2026 年 1 月 08 日 【今日关注】 周三 A 股震荡整理，收盘三大股指均小幅上涨，上证指数收盘 14 连阳， 深证成指和创业板均收出小阴线；沪深两市成交额超过 2.88 万亿元， 较前一个交易日放量 492 亿元。行业板块涨跌各半，煤炭、电子、通 信、机械设备、电力设备等行业上涨，两市上涨股票数量超 2100 多只， 上涨数量占四成左右。 盘面上，上证指数在节后的前两个交易大幅上涨后，周三盘面再创新 高，但阳线力度减小，双创指数方面，科创 50 指数由于光刻机板块的 带动，上涨幅度接近 1%，创业板指数上涨但日 K 线收出小阴线；短线 市场技术上隐现调整信号，并且从涨跌数量统计方面，当日市场下跌 数量超出上涨的数量，短期需注意市场的技术性调整，中线市场的走 势比较健康，可继续逢低关注年报业绩预期较高的成长股。 光刻机、存储芯片、CPO 板块市场热度较高，叠加技术迭代和需求旺盛， 算力板块的投资逻辑比较清晰，以上行业作为算力板块的核心行业市 场确定性较高；顺周期类品种如能源板块的可控核聚变和煤炭、碳酸 锂等板块也是近期的明星板块，从投资主线来看，科技主线和顺周期 主线市场连贯性较强，投资逻辑可继续沿着 ...

今日（1.6），沪指劲升1.5%创逾10年新高，大消费再度飘红，消费ETF（159928）收涨0.87%强势两连阳，全天成交额近11亿元，环比放量38%！资金大幅 涌入，消费ETF（159928）全天净流入超4.6亿元！截至1月5日，消费ETF（159928）最新规模超207亿元，同类持续领先！ 消息面上，茅台开年新动作获得市场高度关注！今年1月1日，贵州茅台打造的数字营销平台"i茅台"正式上架飞天53%vol 500ml贵州茅台酒，零售价为1499 元/瓶，每人每日限购12瓶。当日开抢后，经过多轮补货后仍"售罄"。1月3日晚间，贵州茅台旗下"小茅i茅台"官微披露数据显示，上线3天内已有逾10万名用 户成功购买该产品。此外，贵州茅台同步调整了限购政策：自1月4日至春节前，将每人每日可购买的飞天53%vol 500ml贵州茅台酒(2026)最大数量由12瓶调 整为6瓶。 高盛发布最新研报《中国2026年展望：探索新动能》称，2026年中国实际GDP增速高于市场共识预测，建议高配A股和港股，预计2026年和2027年中国股市 将每年上涨15%至20%。 聚焦大消费板块，估值性价比仍极具吸引力。截至1月5日，消费E ...

看过我文章的朋友可能都知道，我一直用离岸人民币汇率作为港股的"锚"，当离岸人民币进入升值通道后，市场会买入人民币卖出美元，此时港股因为流 动性改善而形成上涨动力，反向推论亦是如此。 在大多数时间内，上述模型是非常准确的，但就在2025年最后一个多月，离岸人民币乃是一路猛涨，并一举突破"7"大关，理论上这对港股应该是绝佳利 好，对照现实香港资本市场则是相当平静。 那么究竟什么因素导致上述模型的失效，这又为2026年的港股立下了怎样的注脚呢？ 本文核心观点： 其一，2025年末港股的异常行为主要源自存款搬家，流动性其实是在收紧的； 其二，南向资金因为考核机制的变动也有所收敛，上述两大要素是港股近两个月"疲软"的主要原因； 此时我们应该摒弃教科书的刻板印象，找到HIBOR下降的真正原因：并非因为流动性改善，而是存款搬家。此部分AI阐释的比我讲的清楚，贴在下面。 如开篇所言，在大多数时间离岸人民币汇率确实是以港股"锚"的身份出现的，流动性在影响甚至是左右港股的表现，那么两者为何在11月末打破这一默契 呢？ 其三，2026港股在流动性方面以利好为主，内地宏观经济的稳定也会港股的顺周期板块的成长； 其四，顺周期和科技感兼 ...

半玉 齿 金 wabao WP Fund 【 】 【 】 【 】 【 】 】 【 】 】 2026年01月 ll 3A系列ETF当日场内行情 ■ 中证A100ETF基金 A50ETF华宝 A500ETF华宝 159596 562000 563500 +2.38% +2.35% +1.93% 数据来源:沪深交易所等,行情数据截至 宝于2024.3.18上市,中证A100ETF基金于2022.8.1上 市,A500ETF华宝于2024.12.2 当日大市行情 a +1.38% +2.24% +2.85% 创业板指 上证指数 深证成指 两市成交额2.55万亿元 较上一日+5011亿元 全市场个股涨跌数 116日 1168台 4185 =1 上涨 == 持平 "| 下跌 资金净流入TOP3行业(申万一级) 有色金属 +19.07亿元 +15.26亿元 数据来源:治深交易所等,行情数据截至2026 机构观点 I 中信建投:A股延续上行趋势继续演绎春季攻势的概率较高 元旦假期结束后,投资者避险情绪缓解,资金行为有望从此前的观望 转向积极寻找机会的新阶段,A股延续上行趋势继续演绎春季攻势的 概率较高。结构上,一方面,全国财 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights Nanshan Aluminum (600219) as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, emphasizing its dividend and buyback strategies as indicators of confidence in future performance [2][9][11] - The report also covers Hanhigh Group (001221), which is positioned as a high-growth company focusing on cost reduction and brand strength to create high-end cost-performance products [10][12] Nanshan Aluminum (600219) Summary - Expected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected at 5.0 billion, 5.46 billion, and 5.84 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 times [3][11] - The company is anticipated to benefit from the expansion of alumina production in Indonesia, which will enhance its performance due to cost advantages [11] - The report assigns a target P/E of 13 times for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price [3][11] - The company has a production capacity of 680,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, with expectations for aluminum prices to rise in 2026 due to a slowdown in global supply growth [11] Hanhigh Group (001221) Summary - Revenue projections for Hanhigh Group are set at 3.595 billion, 4.525 billion, and 5.653 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits of 706 million, 942 million, and 1.237 billion yuan respectively [10][14] - The company is expected to maintain a lower valuation compared to its peers, with P/E ratios of 33, 24, and 19 times for the respective years [10][14] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction strategies and a focus on high-quality, high-performance products, which have gained market recognition [12][14] Investment Recommendations - Both Nanshan Aluminum and Hanhigh Group are given "Outperform" ratings, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance relative to the market [3][10] - The report suggests that Nanshan Aluminum's unique position in the electrolytic aluminum market and Hanhigh Group's strong growth trajectory make them attractive investment opportunities [2][10]

中信建投指出，元旦假期结束后，投资者避险情绪缓解，资金行为有望从此前的观望转向积极寻找机会 的新阶段，A股延续上行趋势继续演绎春季攻势的概率较高。结构上，一方面，全国财政工作会议偏积 极的宏观政策定调，以及26年国补方案对消费情绪的提振，继续为顺周期板块创造估值修复环境。另一 方面，科技创新，发展新动能仍是"十五五"规划下国内高质量转型的重点，叠加海外偏宽松环境，国内 基本面空窗期带来的风险偏好提振下，科技成长仍将是最终引领本轮躁动行情突破的胜负手。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 早盘，A股三大指数高开后震荡走高，截至发稿，沪指涨0.88%，报4003.91点，深成指涨1.51%，报 13729.44点，创业板指涨1.83%，报3261.66点，科创50指数涨3.22%，报1387.44点。沪深两市合计成交 额11480.45亿元，全市场近4000只个股上涨。保险股领涨，脑机接口、医疗器械、半导体题材活跃。 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | | 脑机接口指数 | 8.21% | | 保险精选指数 | 5.76% | | 医疗器械精选 | 5.24% | | 存储器指数 ...

Group 1: Nanshan Aluminum (南山铝业) - Nanshan Aluminum is positioned as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a focus on dividends and share buybacks, reflecting confidence in its growth potential [4][12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of CNY 5.0 billion, CNY 5.46 billion, and CNY 5.84 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 12x, 11x, and 10x [4][12] - The report anticipates a 15% upside potential based on a target P/E of 13x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peer companies [4][12] - Key assumptions include increased alumina production from Indonesia, with projected sales volumes of 2.76 million tons in 2025, 4.36 million tons in 2026, and 4.56 million tons in 2027 [12] - The report highlights that domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing its peak, while global supply growth is slowing, suggesting a favorable supply-demand balance for the industry [12] Group 2: Hanhigh Group (悍高集团) - Hanhigh Group is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 3.595 billion, CNY 4.525 billion, and CNY 5.653 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of CNY 706 million, CNY 942 million, and CNY 1.237 billion [4][15] - The company is rated as "Buy" based on its current valuation being below the average of comparable companies for 2026 [4][15] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction and brand strength, with a CAGR of 29% in revenue and 59% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [12][13] - The company focuses on product innovation and cost efficiency, leveraging its own production capacity to enhance profitability [12][13] Group 3: Market Overview and Investment Strategy - The report identifies a favorable market environment for the spring season, with expectations of continued upward momentum in the stock market due to improved economic indicators and liquidity [22] - The "Top Ten Gold Stocks" for January 2026 include companies like Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Zhi Zao, and Alibaba, indicating a diversified investment strategy across sectors [14][22] - The automotive industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, particularly with the introduction of new subsidies and the expected improvement in demand for mid-range vehicles [24]

金融市场瞬息万变，投资与经济政策深刻影响全球。我们为您带来昨夜今晨的财经新闻，涵盖股市动 态、经济数据、企业财务和政策更新，帮助您全面把握金融世界。 双星鞋业家族内斗！84岁创始人宣布断绝父子关系，曾曝出抢公章"夺权" 双星鞋业创始人汪海于2026年1月3日发布公开信，宣布与儿子汪军、儿媳徐英断绝关系，家族内斗再度 公开化。矛盾核心在于集团控制权之争，此前已曝出抢夺公章、限制人身自由等冲突。纠纷或源于三年 前股权变更导致徐英成为实控人，双方已多次对簿公堂。这场持续的内部纷争消耗了企业转型精力，也 让面临市场挑战的老牌国货品牌前景蒙上阴影。 宇树科技澄清：我司未涉及申请"绿色通道"相关事宜，上市工作正常推进 宇树科技针对某媒体关于其上市申请"绿色通道"的不实报道发布严正澄清，声明公司从未涉及相关事 宜，该报道内容与事实严重不符，已误导公众并侵害公司权益。公司已向主管部门反映并督促撤稿，保 留法律追责权利。目前，宇树科技的上市工作正在正常推进中，后续进展将依法依规进行披露。 巴菲特"退休"后首度发声：伯克希尔百年后可能依然存在 巴菲特退休后首度发声，对继任者格雷格・阿贝尔给予高度评价，称其效率远超自己，并坚信伯克 ...

食品饮料 2026 年年度策略汇报 20251230 摘要 顺周期板块需求承压，细分龙头业绩底部不明，建议观望。零售渠道型 公司（如万辰、鸣鸣很忙）及品牌型公司（盐津、卫龙）渠道扩张逻辑 不变，饮料行业关注东鹏特饮调整机会，安琪酵母出海和成本改善逻辑 支撑估值。 高分红及经营改善方面，推荐千禾味业和益海国际。千禾味业预计 2026 年弹性较大，益海国际在港股 15 倍市盈率下拥有 6%股息率，有 望受益于餐饮恢复带来的估值提升空间。 内需相关度高的顺周期板块（白酒、啤酒、餐饮供应链）目前处于历史 低点，市场情绪悲观。建议 2026 年一季度至二季度布局茅台，燕京啤 酒及青岛啤酒港股底部机会，餐饮供应链关注安井食品。 大众品板块推荐高景气细分赛道（零食量贩店、魔芋类产品、电解质饮 料），网点铺货和单点产出提升空间大的标的（万辰、卫龙、东鹏特 饮），以及估值便宜且具有潜力的企业（卫龙）。 东鹏饮料在货架管理和冰柜覆盖率方面表现出色，SKU 持续丰富扩展， 收入增速有望提升。中长期来看，东鹏在能量饮料行业的竞争格局相对 稳定，有望逐步替代红牛的市场份额。 Q&A 2026 年食品饮料行业的整体投资策略是什么？ 20 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the "Shenwan Hongyuan Gold Stock Portfolio" reflects the market outlook and style judgment for the upcoming month, showcasing the research team's capabilities and competitiveness in the market [1][11] - The previous portfolio showed a slight increase of 0.14% from December 1 to December 31, 2025, with the A-share portfolio averaging a 0.80% increase, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index rose by 2.06% and 2.28%, respectively [6][15] - Since the first release of the gold stock portfolio on March 28, 2017, the cumulative increase has reached 401.73%, with the A-share portfolio up by 293.13%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 271.65 and 260.01 percentage points, respectively [6][15] Group 2 - The strategy judgment for the current period maintains that the conditions supporting the spring market remain unchanged, with liquidity in the stock market being loose and upcoming events likely to boost risk appetite [14] - The report suggests focusing on cyclical Alpha and thematic rotation opportunities, particularly in basic chemicals and non-ferrous metals, as well as sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and high-dividend strategies [14] - The top recommended stocks include "Iron Triangle" stocks: Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Technology, and CIMC Enric (Hong Kong), along with other stocks such as Xingfa Group, TBEA, Chifeng Gold, WuXi AppTec, China National Glass, Ping An Insurance (Hong Kong), and Alibaba-W (Hong Kong) [6][17][18] Group 3 - The report highlights the performance of the top ten gold stocks, with Hualu Hengsheng benefiting from favorable policies in the domestic chemical industry, and Lingyi Technology experiencing high growth in AI and robotics [17][20] - CIMC Enric is positioned to benefit from the shipbuilding cycle and clean energy equipment orders, while Xingfa Group has a solid base in phosphate and specialty chemicals [18][20] - Other notable stocks include WuXi AppTec, which is seeing strong global demand in the CXO industry, and Alibaba-W, which is accelerating its integration from data centers to application layers in AI [18][22]