爱玛科技系列 车中旭霞 深度研究报告： 《电动两轮车行业深度：政策发力叠加格局优化，行业高景气拐点渐近》——20241224 跟踪点评报告： 《爱玛科技（603529.SH）-2024年利润率改善，产品、渠道完善有望促进量价齐升》——20250419 《爱玛科技（603529.SH）-2025年上半年利润同比提升，产品及渠道拓展促进增长》——20250901 《 爱玛科技（603529.SH）- 2025年三季度利润同比小幅提升，高端品牌有望打开向上空间 》——20251104 核心观点 2025Q3收入及利润同比小幅提升，主要受新国标切换影响 爱玛科技2025Q1-Q3实现营收210.9亿元，同比增长20.8%，归母净利润19.1亿元，同比增长22.8%；2025Q3实现营收80.6亿元，同比增长17.3%，环比增长18.6%，归母净利润7.0 亿元，同比增长15.2%，环比增长14.3%，三季度收入及利润同比增速放缓，主要受新国标切换的影响。 爱玛科技2025Q1-Q3实现营收210.9亿元，同比增长20.8%，归母净利润19.1亿元，同比增长22.8%，扣非归母净利润18.3亿元，同比增长26.8%。2 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][27] Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit showed slight year-on-year increases in Q3 2025, primarily influenced by the transition to new national standards. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 21.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.8%, and a net profit of 1.91 billion yuan, up 22.8% year-on-year [1][8] - The company is actively expanding its high-end brand "Zero" and has launched various product lines to meet diverse consumer needs, which is expected to enhance sales and market share [3][19] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts downward due to potential impacts from the transition between old and new national standards, while maintaining its "Outperform the Market" rating [4][27] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.6%. The net profit for the same period was 700 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.3% [1][8] - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 18.8%, up 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 9.2%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year. However, Q3 2025 saw a decline in both gross and net margins compared to the previous quarter [2][12] - The company plans to sell 550,000 electric tricycles in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.9%, indicating a strong growth potential in this segment [25] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The revised profit forecasts for the company are as follows: for 2025, the net profit is expected to be 2.356 billion yuan; for 2026, 2.916 billion yuan; and for 2027, 3.496 billion yuan. The corresponding earnings per share are projected to be 2.71 yuan, 3.35 yuan, and 4.02 yuan respectively [4][27] - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 12, 10, and 8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][27]