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金价企稳向上,后市怎么看?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-12 01:45
Group 1 - Gold prices have stabilized and are on an upward trend after a recent adjustment, supported by unsustainable high debt levels in major economies, strategic allocations by long-term investors, declining real interest rates, and increasing global risk events [1] - Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater, suggests that when debt exceeds repayment capacity, central banks often create significant amounts of money and credit, leading to high inflation and gold prices, advocating for gold as a fundamental currency [1] - UBS reports that gold's core positions are becoming more resilient, with central banks increasing gold purchases to diversify reserves and reduce reliance on the US dollar, alongside retail investors buying gold through ETFs, potentially driving prices higher [1] Group 2 - Recent gold price declines were attributed to profit-taking after a surge and unexpected easing of geopolitical tensions, but the recent rise in both gold and US stocks suggests that the previous correction was sufficient [2] - Despite the easing of significant risks like a US government shutdown, the frequency of geopolitical risk events remains high, which could continue to catalyze upward movement in gold prices [2] - Investors interested in gold exposure can consider gold ETFs (518800) or gold stock ETFs (517400) for potential opportunities [2]
11月11日市场点评:金价企稳,新能源频传利好
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-11 10:19
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the three major indices opening high but closing lower, while the Shanghai Composite Index remained above 4000 points [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was below 2 trillion yuan, a decrease of 180.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - By the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.39%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.03%, the ChiNext Index by 1.4%, and the CSI 500 Index by 0.84% [1] Future Outlook - Liquidity for equity assets is expected to remain ample both domestically and internationally, with ongoing investment and industrial opportunities driven by AI [1] - The market is likely to experience normal fluctuations or adjustments following a phase of upward movement, suggesting that investors should consider positioning in high-growth or policy-supported sectors during pullbacks [1] Gold Market Insights - After a recent rapid adjustment, gold prices have stabilized and are expected to rise in the medium to long term due to factors such as (a) unsustainable high debt models in major global economies, (b) strategic allocations by central banks and long-term investors, (c) declining real interest rates, and (d) increasing global risk events [1] - UBS has projected that gold prices may reach a historical high of $5000 per ounce at some point next year or the year after [1] - It is suggested that gold should be viewed as a fundamental currency, with investors advised to hold a portion of it, indicating that the recent pullback may present a good opportunity to invest in the gold sector [1] Renewable Energy Sector Developments - The renewable energy sector has received positive news, with the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration releasing guidelines to promote the integration of renewable energy with industry and optimize the operation of energy and computing facilities [2] - The lithium battery sector is benefiting from the ongoing expansion of energy storage and new energy vehicles, with the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reporting that in October, new energy vehicle sales exceeded 50% of total new car sales for the first time [2] - In the photovoltaic sector, efforts to reduce internal competition are ongoing, with expected implementation of silicon material mergers and acquisitions, as well as production limits and sales policies [2]