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宽松预期下四季度投资方向简析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 00:24
其中,受集采新规(国家组织药品联合采购办公室关于发布《全国药品集中采购文件(GY-YD2025-1)》的公告)利好推动,具有创新优势、品质优势的 生物医药企业有望从中受益。长期来看,此举将有效促进我国医药行业实现良性竞争,提升产业整体创新力和竞争力,拉升板块估值水平。 机器人产业方面,当前的大部分产品在面对复杂环境时的应对能力仍显不足。但根据工信部部长李乐成在第25届中国国际工业博览会开幕式上的致 辞,"十五五"时期要开辟人形机器人、脑机接口、元宇宙、量子信息等新赛道。因此,对照通信和AI当前的产业发展及估值表现,可以合理推断未来几年 我国机器人产业仍有较大发展空间,估值水平具备持续提升潜力。 | (至2025年9月22日) | 相关领域ETF涨幅与主要指数对比 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 近一月涨幅 | 近一月涨幅 | | 通信ETF (515880) | 16.54% | 170.66% | | 人工智能ETF (515980) | 13.56% | 166.92% | | 上证综指ETF (510760) | -2.22% | 44.11% | | 深成ETF (159903 ...
每日市场观察-20250923
Caida Securities· 2025-09-23 02:53
Market Performance - The overall market showed a mild upward trend, with major indices recording positive returns. The STAR 50 Index rose by 3.38%, while the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index increased by 0.22%, 0.67%, and 0.55% respectively[1][3]. - The main sectors that performed well included precious metals and technology-related sectors such as consumer electronics, semiconductors, and communication services, while tourism and retail sectors faced notable declines[1]. Capital Flow - On September 22, net inflows into the Shanghai Stock Exchange reached CNY 15.247 billion, and CNY 17.626 billion for the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The top three sectors for capital inflow were semiconductors, consumer electronics, and computer equipment, while the top three sectors for outflow were photovoltaic equipment, energy metals, and white goods[4]. Future Strategies - Short-term investors are advised to focus on technology concepts, while medium to long-term investors should consider high-end manufacturing sectors that have not seen significant price increases, such as biomedicine benefiting from new procurement regulations and the robotics industry nearing mass production[1]. Economic Indicators - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for both 5-year and 1-year terms remained unchanged at 3.5% and 3% respectively, indicating stability in borrowing costs[8][9]. Industry Developments - The steel industry aims for an average annual growth of around 4% over the next two years, with strict prohibitions on new capacity additions as part of a structural adjustment plan[9]. - In August, the retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.6% year-on-year, with total retail sales reaching CNY 3.97 trillion, reflecting a stable consumption market[10][11]. Fund Dynamics - Private equity positions have reached a new high for the year, with the stock private equity position index climbing to 78.04%, up 2.96 percentage points from the previous week[13]. - The total scale of bond ETFs has surpassed CNY 600 billion, with significant contributions from newly established technology bond ETFs[15].
一财社论:更重视临床反馈,集采新规开启改革新航标
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 13:07
集采新规有效回应了社会各界的许多急难愁盼。 医保部门站到了反内卷的前沿。 20日国家组织药品联合采购办公室发布的《全国药品集中采购文件》,充分遵循了"稳临床、保质量、 防围标、反内卷"的原则。且在方案制定和修改过程中,基于问题导向两次征求行业协会、企业和相关 部门意见,充分体现了医保局应对经济社会诉求的敏感适应能力,有效回应了社会各界的许多急难愁 盼。 这次的集采新规亮点颇多,大致可归纳为:一是医院临床的需求得到有效尊重和适度满足,提高了临床 需求与供应的匹配度;二是对投标企业的质控标准提出了更为具体量化的要求,如要求投标药品的生产 线2年内未发生违反GMP的情况;三是引入"首告从宽"机制,对企业围标行为采取宽严相济的新思路, 针对围标的纠错机制日渐完善;四是优化价差控制"锚点"选择,不再简单选用最低报价,且要求报价低 于"锚点价"的企业,主动回应社会对低价中选的顾虑;五是新增"未入围复活"的机会,引导更多企业以 适宜价格中选。 针对过往人们高度关注的领域,新规给出了明确回应,让集采制度变得更具柔韧性,更靠近人们寻医问 药的实际诉求。这些充分体现了集采新规的开放包容性,为制度迎应经济社会变迁的演进提供了与时俱 ...