9月23日，A股高开后下挫，三大指数集体翻绿，旅游、房地产等方向跌幅居前。国证自由现金流 指数低开后震荡下行，现跌约0.85%，成分股大洋电机涨停，上海建工、正泰电器、中煤能源等跟涨。 相关ETF方面，同类规模最大的自由现金流ETF（159201）跟随指数下行，成交额突破1.9亿元，交投活 跃且频现溢价交易。 招商证券认为，国庆长假前后，融资盘通常呈现出"节前收敛、节后迸发"的变化规律。国庆节前市 场走势往往较为平淡，而节后市场风险偏好则出现明显改善。9月美联储如期降息，从历史经验看，预 防式降息后A/H股在未来上涨概率较高。展望后市，中期角度可关注高内在回报率质量成长策略。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 自由现金流ETF（159201）紧密跟踪国证自由现金流指数，经流动性、行业、ROE稳定性筛选后， 选取自由现金流为正且占比高的股票，指数质地高，抗风险能力强，适合底仓配置，满足长线投资 ...

盘面上看，旅游、传媒、食品饮料、酿酒、零售、地产等板块均走低，半导体、汽车板块拉升，消费电 子、芯片概念等活跃。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 22日早盘，两市股指盘中震荡上扬，科创50指数涨超1%，场内超3400股飘绿。 招商证券表示，国庆长假前后，融资盘通常呈现出"节前收敛、节后迸发"的变化规律。国庆节前市场走 势往往较为平淡，而节后市场风险偏好则出现明显改善。9月美联储如期降息，从历史经验看，预防式 降息后A/H股在未来上涨概率较高。展望后市，目前市场仍处于牛市阶段Ⅱ，驱动A股本轮上行的三大 原因没有发生变化，在政策出现明显转向之前，市场有望继续沿着低渗透率赛道的方向演绎。当前可关 注固态电池、AI算力，人形机器人，商业航天等领域。除此之外，中期角度，也可关注高内在回报率 质量成长策略。 截至午间收盘，沪指微涨0.07%报3822.59点，深证成指涨0.17%，创业板指微跌0.09%，科创50指数涨 1.52%，沪深北三市合计成交13558亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The overall market performance shows mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 1.3%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index increased by 1.14% and 2.34% respectively [1] - Citic Securities emphasizes the importance of the globalization of leading Chinese manufacturing companies, suggesting that this will enhance pricing power and profit margins, leading to market capitalization growth beyond domestic economic fundamentals [1] - The financing trends around the National Day holiday indicate a pattern of "pre-holiday contraction and post-holiday explosion," with historical data suggesting a high probability of A/H shares rising after preventive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2] Group 2 - Huajin Securities notes that historically, after high-level fluctuations in a bull market, A-shares tend to continue rising, with current policies and external events remaining positive [2] - Dongwu Securities identifies potential market directions for the fourth quarter, suggesting a structural shift may occur, with cyclical sectors and low-position technology branches being key areas to watch [3] - China Galaxy Securities recommends focusing on sectors benefiting from policy and industry support, such as AI, lithium batteries, and consumer services, especially with the upcoming holidays boosting travel-related stocks [4] Group 3 - Western Securities reports a contraction in A-share valuations, with the coal industry leading gains due to rising coal prices driven by winter supply concerns [5] - The market is expected to experience a period of consolidation, with support levels identified at previous lows, and recommendations to maintain current positions until adjustments are complete [7] - Kaisheng Securities highlights the ongoing dominance of technology sectors, driven by relative profitability and global semiconductor cycles, with AI emerging as a significant demand driver [8] Group 4 - Debon Securities indicates that the current market is at the beginning of a new dollar interest rate cut cycle, with a slow bull market expected to continue, particularly in sectors like AI and solid-state batteries [9] - Xiangcai Securities suggests that the A-share market is likely to operate in a "slow bull" manner, influenced by ongoing policies and the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on technology, green initiatives, and consumer services [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the market is expected to transition to a low-slope upward trend after a period of adjustment, with a focus on high intrinsic return quality growth strategies [1] - The CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index has risen by 0.84%, with leading stocks including Shougang Co., Xinyi Silver, Shenhuo Co., Chuanfeng Power, and Western Mining [1] - The CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index selects 50 listed companies with high free cash flow rates from the CSI 500 Index sample to reflect the overall performance of companies with strong cash flow generation capabilities [1] Group 2 - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index account for 44.96% of the index, with major contributors being CIMC, Zhejiang Longsheng, Yuntianhua, and Shougang Co. [1] - The top ten stocks by weight include CIMC (2.58%), Zhejiang Longsheng (2.33%), Yuntianhua (1.93%), Shougang Co. (1.63%), and others, with varying performance in terms of price changes [2]

短期市场调整接近尾声，转为低斜率上行更加持续。在经过调整后，市场情绪可能会边际放缓，增量资 金节奏可能会更加健康，未来正如我们九月报所描述，市场接下来转为更低斜率上行的概率较大。我们 仍处在牛市第二阶段，调整后的核心应对策略是"拥抱低渗透率赛道"，当前可关注固态电池，AI算力， 人形机器人，商业航天等领域。除此之外，中期角度，也可关注高内在回报率质量成长策略。 ...