智通财经APP获悉，第一上海发布研究报告指出，工模具钢国内市场企稳回升，高端材料将成为天工国 际(00826)未来利润爆发点，预计25/26/27年收入预测为 52.4亿/60.8亿/69.3亿元人民币；预测归母净利润 分别为4.3亿/6.0亿/8.1亿元，给予未来12个月目标价4.38港元，对应2026年18倍PE，较现价有44.56%的 上升空间，维持买入评级。 报告认为，尽管天工国际收入端承压，但盈利表现呈现逆势增长，2025年上半年归母净利润为2.03亿 元，同比增加约10.4%。国内模具钢行业复苏叠加原材料涨价，最终对冲了海外市场的短期承压，实现 营收与毛利的正向增长。 第一上海预期，粉末冶金材料将成为未来利润爆发点之一：25年上半年销售589吨，环比提升66.4%， 价格14.9万元/吨，价格显著高于普通高速钢和模具钢产品。在市场拓展与客户合作方面，公司上半年 与恒而达签订长期供货协议，自2026年起5年内，恒而达每年从天工采购锯切工具专用粉末高速钢材料 不少于100吨，五年合计采购不少于600吨。该协议的签订不仅为公司未来业绩提供稳定支撑，也进一步 巩固了其在专用粉末高速钢细分领域的市场地位。 ...

工模具钢国内市场企稳回升：模具钢方面，销量同比下降5.2%，整体营业收入提升了2.3%至11.6亿元， 毛利率上升0.5个百分点至13.8%。从影响因素来看，海外市场承压（欧洲低迷、北美关税影响），但国 内模具钢行业复苏叠加原材料涨价，最终对冲了海外市场的短期承压，实现营收与毛利的正向增长。 对高端钛合金业务前景持乐观预期：明年下游客户新机型需求将逐步释放；另一方面，公司在航空航 天、医疗健康、核聚变等领域的高端钛合金产业建设已取得阶段性成果。 粉末冶金材料将成为未来利润爆发点之一：25年上半年销售589吨，环比提升66.4%，价格14.9万元/ 吨，价格显著高于普通高速钢和模具钢产品。在市场拓展与客户合作方面，公司上半年与恒而达签订长 期供货协议，自2026年起5年内，恒而达每年从天工采购锯切工具专用粉末高速钢材料不少于100吨，五 年合计采购不少于600吨。该协议的签订不仅为公司未来业绩提供稳定支撑，也进一步巩固了其在专用 粉末高速钢细分领域的市场地位。 格隆汇10月12日｜第一上海10月10日发布天工国际(0826.HK)更新研报称，工模具钢国内市场企稳回 升，高端材料将成为未来利润爆发点，给予天工国际 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue of 2.723 billion (YoY +34.76%) and net profit of 546 million (YoY +56.72%), driven by high demand for advanced materials [1][2] Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue reached 2.723 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 34.76%, while net profit was 546 million, up 56.72% YoY [1] - Q2 2025 continued the growth trend with revenue of 1.649 billion (YoY +34.40%, QoQ +53.57%) and net profit of 376 million (YoY +58.05%, QoQ +121.28%) [1] - The overall gross margin improved to 38.70%, an increase of 6.67 percentage points YoY, indicating enhanced profitability [1] - Operating expenses decreased, with a total expense ratio of 11.82%, down 2.04 percentage points YoY [1] Business Segments - Superconducting products saw revenue of 798 million in H1 2025, a significant increase of 65.75% YoY [2] - High-end titanium alloy revenue reached 1.567 billion, growing by 22.06% YoY [2] - High-performance high-temperature alloy revenue was 245 million, up 56.68% YoY, supported by product certifications and increased production capacity [2] Contract Liabilities and Cash Flow - Contract liabilities rose to 227 million, a 58.94% increase from the previous year, indicating a recovery in demand and order growth [3] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow of 204 million, up 77.73% YoY, primarily due to increased sales collections [3] - Inventory levels were high at 4.16 billion, a 7.7% increase from the previous year, with work-in-progress and finished goods also rising [3] Strategic Developments - The company is strengthening its leadership in high-end materials, with advancements in titanium alloy applications and successful deliveries of large-scale corrosion-resistant titanium alloy products [4] - The superconducting business is expanding with increased orders and production capacity, including the mass production of high-performance superconducting wires [4] - High-temperature alloy production is also growing rapidly, with several key grades receiving product certifications, enhancing the company's industry position [4] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a high demand cycle, with projected net profits of 1.007 billion, 1.253 billion, and 1.567 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.55, 1.93, and 2.41 for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 37, 30, and 24 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Hunan Xiangtou Jintian Titanium Industry Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Jintian Titanium"), reported a revenue of approximately 318 million yuan and a net profit of about 42.73 million yuan for the first half of 2025, despite facing short-term performance pressure due to a slowdown in orders for some major models [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 318 million yuan and a net profit of about 42.73 million yuan [1] - The company is consolidating its leading position in the high-end titanium material sector through its "one body, two wings" strategic layout, technological breakthroughs, and capacity expansion [1][2] Group 2: Industry Context - Titanium materials are key components in high-end equipment such as aerospace and naval vessels, experiencing rapid growth driven by technological iteration and demand upgrades [1] - In 2024, China's titanium processing material output is expected to reach 172,000 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with a continuous rise in the proportion of high-end titanium alloys [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is optimizing its business structure by focusing on aerospace as the "one body" and marine equipment and civil aviation as the "two wings" to address industry order fluctuations and price pressures [3] - The company has made significant progress in the marine equipment market, delivering titanium alloy forgings and continuing to acquire customers in the titanium alloy cylinder and forging business [3] - The first phase of the advanced titanium alloy industrialization project is progressing smoothly, with an expected annual production capacity increase of 3,000 tons of titanium alloys [3] - The company is enhancing production efficiency through digital twin and information technology, which is anticipated to significantly boost its supply capacity in the high-end market [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 1H25, with revenue and net profit exceeding market expectations, driven by the recovery in titanium alloy demand and growth in superconducting and high-temperature alloy businesses [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 2.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 546 million yuan, up 56.72% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 1.649 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.40% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.57%. The net profit for the quarter was 376 million yuan, up 58.05% year-on-year and 121.28% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The main contributors to the performance were the high-end titanium alloy, superconducting products, and high-performance high-temperature alloy segments, which generated revenues of 1.567 billion, 798 million, and 248 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.03%, 65.64%, and 57.06% [1]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's gross margin improved significantly, rising by 6.67 percentage points to 38.70% in 1H25, with titanium alloy and superconducting product margins increasing by 8.97 and 8.11 percentage points to 45.92% and 30.82%, respectively [2]. - Operating cash flow net amount increased by 77.73% year-on-year to 204 million yuan, primarily due to increased sales collections [2]. Business Development and Market Position - The company maintains a strong position in the aerospace titanium alloy market, having established long-term partnerships with key industry players [2]. - The superconducting product line has successfully delivered materials for domestic nuclear fusion projects and is now supplying for the BEST fusion project [2]. - In the high-temperature alloy sector, the company has made advancements in recycling technology and has established a production line for processing returned materials [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 4.3% to 1 billion yuan and 1.203 billion yuan, respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 37.2 and 31.0 for those years [3]. - The target price has been increased by 33.6% to 64.82 yuan, reflecting a potential upside of 13.0% based on the company's solid market position and growth prospects in superconducting and high-temperature alloy businesses [3].

Group 1 - The Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) has celebrated its 6th anniversary, with 589 companies listed, focusing on high-tech industries and strategic emerging sectors, achieving a total market capitalization exceeding 7 trillion yuan by the end of July [1] - In 2024, STAR Market companies' R&D investment reached 168.1 billion yuan, more than three times their overall net profit, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2] - STAR Market companies have accumulated over 120,000 invention patents, with 20,000 new patents added last year, indicating a strong focus on innovation and intellectual property [2] Group 2 - The STAR Market has facilitated the development of a robust industrial innovation ecosystem, with over 60% of companies having founding teams composed of scientists and engineers, and nearly 30% of controlling shareholders also serving as key technical personnel [3] - In the integrated circuit sector, 120 listed companies cover all aspects of the supply chain, while over 110 biopharmaceutical companies are addressing domestic gaps in critical treatment areas [3] - STAR Market companies are increasingly engaging in international markets, with 173 companies reporting over 30% growth in overseas revenue, and 63 companies exporting products to more than 50 countries [4]

Core Insights - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market) has celebrated its 6th anniversary, with 589 companies listed, focusing on "hard technology" sectors such as new-generation information technology, biomedicine, high-end equipment, new energy, new materials, and energy conservation and environmental protection, achieving a total market capitalization exceeding 7 trillion yuan by the end of July [1] Group 1: Innovation and R&D Investment - In 2024, STAR Market companies' R&D investment reached 168.1 billion yuan, more than three times the overall net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2] - STAR Market companies have gathered a high-level research talent pool, with 240,000 R&D personnel, accounting for nearly 30% of total employees, and have generated over 120,000 invention patents cumulatively [2] Group 2: Industry Innovation and Collaboration - Over 60% of STAR Market companies have founding teams composed of scientists, engineers, or industry experts, with nearly 30% of controlling shareholders also serving as key technical personnel [3] - The STAR Market has facilitated the formation of industry clusters, particularly in integrated circuits and biomedicine, with 120 companies in the integrated circuit sector and over 110 biomedicine companies addressing domestic gaps in key treatment areas [3] Group 3: Global Integration and Market Expansion - 173 STAR Market companies reported over 30% growth in overseas revenue, with 63 companies exporting products to more than 50 countries, and 58 companies involved in setting international standards [4] - The STAR Market is positioned to enhance its adaptability to innovation enterprises, promoting a dual approach to technological and industrial innovation [4]

Group 1 - The Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) has celebrated its 6th anniversary, with 589 companies listed, focusing on high-tech industries and strategic emerging sectors, achieving a total market capitalization exceeding 7 trillion yuan by the end of July [1] - In 2024, STAR Market companies' R&D investment reached 168.1 billion yuan, more than three times the overall net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2] - STAR Market companies have accumulated over 120,000 invention patents, with 30% of companies' products or projects being innovative within their industries, and over 80% targeting import substitution and self-control [2] Group 2 - Companies on the STAR Market are increasingly forming industrial innovation chains, with over 60% of founding teams comprising scientists or industry experts, and nearly 30% of controlling shareholders also serving as key technical personnel [3] - The STAR Market has seen significant collaboration with universities and research institutions, fostering a matrix-style industrial cluster in key areas such as integrated circuits and biomedicine [3] - 173 companies reported over 30% growth in overseas revenue, with 63 companies exporting to over 50 countries, indicating a strong integration into global supply chains [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's EAST large scientific device has achieved a key technology breakthrough in steady-state high-parameter plasma, winning the Anhui Provincial Science and Technology Progress Award [1] - The recovery in downstream demand and the advancement of nuclear fusion projects are expected to drive growth across various business segments [1] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue and gross margin have been adjusted downward based on industry demand, with EPS for 2025 and 2026 revised to 1.60 and 1.97 yuan respectively, and a new EPS for 2027 set at 2.41 yuan [2] - The target price is set at 67.20 yuan, corresponding to a 42x PE for 2025, maintaining the "Buy" rating [2] Key Financial Information - Projected revenue (in million yuan) for 2023A to 2027E: 4,159, 4,612, 6,028, 7,337, 8,839, with growth rates of -1.6%, 10.9%, 30.7%, 21.7%, and 20.5% respectively [3] - Projected net profit attributable to the parent company (in million yuan) for 2023A to 2027E: 752, 801, 1,042, 1,282, 1,567, with growth rates of -30.3%, 6.4%, 30.1%, 23.0%, and 22.3% respectively [3] - Projected EPS for 2023A to 2027E: 1.16, 1.23, 1.60, 1.97, 2.41 [3] - Projected gross margin for 2023A to 2027E: 31.9%, 33.6%, 33.9%, 34.7%, 35.4% [3] Business Developments - The company has achieved significant breakthroughs in superconducting materials, with multiple projects achieving mass supply, including superconducting wire for the EAST device and the domestic nuclear fusion CRAFT project [9] - The high-performance high-temperature alloy technology has seen key innovations, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the industry [9] - The high-end titanium alloy market is expanding, with successful development of new specifications and production technologies [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 67.20 CNY, based on a 42x PE ratio for 2025 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has received the Anhui Provincial Science and Technology Progress Award for its key technology and engineering application results related to the EAST large scientific device, indicating strong technological capabilities [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in downstream demand and advancements in nuclear fusion projects, which may lead to synchronized growth across its various business segments [1]. Financial Forecast and Performance - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 6,028 million CNY and 7,337 million CNY, respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 30.7% and 21.7% [3]. - The adjusted EPS for 2025 is forecasted at 1.60 CNY, with further increases to 1.97 CNY in 2026 and 2.41 CNY in 2027 [2][3]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 31.9% in 2023 to 35.4% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [3]. Business Segments and Innovations - The superconducting materials business is globally leading, with multiple projects achieving bulk supply, including superconducting wire materials for domestic nuclear fusion projects [9]. - Significant breakthroughs in high-performance high-temperature alloy technology have been achieved, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the industry [9]. - The high-end titanium alloy market is expanding, with the company developing new titanium alloy products for various sectors, including marine and nuclear industries [9].