares [7][10][42] Convertible Bonds - The market has focused on banks with convertible bonds, particularly those like Hangzhou Bank, which are expected to see valuation recovery as they meet redemption conditions. Nanjing Bank has also exceeded the strong redemption price for 15 trading days [8][28] Social Financing and Loan Growth - In May, the social financing growth rate remained stable at 8.7%, with new RMB loans decreasing to 7.1%. The total new social financing was 2.29 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 224.1 billion yuan, primarily driven by government bonds [9][31]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking industry is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The banking index increased by 0.1% as of May 30, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.2% and the ChiNext index by 1.5%. The market's focus on bank stocks has increased significantly due to active fund allocation, with a continued upward trend in the sector, particularly for city commercial banks with relatively strong performance [2][6][19] - The growth rate of real estate loans turned positive for the first time since Q3 2023, with a year-on-year increase of 0.04% as of the end of March. This was primarily driven by a recovery in mortgage demand, with new personal housing loans amounting to 2,144 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2,093 billion [7][34][40] - The inclusion of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank into the CSI 300 index is expected to attract more index funds, providing a positive outlook for these constituent stocks [8][47] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of May 30, 2025, the banking index has shown a cumulative increase of 0.1%, with significant gains in city commercial banks like Hangzhou Bank, which saw its stock price rise after triggering a strong redemption condition for its convertible bonds [2][6][19] Loan Trends - In Q1 2025, the growth of corporate medium and long-term loans decreased, with industrial loans adding 1.52 trillion, down 140 billion year-on-year, and service sector loans adding 2.99 trillion, down 550 billion year-on-year. However, personal housing loans saw a significant increase, indicating a recovery in the housing market [7][34][40] Index Adjustments - The adjustment of the CSI 300 index, which includes Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, is expected to lead to increased capital inflow into these stocks, enhancing their market performance [8][47] Convertible Bonds - The recent surge in bank stocks has narrowed the price gap to the strong redemption price for banks issuing convertible bonds. Hangzhou Bank's stock price has remained above the strong redemption price for 15 consecutive trading days, indicating strong investor confidence [9][48]

Core Viewpoint - Citic Securities reports a slight decline in the proportion of bank stocks among actively managed funds, indicating a more diversified market investment style in Q1 2025, while maintaining an optimistic outlook for bank stock allocation [1] Group 1: Market Trends - In Q1 2025, the proportion of bank stocks in actively managed funds decreased by 0.37 percentage points from the previous quarter's peak [1] - The market investment style is becoming increasingly diversified, reflecting changing investor preferences [1] Group 2: Short-term and Mid-term Outlook - In the short term, trade frictions continue to impact market expectations, suggesting that low-volatility sectors hold allocation value [1] - In the mid-term, under the two macro scenarios of "prudent" and "weakening," the banking sector demonstrates relatively stable fundamentals compared to most industries, highlighting significant relative value [1] - The recommendation is to actively increase allocation to bank stocks due to their robust characteristics [1]