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政策引导下化工行业将呈现“强者恒强”的局面
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-07-11 02:57
Group 1 - The chemical industry is facing a "involution" dilemma, which restricts high-quality development and impacts the stability of the supply chain and the vitality of the real economy [1][2] - China's chemical production capacity accounts for approximately 45% of the global total, with a current market showing a "strong supply and demand" situation, maintaining an overall operating rate of around 75% [1] - The competition landscape is characterized by a dichotomy: traditional bulk products are trapped in low profit margins, while high-end electronic chemicals and bio-based chemicals are thriving due to technological breakthroughs and policy benefits [1][2] Group 2 - The "involution" in the chemical industry has evolved into a low-price, disorderly competition across the entire industry chain, leading to a cycle of "expansion—price reduction—loss—further expansion" [2] - The key to breaking the "involution" lies in structural optimization and quality upgrades, focusing on high-end segments and domestic substitution in high-end materials [2] - Future policy adjustments will emphasize precision and differentiation, promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity while allowing space for quality capacity and emerging fields [2][3] Group 3 - Under policy guidance, the chemical industry is expected to see a "stronger stronger" situation, where leading private enterprises expand market share due to scale and technological advantages [3] - The development advantages of China's chemical industry, characterized by state-owned enterprise base, integrated private enterprises, and large-scale local refineries, will become more prominent [3]